Said it last year and I'll say it again: unders are a thing of the past in football

TwoWays · 09-04-11, 07:15 PM

Plenty of unders yesterday in college football.

HoulihansTX · 09-04-11, 07:19 PM

Boston College still an under machine.

Ten od last twelve games have gone UNDA th Total.

Sunde91 · 09-04-11, 07:23 PM

games like these have 0 reason to bet under unless the total is obscenely high like 75

a game like WVU/Pitt it's better to bet under

No coincidences · 09-04-11, 07:25 PM

Originally posted by Sunde91

games like these have 0 reason to bet under unless the total is obscenely high like 75

a game like WVU/Pitt it's better to bet under

Right, so why would Vegas throw a 55 out there?

How is that balancing out the bets?

TwoWays · 09-04-11, 07:29 PM

Well obviously the bets must be pretty balanced on both sides of the total since the total line did not climb obscenely high. It is very unpredictable how teams will play at the beginning of each season, so I'm sure the totals will adjust appropriately as the season continues.

TwoWays · 09-04-11, 07:31 PM

If you took away the early turnovers which resulted in great field position for A & M, this game would move pretty quickly since it's more of a running game for both teams.

Sunde91 · 09-04-11, 07:33 PM

well look at last year's scoring totals for both teams and it adds up to about 56, then wind conditions maybe brought it down

they do go under, but it's usually real close to the total and a score or 2 from going over. teams need to be way below average on Offense in some uncommon Defensive struggle for this to go comfortably under

ridims · 09-04-11, 07:36 PM

i have a feeling no coin took the under tonight

lol

Boxer300 · 09-04-11, 07:44 PM

Yeah the total even dropped but there was no way I wasn't playing the over in this one

HoulihansTX · 09-04-11, 07:49 PM

"Sharps" bet under in the Houston UCLA game also.... tht never had a chance either.

Sharps usually have major bankrolls, and can make mistakes. They make thousands of bets over the course of a fiscal year. One bet does not make or break them.

Like Steve Fezzik. That guy has hundreds of bets on Saturdays. He has already bet every game of every week in the NFL.

TwoWays · 09-04-11, 08:11 PM

Florida St. looks like an under machine this year as well. Their offense looks pretty terrible.

No coincidences · 09-04-11, 08:17 PM

Originally posted by ridims

i have a feeling no coin took the under tonight

lol

No bet on this game -- just watching it and laughing about the total.

thebestthereis · 09-04-11, 09:07 PM

if you just pick the games and don't bet money on them you will win 60% of the time easy if not more.

Dutch · 09-04-11, 09:15 PM

No Coin, You know of a site that keeps track of over/under stats? I usually do pretty good in college with the over.

NFL, I don't fuk with totals. Always seems to go under tho'.

ebbearsfb1 · 09-04-11, 09:17 PM

no one can tackle anymore its pathetic...

No coincidences · 09-04-11, 09:17 PM

Originally posted by Dutch

No Coin, You know of a site that keeps track of over/under stats? I usually do pretty good in college with the over.

I would imagine Covers.com does somewhere.

College overs seem to be gold, but maybe it's just the games I'm paying attention to.

Dutch · 09-04-11, 09:17 PM

Nevermind, just found o/u stats at covers, no numbers up yet.

Dutch · 09-04-11, 09:23 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

College overs seem to be gold,

Especially the first few weeks, after conf. games start I pull back a bit. A lot of big ten games seem to go under. They eat up the clock running the ball and usually play decent defense.

darkenergy · 09-04-11, 09:47 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Right, so why would Vegas throw a 55 out there? How is that balancing out the bets?

Well maybe books didn't know how much Smu can score..........or they set the line low to get some money from of the "overthinking" bettors.
Wait until mid-season where injuries, and weather will affect the ability of score for a team.

In college football and NFL, the first 6-8 weeks where favors and OVERs (or you called it square) are cash like crazy. No punch intend, but I think the type of bettor like you or lakerboy hardly do good in 1h of season. Close to bowls or playoff is you guys' times.
I feel this in NBA and MLB as well.

AribaAriba · 09-04-11, 09:56 PM

the total at smu and texas landed at 60 with a 56 line, i dont see any big discrepancy and lines are pretty sharp no matter what

. You still have to pick your'e spot when betting over as it will come back to hunt you in the long run if you assume that over would hit at a high rate.

No coincidences · 09-05-11, 08:29 PM

New day, same result.

HOT WINGS · 09-05-11, 09:35 PM

Originally posted by Dutch

Especially the first few weeks, after conf. games start I pull back a bit. A lot of big ten games seem to go under. They eat up the clock running the ball and usually play decent defense.

Defenses always seem to be behind offenses at beginning of season which makes sense to me. It seems to be especially true in College where Defense is usually sub-par in general.

sjm5122 · 09-08-11, 08:08 PM

Do games ever go under anymore?

ebbearsfb1 · 09-08-11, 08:25 PM

Looks like it carried over to nfl.. the game is tailored for offense.. don't waste your time on unders anymore

Dutch · 09-14-11, 04:48 PM

Overs might be a shared dellusion

According to Covers, All college games including over time games - Overs: 48.23%...Unders: 51.77%

TwoWays · 09-14-11, 05:14 PM

Screw covers. The numbers are that way because of small college games that most people don't play the total on anyway. Stick with going over on the offensively strong teams/bad defensive teams playing against the like and overs will almost always be the result.