LSU -5 and Oregon -14

[brucesmall]

Well, I hit the LSU and Boise picks last week, personally hit a four and three team parlay!!

LSU, easy play for next week imo. Beast defense and Big East defense. I smell big time mis-match right here.

Arizona is not impressive and Oregon now back in the top 10. I think Oregon will roll with ease. Arizona score in high to low thirties, but their defense will not hold.

Picks by themselves and parlaying em!!

[brucesmall]

And here is a link to my thread.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-handicapping/1245291-bonanza-bruces-college-picks.html

[brahmabull117]

the more and more I look at this oregon game, the more I like the over



Arizona will score in the 20s and oregon will score in the 40s right?

[GoBlue23]

the more and more I look at this oregon game, the more I like the over



Arizona will score in the 20s and oregon will score in the 40s right?

I keep waiting for Arizona to score...and they continue to fail me. 14 pts against a shitty Okie St. defense...and 10 against Stanford. Okie St. was on the road so take that into account a bit. But Stanford's top defender left in the 1H. Oregon's D is better than OK State's. Foles has ZERO time to throw because A. The offensive line is garbage, and B. They can't run to take pressure of Foles because the O-line is so bad. Also, when capping overs, don't forget to take into account special teams...and Arizona's are god awful. Especially the kicker.

Just my 2 cents though. BOL

[brahmabull117]

I keep waiting for Arizona to score...and they continue to fail me. 14 pts against a shitty Okie St. defense...and 10 against Stanford. Okie St. was on the road so take that into account a bit. But Stanford's top defender left in the 1H. Oregon's D is better than OK State's. Foles has ZERO time to throw because A. The offensive line is garbage, and B. They can't run to take pressure of Foles because the O-line is so bad. Also, when capping overs, don't forget to take into account special teams...and Arizona's are god awful. Especially the kicker. Just my 2 cents though. BOL

So take Oregon to win this one big you think??

[49erFan8280]

Seems like Arizona's coaching all of sudden sucked too. Many questionable calls by Stoops.

[GoBlue23]

So take Oregon to win this one big you think??

I can't give you an unbiased opinion because Arizona has fukked me hard the past two weeks

I lean Oregon, but I can't take them becuase I'm sure the one time I finally bet against that shit Zona team they will cover

But being as unbiased I can right here...Arizona has lost 7 stright games to FBS opponents...so obviously there is no way you can take them here. I'm staying away, but Oregon or no play...but keep in mind my disclaimer

[brahmabull117]

I can't give you an unbiased opinion because Arizona has fukked me hard the past two weeks I lean Oregon, but I can't take them becuase I'm sure the one time I finally bet against that shit Zona team they will cover But being as unbiased I can right here...Arizona has lost 7 stright games to FBS opponents...so obviously there is no way you can take them here. I'm staying away, but Oregon or no play...but keep in mind my disclaimer

have you been impressed by Oregon's defense so far this year??



they played a great game against LSU without their best corner (Cliff harris), holding LSU to just about 290 total yards


I think this is a good defense that doesn't get enough credit and their offense should be even better with guys like Darron Thomas and Lamichael james getting more experience

[csknight3]

Nick Foles is amazing on Arizona...its too bad he doesn't have a D or any running game. No running game makes it almost impossible for Arizona to score when they are in the red zone. Oregon should win easily but you never know. Also totally agree with the LSU explanation. I like your early picks brucesmall. Best of Luck.

[brahmabull117]

Arizona's defense is really really terrible though. Giving up 37 points to Stanford and OSU... those are 2 great offenses but neither one of them play with the intensity, pace and explosiveness of Oregon

[GoBlue23]

have you been impressed by Oregon's defense so far this year??



they played a great game against LSU without their best corner (Cliff harris), holding LSU to just about 290 total yards


I think this is a good defense that doesn't get enough credit and their offense should be even better with guys like Darron Thomas and Lamichael james getting more experience

I would say they are above average...especially for all that time they spend on the field with that quick scoring offense. Not to mention, they are built for the Pac-12 (obviously). Smaller, fast, and atheltic. The D-line got manhandled versus LSU, but LSU's O-line is huge, athletic, and very good. Arizona has 4 new offensive lineman this year...and that has been their main issue. Foles can hurt you if he gets a second to throw...but thus far he hasn't.

If Oregon can pressure Foles (like every other team has this year) they should handle Arizona easily. and I haven't seen any evidence form that O-line this year that leads me to believe they can protect Foles.

