Maybe worried about these public games?

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  • Inkwell77
    SBR MVP
    • 02-03-11
    • 3227

    #1
    Maybe worried about these public games?
    So I follow the covers consensus a bit and this year of all the picks where the public is 70% or more on one side the results are pretty amazing.

    So far if you have followed the covers consensus picks of 70% or more in college football you would be hitting at 55.55% which is crazy, the record is 75-60 with a couple of pushes.

    This week the plays where the public is on board are:

    texas tech -14
    clemson -3.5
    Va tech -14.5
    Iowa -15.5
    Wisconsin -7.5
    Arkansas -8.5
    Hawaii -7
    Az St/Colorado over 56.5
    Michigan/Purdue over 53.5
    Texas A&M/Mizzou over 63.5
    Oklahoma/K State over 59

    I have no idea what this all means, but I hope this trend stops today! 55.5%, come on!
  • TheCommish
    SBR MVP
    • 03-23-09
    • 1013

    #2
    Just goes to show you that both sharps and squares are lucky to get over the 50% mark. You need to fnd an edge on a game and go with it, regardless of who else is playing it.
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    • BigdaddyQH
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-13-09
      • 19530

      #3
      Originally posted by TheCommish
      Just goes to show you that both sharps and squares are lucky to get over the 50% mark. You need to fnd an edge on a game and go with it, regardless of who else is playing it.
      Exactly. I play my own system. So far, it is hitting at 55.26%, and I am having an off year. Find a good system and you will reap the rewards. Remember, YOU are the only person that matters. If you find a good wager, it matters not who is on it.
      Comment
      • Inkwell77
        SBR MVP
        • 02-03-11
        • 3227

        #4
        Originally posted by TheCommish
        Just goes to show you that both sharps and squares are lucky to get over the 50% mark. You need to fnd an edge on a game and go with it, regardless of who else is playing it.
        I agree, but I also think you can use out of the ordinary type of percentages as another angle.

        8-3 today if you were fading these public plays, with the three losing picks all being totals. Still think the linesmakers are off a bit with college totals for some of these teams, but it seems like they're improving.
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