10* PITT + 3
7* UNDER 66.5 HOUST/ UTEP
7* UTEP + 16.5
ADDING:
4* OVER 51 PITT / SFLOR
gl
7* UNDER 66.5 HOUST/ UTEP
7* UTEP + 16.5
ADDING:
4* OVER 51 PITT / SFLOR
gl
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Loss, Loss, WinComment -
I'll bet you all of your points he makes a profit with these plays? I don't know what I'm supposed to do with these piss ass points anyway.
All of those plays are good in my eyes with the possible exception being the Houston/Utep over which I'm not playing.
I like Pitt at home against a USF team people are overrating. Everyone seems to be on USF but the line is only -3 and it's on the road. That's usually trouble for people backing the favorite.
I also like UTEP at home getting 16.5. Houston sucks on the road and I could even see UTEP winning this game.
So yeah, I bet he profits with these plays.Comment -
Almost forgot to add something.
I was going to make Pitt +3 a big play but Brock Landers is taking Pitt ML so I have to use some caution here.
Watch Pitt lose by 1 or 2 points.Comment -
I am going against you BigDof...think people are underrating this South Florida team and Overrating this Pitt teamComment -
About that total in the utep game..im just reading the line
the last three games they played against each other ( the last 3 yrs )
the total was set at 76 , 69 and 73.5 ..and all three games went over !!!!
They scored 78, 99, and 79 in those games
so its suspiciously low opening at 64 ( its been bet up to 66) which is why im taking the underComment -
The line in Houston game was at 67.5 and went down to 66Comment -
the last 7 or 8 matchups with Utep/Houston have averaged about 70-90 points, how the hell is anybody taking an under in this game???
if you want to take an under, do the under for Utep TT because their offense has looked terrible at times this year. Houston might cover 67 by themselvesComment -
Wow!! Surprise..surprise!!
Why even post your plays?? I think everyone on the internet know what side your on. Have you ever posted a play on the public side? 
Do you put any thought into capping games at all beside fading the public and line moves?? Im not saying your going to lose all your plays...but the public wins too you know
Anyway good luck tonight
Comment -
Wow!! Surprise..surprise!!Why even post your plays?? I think everyone on the internet know what side your on. Have you ever posted a play on the public side? Do you put any thought into capping games at all beside fading the public and line moves?? Im not saying your going to lose all your plays...but the public wins too you know Anyway good luck tonight
the public hits about 50% long term and gets juiced to death
look at the BTP contest, the public hit about 51%
people who try to "fade the public" are completely retardedComment -
You are the public.Comment -
I don't pay attention to this stuff
all i know is Houston has one of the best offenses in the country and just an atrocious defense. These 2 teams played 2 years ago with alot of the same personell and the game had nearly a 100 points (58-41)
nothing here points to an under, unless you wanna talk about how awful Utep's offense has looked this year (but then you're better off just taking a TT under on utep because Houston could score 60-70 points here by themselves)Comment -
love the picks. good luck
why do people first post you will lose, you suck, etc......
i never do this.....sometimes i spout off about how good i am but i never put picks down unless they come into my thread and start talking useless trash.
anyway, good luck tonight. i am large on pitt as well and playing utep for atleast a medium maybe even more.Comment -
with all due respect, my college football record is excellent. I had a bit of a down week last week going 2-3 but that was after like an 11-2 stretch
this is far and away my favorite sport to bet on though I gotta admit. There's such a big disparity in talent between teams, so you can lay 10 points on the road at NCST for georgia tech and still get a winner the overwhelming majority of the time because of the talent difference between the 2 teamsComment -
Houston has a good offense but it's not one of the best in the country. They play in a weak conference face weak competition so they score a lot of points.
Anyway, I have bet on two Houston games this year so I am a little familiar with them. A lot of people were saying they were a lock against La. Tech on the road and they were lucky to win that game by one point.
Houston also struggled against North Texas. People that just look at box scores won't see it but the truth of the matter is, the game was close at halftime and Houston scored a few garbage TDS late after UNT had already given up. Houston was still throwing to the endzone with like 30 seconds left.
I know UTEP sucks but Houston has shown to suck on the road against worse teams. 16.5 is a lot to give a home team on a Thursday night against a team that struggles on the road.
The line just dropped to -15.5 as well.
While you shouldn't base all of your plays on line movement alone, "not paying attention to that stuff" as you say, will hurt you. It should factor into your handicapping. That being said, I think a lot of people bet on games because they think team A is good and team B sucks.
The over/under is suspicious as hell. Everyone loves the over yet it just dropped........That should tell you something with a line that was already set low. It's not a guarantee that the game will go under but that's the side the books are taking.
FYI, I've been killing it in college football. I don't just bet against the public. I've taken LSU and Oklahoma State a few times this year and it was the easiest money I have made. That being said, I have a feeling the dogs will bark tonight.Comment -
I'm right there with you on the spread side with this game, I got no idea whose gonna cover
but the total is definately an over play, Houston just doesn't have the capacity to stop anybody and playing on the road, they'll get gashed for at least 28-35 points. UTEP's defense is fukking terrible and they'll get gashed for at least 42-45 points
I think this might hit 65 before 4th quarter startsComment -
It could. I just feel like the odds are on my side based on how I'm viewing the line. I'm totally confident in it though which is why I'm not betting a whole lot on it.
As for Utep. They are getting hammered. They are now +14.5.
I said about an hour ago I thought they had a chance to win outright and the line has moved 2 points since then. Apparently there are some other people that share similar opinions.Comment -
well, I'm on the USF... good luck anyway!!Comment -
I went 2-1 tonight. Pitt and UTEP covered easily.
Nice call on saying USF would win 31-21 and the game would go under! USF really showed that powerful offense you were talking about.
I'm not really surprised I lost a game. I'll take 2-1 every day.
Nice call on the Houston/UTEP over. Did you also take USF and the under?Comment -
Goldengreek's 2011-2012 Football Record -
NCAAF - Sep. 29 Th
10* PITT + 3 = +10 +$1,000
4* OVER 51 PITT / SFLOR = [final total: 61] +4 +$400
7* UNDER 66.5 HOUST/ UTEP = [final total: 91] -7.7 -$770
7* UTEP + 16.5 = +7 +$700
NCAAF - day: (3-1) +13.3units +$1,330 season: (59-61-2) –62.1units -$6,210
NFL – day: [No Plays] season: (25-25-1) +5.1units +$510
NCAAF/NFL Combined - season: (84-86-3) –57units -$5,700Comment