The only thing that confuses me a bit is the line...Oregon is much better than Stanford IMO and I'm sure you saw what Stanford did to AZ on saturday night. Granted, AZ prolly covers if they had a decent kicker...but that's part of the game. Suprised Oregon is only -14.5 here though...but I guess that's about right for a conference road game.

[brahmabull117]

The D-line got manhandled versus LSU, but LSU's O-line is huge, athletic, and very good.

actually they did a decent job stopping the run in that game, I think LSU only averaged 4 yards a carry

[FindTheLock]

Oregon is over rated, but they are the best team in the pac and they should destroy arizona. Arizona has a special teams as bad as Boise St. They will need to score all their points on TD's or they won't be able to score. Not to mention the chances of them missing extra points is very high. I think Oregon will destroy this small line and it might even move to 17 and still get covered.

[brucesmall]

I keep waiting for Arizona to score...and they continue to fail me. 14 pts against a shitty Okie St. defense...and 10 against Stanford. Okie St. was on the road so take that into account a bit. But Stanford's top defender left in the 1H. Oregon's D is better than OK State's. Foles has ZERO time to throw because A. The offensive line is garbage, and B. They can't run to take pressure of Foles because the O-line is so bad. Also, when capping overs, don't forget to take into account special teams...and Arizona's are god awful. Especially the kicker.

Just my 2 cents though. BOL

Kicking issues n no dedense, seems like 14 is an easy number. LSU IS LSU, I think they win by two or more scores.

N.D. -6 is another steal, pitt has no defense n relies on running, n.d. By 10 or more.

[GoBlue23]

actually they did a decent job stopping the run in that game, I think LSU only averaged 4 yards a carry

Yeah I think you're right...they averaged 4 or less if I recall. The Oregon LBs deserve a lot of credit for that. I was more referring to the overall play just based on what I saw. Lots of pancakes and d-lineman getting run out of the picture by LSU's o-line. Doesn't always show up in the boxscore. Plus I think they only allowed one sack...which was by the LBs on a blitz if I recall.

Regardless...it's a moot point. Arizona's o-line isn't 25% as good as LSU's

[GoBlue23]

Kicking issues n no dedense, seems like 14 is an easy number. LSU IS LSU, I think they win by two or more scores.

N.D. -6 is another steal, pitt has no defense n relies on running, n.d. By 10 or more.

That ND line popped out to me too. The Big East is bad. ND's o-line should control that game easily. Not to mention the mismatches Floyd and Woods create. Never know what will happen though when you can't catch punts like Notre Dame . Still, I think ND wins by 2 TDs. BOL

[brucesmall]

Nick Foles is amazing on Arizona...its too bad he doesn't have a D or any running game. No running game makes it almost impossible for Arizona to score when they are in the red zone. Oregon should win easily but you never know. Also totally agree with the LSU explanation. I like your early picks brucesmall. Best of Luck.

Lemme explain. LSU has the best defense. Their offense matched up with big east defense. LSU has won every game by more than six.

That ND line popped out to me too. The Big East is bad. ND's o-line should control that game easily. Not to mention the mismatches Floyd and Woods create. Never know what will happen though when you can't catch punts like Notre Dame . Still, I think ND wins by 2 TDs. BOL

N.D. offense should have no problemo here, as long as they limit mistakes. I think N.D. has shown a tendency to stop the running game. So Pitt will be forced to pass and again I think they will make a few key errors.

[BernardMadoff]

Dont think that LSU game will be as easy as you may think.

[brucesmall]

LSU, Oregon, N.D. Parlay!

[sportfan]

Oregon over is like automatic , Arizona has no defense

[Cntax]

I'm with you big on LSU

[brucesmall]

That is nice to hear, but hit up Oregon some too sir, easy game.

[Cntax]

Alright, gonna follow you to the bank lol. BOL!

[brucesmall]

Well, no jinxing, Looks like my intial plays were winners!!

[Shafted69]

Way to hit those parlays bruces mall.

You are a genius buddy.

Anything good for the NFL tomorrow? Good Luck !!

[brucesmall]

Um, the NFL for me has been a bad thing. I got a better feel for college. I got burned by Needle Di*k and Bit*h State.

Not bad barely under for today, hope everyone played it safe and took Oregon and LSU.


I'm gonna probably to a teaser. The lines are just not easy for me to read. Good Luck bro.