Boyz,
Like Lazarus I'm back from the dead. I've been sitting on the sidelines for the most part this season. As a veteran, it's been a tough year to handicap. As everyone knows, the favorites have been hitting at about a 70% clip. Very unusual. I've been looking for an ebb and flow to the season, but it just hasn't come yet. The sportsbooks have been taking a bath but unfortunately I haven't been in on it. Stanford is 8-0 ATS, Alabama is 7-1, Ok State 7-1, LSU 6-2. Wow! It's all cyclical. Things will return to normal and the sportsbooks will once again be raking in their money. Sooner than you think.
I'm gonna jump back into the action with the following plays.....
KENTUCKY/MISSISSIPPI - OVER 44-
Neither of these two teams own a single impressive victory this year. And they still won't after Saturday. But one of them has to win. Both offenses have been anemic....The Wildcats are averaging 17 ppg and the Rebs 21 ppg. That's why the posted total is so low. It's the defensive side of the ball that's caught my eye. Both teams are allowing a ton of yardage on the ground (Ky, 4.9 ypc; Miss, 5.5 ypc.) That's porous. There's no point for either of these coaches to keep it conservative now. I see both squads opening up the throttle in this one. This total will be close to 60. OVER.
FLORIDA -13- over VANDERBILT
The Commodores have made some improvements this year. Unfortunately they are in the wrong place at the wrong time this week. The Gators have lost 4 straight (Alabama, LSU, Auburn, and Georgia. Ouch!) Somebody has to pay. It's homecoming in Gainseville. Vandy is still licking their wounds after blowing one last week against Arkansas. All Gators here.
WYOMING/TCU - UNDER 57-
They're calling for 30 degree temps, snow, and 20 mph winds.....at altitude. Advantage Cowboys. Wyoming has a surprisingly good rushing attack, averaging 4.9 ypc. Their only hope to keep it close against the superior Horned Frogs is to outrush 'em and keep 'em off the field. It doesn't seem like a great day for passing. Clock keeps ticking, points are hard to come by......UNDER.
OKLAHOMA -13- against TEXAS A&M
The Sooners got back on track last week, beating Kansas State soundly on the road. Now they need to come home and win one for the home crowd who were stunned to see their boys lose to Texas Tech 2 weeks ago. Oklahoma never loses two in a row at home (58-2 after a loss.) The Aggies are still hurting from last week's loss and now have to face a Sooners team bent on revenge. QB Landry is gonna have a field day against this A&M secondary which is allowing 320 ypg, 64% completions, 14 TDs vs 4 ints. Oklahoma by a lot.
ALABAMA/LSU - OVER 41
Everybody seems focused on the fact that this game features the country's #1 and #2 ranked defenses. It also features the #7 and #9 ranked offenses. I'll gladly play contrarian here and take the over. Fumbles, interceptions, blocked punts.....they're all gonna lead to points. This isn't gonna be like Baylor against Houston but it will go over 41.
ARIZONA -3- over UTAH
The Cats are a rejuvenated team since they showed HC Stoops the door. The first evidence of that was when they mopped the floor with UCLA a few weeks ago. Tonight they do it again against the Utes. Utah struggles to put points on the board. Arizona QB Nick Foles is a future pro. He'll light it up in this one on homecoming. Cats!
OREGON STATE +21 against STANFORD
It's always tough to predict when a streak will end but......All the situational edges here go to the Beavers. Dismal forecast, homecoming, Stanford coming off a dramatic 3OT game against USC, then going back on the road, and with another huge tilt next week against Oregon. Talk about a sandwich game! Oregon State is lying in wait. They're not nearly the team Stanford is, but the intangibles are huge. Gimme the home dog getting 3 TDs.
As always, best of luck.
Harry
Like Lazarus I'm back from the dead. I've been sitting on the sidelines for the most part this season. As a veteran, it's been a tough year to handicap. As everyone knows, the favorites have been hitting at about a 70% clip. Very unusual. I've been looking for an ebb and flow to the season, but it just hasn't come yet. The sportsbooks have been taking a bath but unfortunately I haven't been in on it. Stanford is 8-0 ATS, Alabama is 7-1, Ok State 7-1, LSU 6-2. Wow! It's all cyclical. Things will return to normal and the sportsbooks will once again be raking in their money. Sooner than you think.
I'm gonna jump back into the action with the following plays.....
KENTUCKY/MISSISSIPPI - OVER 44-
Neither of these two teams own a single impressive victory this year. And they still won't after Saturday. But one of them has to win. Both offenses have been anemic....The Wildcats are averaging 17 ppg and the Rebs 21 ppg. That's why the posted total is so low. It's the defensive side of the ball that's caught my eye. Both teams are allowing a ton of yardage on the ground (Ky, 4.9 ypc; Miss, 5.5 ypc.) That's porous. There's no point for either of these coaches to keep it conservative now. I see both squads opening up the throttle in this one. This total will be close to 60. OVER.
FLORIDA -13- over VANDERBILT
The Commodores have made some improvements this year. Unfortunately they are in the wrong place at the wrong time this week. The Gators have lost 4 straight (Alabama, LSU, Auburn, and Georgia. Ouch!) Somebody has to pay. It's homecoming in Gainseville. Vandy is still licking their wounds after blowing one last week against Arkansas. All Gators here.
WYOMING/TCU - UNDER 57-
They're calling for 30 degree temps, snow, and 20 mph winds.....at altitude. Advantage Cowboys. Wyoming has a surprisingly good rushing attack, averaging 4.9 ypc. Their only hope to keep it close against the superior Horned Frogs is to outrush 'em and keep 'em off the field. It doesn't seem like a great day for passing. Clock keeps ticking, points are hard to come by......UNDER.
OKLAHOMA -13- against TEXAS A&M
The Sooners got back on track last week, beating Kansas State soundly on the road. Now they need to come home and win one for the home crowd who were stunned to see their boys lose to Texas Tech 2 weeks ago. Oklahoma never loses two in a row at home (58-2 after a loss.) The Aggies are still hurting from last week's loss and now have to face a Sooners team bent on revenge. QB Landry is gonna have a field day against this A&M secondary which is allowing 320 ypg, 64% completions, 14 TDs vs 4 ints. Oklahoma by a lot.
ALABAMA/LSU - OVER 41
Everybody seems focused on the fact that this game features the country's #1 and #2 ranked defenses. It also features the #7 and #9 ranked offenses. I'll gladly play contrarian here and take the over. Fumbles, interceptions, blocked punts.....they're all gonna lead to points. This isn't gonna be like Baylor against Houston but it will go over 41.
ARIZONA -3- over UTAH
The Cats are a rejuvenated team since they showed HC Stoops the door. The first evidence of that was when they mopped the floor with UCLA a few weeks ago. Tonight they do it again against the Utes. Utah struggles to put points on the board. Arizona QB Nick Foles is a future pro. He'll light it up in this one on homecoming. Cats!
OREGON STATE +21 against STANFORD
It's always tough to predict when a streak will end but......All the situational edges here go to the Beavers. Dismal forecast, homecoming, Stanford coming off a dramatic 3OT game against USC, then going back on the road, and with another huge tilt next week against Oregon. Talk about a sandwich game! Oregon State is lying in wait. They're not nearly the team Stanford is, but the intangibles are huge. Gimme the home dog getting 3 TDs.
As always, best of luck.
Harry
