HARRY'S WEEK 4 COLLEGE PLAYS (14-8 on season)

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  • Harry N. Lloyd
    SBR MVP
    • 03-26-08
    • 4810

    #1
    HARRY'S WEEK 4 COLLEGE PLAYS (14-8 on season)
    Boyz,

    Hoping to add to this season's profits with the following plays.....

    COLORADO +16- at OHIO STATE

    I noted in an earlier thread that Colorado is a program in a slump. They haven't won an away game (not counting last week's neutral field win against Colo St.) since 2007. That's 19 straight losses on the road. Very unlikely they break that pathetic streak here at the Horseshoe. However, these are not the Buckeyes of old and I see absolutely no reason they should be laying this many points. The Buckeyes are only averaging 25 ppg and most of that came against lowly Akron. The Buffs aren't great, but they are competitive and should be able to hang within the lofty number.

    MEMPHIS +21- against SMU

    Fully realize that Memphis is bad.....real bad. But the oddsmakers have already factored that into this number. The Mustangs haven't laid this kind of lumber on the road since the glory days of the Pony Express, when they featured Dickinson and James in the same backfield. The Tigers had a bit of success passing last week against weakling Austin Peay (332 yds). They should have enough momentum behind them to put up a reasonable fight at home.

    MISSISSIPPI +9- against GEORGIA

    Two coaches on the hot seat. Rebs coach Nutt is almost certainly a goner, particularly after last week's beatdown against Vanderbilt. Still compelled to take the generous points against a Georgia team that seems perpetually over-rated.

    SAN DIEGO STATE +10- at MICHIGAN

    This is a huge out-of-conference game for the Aztecs. First off, they believe that they're an underrated program and aim to prove it here. Secondly, Michigan new HC Hoke coached at SD St. last year. He recruited most of these kids, then deserted them for greener pastures. The Aztecs are pretty good, sitting at 3-0, averaging 38 ppg, including 220 ypg rushing. The Wolverines defense is definitely improved from last year, giving up only 14.7 ppg. Two of their three wins were against MAC competition though. Notre Dame lit them up pretty good. I think SD St. should be able to put up a few scores and give the Wolverines a real battle.

    NOTRE DAME -7 at PITTSBURGH (***Double Play***)

    All the momentum is with the Irish. They finally got their first win of the season last week against Michigan State while Pitt had their heart broken against Iowa, blowing a 21 point lead. Notre Dame has lost 7 fumbles and 6 interceptions in three games. That pace can't keep up. I see them protecting the ball much better this week, shredding the Pitt secondary, and winning rather easily.

    BUFFALO +8- against UCONN

    The Huskies have not looked very good in the early going of this season. The offense is averaging barely over 300 ypg against the likes of Fordham, Vanderbilt, and Iowa State. The Bulls have covered their first three, playing moderately better than expected. I see this game as a toss up and will gladly take over a TD.

    WYOMING +21- against NEBRASKA

    Sandwich game for the Huskers. Last week they had a big rematch with the Huskies of Washington and next week they travel to Madison to face a very impressive Wisconsin team. The objective this week is to get in and out of Laramie with a victory and no injuries. They won't show too much of their playbook in this one and may even use quite a few subs. The Cowboys have been surprisingly strong offensively, averaging 227 ypg rushing and 265 ypg passing. Not bad. I'll take the home dog getting over 3 TDs.

    As always, best of luck.
    Harry
  • DangerousOne
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-30-08
    • 249

    #2
    Great Stuff!!! Thanks again Harry
    Comment
    • Harry N. Lloyd
      SBR MVP
      • 03-26-08
      • 4810

      #3
      One of those weeks where I'm betting on teams that ain't so great......Memphis, Wyoming, Buffalo, Mississippi, Colorado.....but, in my eyes, that's where the value is this week. We'll see.
      Comment
      • fishtot
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-01-09
        • 650

        #4
        woo hoo
        Comment
        • porterkid69
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-17-08
          • 228

          #5
          GL and Thanks Harry
          Comment
          • CBASS
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-10
            • 2613

            #6
            BOL to you Harry
            Comment
            • gshock1
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-04-09
              • 5366

              #7
              I got Wyoming at +24 when the line first came out.
              Comment
              • Harry N. Lloyd
                SBR MVP
                • 03-26-08
                • 4810

                #8
                Boyz,

                Gonna add this one to the mix......

                BYU -1- against UNIV-CENTRAL FLORIDA

                UCF has the better looking defense, but closer inspection shows they've only played against the weak offenses of Charleston Southern, Boston College, and Florida International. Not exactly juggernauts. BYU has faced the tougher schedule and they are overdue for an offensive breakout.....at least relatively speaking (They're only averaging 13 ppg.) Last week they were embarrassed at home against arch-rival Utah, 54-10. Seven turnovers did them in. Expect a much better effort this week, under the lights and on national TV. It's gonna feel like a long way from home for the Knights, especially coming from sea level up to this altitude. The Cougars will get it done in Provo. It's not an official play, but the OVER 43- is definitely worth a peek as well. Good luck.

                Harry
                Comment
                • HR Paperstacks
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-20-11
                  • 910

                  #9
                  What do you think about Florida @ Kentucky? I am a UK fan but I think Florida names the score and I really like them to cover the 20 or whatever it is at now.
                  Comment
                  • Harry N. Lloyd
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-26-08
                    • 4810

                    #10
                    Florida will win. The question is.....by how much? My money would lean to OVER 44.
                    Comment
                    • Harry N. Lloyd
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-26-08
                      • 4810

                      #11
                      Boyz,

                      For the record, I will also be plopping $$ down on the following totals plays.....

                      DUKE - UNDER 56
                      PENN STATE - OVER 46- (***Double Play***)
                      GEORGIA TECH - UNDER 58
                      IDAHO - UNDER 52-
                      TROY STATE - UNDER 63-

                      Best of luck,
                      Harry
                      Comment
                      • darkenergy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-08-09
                        • 4013

                        #12
                        Looking for your threads every Saturday and Sunday morning Harry, thanks for all the work.
                        Really like SD st. (my biggest bet of the day). Also like ND and Buffalo.
                        Best of luck today Harry.
                        Comment
                        • Harry N. Lloyd
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-26-08
                          • 4810

                          #13
                          Originally posted by darkenergy
                          Looking for your threads every Saturday and Sunday morning Harry, thanks for all the work.
                          Really like SD st. (my biggest bet of the day). Also like ND and Buffalo.
                          Best of luck today Harry.
                          Thanks, man. Joe Paterno has to light a fire under the ass of his anemic offense, with conference games coming up. This game should sail over the total. The Nittany Lions may go over by themselves.
                          Comment
                          • fedtpels
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-08-10
                            • 407

                            #14
                            Thanks for making it easy to tail your picks. BOL today
                            Comment
                            • jayfly
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-18-09
                              • 1234

                              #15
                              Looks like these bad teams are gonna bite us in the ass today.
                              Comment
                              • jayfly
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-18-09
                                • 1234

                                #16
                                buried early wow, hope late games are better
                                Comment
                                • jayfly
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-18-09
                                  • 1234

                                  #17
                                  colorado getting buried early and completely overmatched, what a disaster
                                  Comment
                                  • jayfly
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-18-09
                                    • 1234

                                    #18
                                    think u r trying way too hard to make "cute" picks , playing all these crappy teams
                                    Comment
                                    • Blackroc78
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-15-11
                                      • 1189

                                      #19
                                      Yikes! That's Crazy! BOL next week!
                                      Comment
                                      • Giant Rebels
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 10-09-10
                                        • 289

                                        #20
                                        Brutal Day. Unreal.
                                        Comment
                                        • bypp
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-05-08
                                          • 664

                                          #21
                                          Bad day, saw you and a lot of other good cappers on a bunch of the same games. Better luck next week.
                                          Comment
                                          • Blackroc78
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-15-11
                                            • 1189

                                            #22
                                            brutal weekend all around, that's college ball! toughest out of all sports to predict in my opinion,
                                            Comment
                                            • Galego
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-18-11
                                              • 791

                                              #23
                                              Unbelievable!!! 1-12 in the plays in this thread and 0-12 on saturday!!!

                                              Best luck next week man!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • Harry N. Lloyd
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-26-08
                                                • 4810

                                                #24
                                                Pretty hard to do. OUCH!! I lost a lot of money yesterday. My aim is to win it back and turn a profit this season....like I try to do every year. It starts again in a few days. Sorry, if you tailed me.

                                                Harry
                                                Comment
                                                • jayfly
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-18-09
                                                  • 1234

                                                  #25
                                                  No worries Harry, I was a little frustrated yesterday cause I lost some $$ as well but it happens. You have a long track record of winning and I am sure you will do just fine. Shit happens.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shopbar picks
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-08-10
                                                    • 2157

                                                    #26
                                                    You will rebound as always! Keep posting. Thanx SBP
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DangerousOne
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 10-30-08
                                                      • 249

                                                      #27
                                                      Rough day for some good cappers Harry. You'll rebound big next week.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Blackroc78
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-15-11
                                                        • 1189

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                                                        Pretty hard to do. OUCH!! I lost a lot of money yesterday. My aim is to win it back and turn a profit this season....like I try to do every year. It starts again in a few days. Sorry, if you tailed me.

                                                        Harry
                                                        No need to apologize, shit happens, everybody had a rough weekend!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • thetrinity
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-25-11
                                                          • 22430

                                                          #29
                                                          wyoming burned me as well harry. had my worst week yet 1-3-1.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jayfly
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-18-09
                                                            • 1234

                                                            #30
                                                            gonna have anything this week harry?
                                                            Comment
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