ALL IN play. lock of the season. TCU -3.5

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  • TodaysLocks
    SBR MVP
    • 09-06-10
    • 1450

    #36
    Originally posted by thetrinity
    lol at the line being 13 15 17 etc. personally i dont really trust this baylor team who seemed to get worse as the year went on last year. tcu so depleted IMO though. im gonna sit out and root for tcu and have air force next week against them for sure.
    Be here at 1130pm to back up your words big boy.
    Comment
    • BathingApe
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 08-18-10
      • 846

      #37
      **** is he going for the reverse jinx or what?
      Comment
      • jalein
        SBR MVP
        • 11-19-08
        • 1005

        #38
        I like TCU too. Never been a fan of an ALL IN play though. Wish you the best. I am there with you just will NEVER do an ALL IN.
        Comment
        • BigDofBA
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-30-09
          • 19313

          #39
          Fade this play. This guy never picks winners.

          He claimed the Padres were a lock the other day.....

          He had another lock of the century that lost and before the game he said if it lost he was done.
          Comment
          • antifoil
            SBR MVP
            • 11-11-09
            • 3993

            #40
            the only right bet on the game was baylor +6 and maybe baylor +4.5. if you don't beat the closing line, you are going to be a losing bettor long term.
            Comment
            • phillybadboy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-11-09
              • 9383

              #41
              i'm also all in
              Comment
              • TodaysLocks
                SBR MVP
                • 09-06-10
                • 1450

                #42
                Originally posted by antifoil
                the only right bet on the game was baylor +6 and maybe baylor +4.5. if you don't beat the closing line, you are going to be a losing bettor long term.
                Gonna be a blowout dude.
                Comment
                • ramones951
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-23-08
                  • 2356

                  #43
                  Week 1 all-in!!!! Start out with double your normal bankroll, how have I not thought of this strategy before!!!
                  Comment
                  • antifoil
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-11-09
                    • 3993

                    #44
                    Originally posted by TodaysLocks
                    Gonna be a blowout dude.

                    you can't be a winning bettor betting on the closing line long term. if you think you can, you don't understand gambling and market efficiency.
                    Comment
                    • TodaysLocks
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-06-10
                      • 1450

                      #45
                      Originally posted by antifoil
                      you can't be a winning bettor betting on the closing line long term. if you think you can, you don't understand gambling and market efficiency.
                      Wasn't my post dude, I laid down my wager early.
                      Comment
                      • phillybadboy
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-11-09
                        • 9383

                        #46
                        need this
                        Comment
                        • riskyProps
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-11-10
                          • 2201

                          #47
                          where is the D in this game?
                          Comment
                          • Love The Action
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 10952

                            #48
                            Originally posted by antifoil
                            the only right bet on the game was baylor +6 and maybe baylor +4.5. if you don't beat the closing line, you are going to be a losing bettor long term.
                            Originally posted by antifoil
                            you can't be a winning bettor betting on the closing line long term. if you think you can, you don't understand gambling and market efficiency.


                            Exactly! Some meatball actually tried to debate me on this in my baseball thread. You wanna know what his argument was..."the only thing that matters is picking winners." Classic meatball take without even thinking of the long term effects of consistently beating the closing line.

                            Good post
                            Comment
                            • phillybadboy
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-11-09
                              • 9383

                              #49
                              reload
                              Comment
                              • gambling god
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-20-10
                                • 8583

                                #50
                                This clown is 0-6 with his all in plays and anyone who follows this clown off a cliff deserves to lose because he only bets monopoly money or robs alot of banks to pay his bookie.
                                Win,lose or draw your a useless tool but makesure you post tomorrow so i can start the season 3-0.
                                Comment
                                • harlee71
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-02-09
                                  • 7202

                                  #51
                                  Not to stir the pot, but I thought Todays Lock was going to be here watching the game. Crickets since 715. I was indifferent on the game and took Baylor ML. TCU could still win it's only half time. My plays cashed though Baylor TT O24.5 and O52. That is where my real money was. Hitting anything over the closing line here tonight is gonna be tough.
                                  Comment
                                  • Aussiecapper101
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-04-10
                                    • 2220

                                    #52
                                    That kicker sucks they couldn't have snapped it any better
                                    Comment
                                    • riskyProps
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-11-10
                                      • 2201

                                      #53
                                      Beatdown City
                                      Comment
                                      • LockPickMaster
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-15-09
                                        • 1943

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by gambling god
                                        This clown is 0-6 with his all in plays and anyone who follows this clown off a cliff deserves to lose because he only bets monopoly money or robs alot of banks to pay his bookie. Win,lose or draw your a useless tool but makesure you post tomorrow so i can start the season 3-0.
                                        I think he got chased off the covers board for posting his locks over there.
                                        Comment
                                        • MUHerd37
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-23-09
                                          • 12816

                                          #55
                                          Some people getting buried and it's day 2.
                                          Comment
                                          • Sabear
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 08-22-10
                                            • 65

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Love The Action


                                            Exactly! Some meatball actually tried to debate me on this in my baseball thread. You wanna know what his argument was..."the only thing that matters is picking winners." Classic meatball take without even thinking of the long term effects of consistently beating the closing line.

                                            Good post

                                            Could you guys please elaborate on how "market efficiency" and taking the closing line always fails in the long-run? That would suggest that betting the early line somehow improves ones odds over the same period.

                                            So what is the correlation between early / late lines and winner / loser?

                                            Thanks
                                            Comment
                                            • krk1030
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-13-08
                                              • 17610

                                              #57
                                              Easy Baylor ML winner.
                                              Comment
                                              • BigDofBA
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-30-09
                                                • 19313

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                Fade this play. This guy never picks winners. He claimed the Padres were a lock the other day..... He had another lock of the century that lost and before the game he said if it lost he was done.
                                                Thanks for the fade again you loser.

                                                I tried to tell you guys. This clown trolls other people's threads talking shit and I have yet to see him post a winner.


                                                Comment
                                                • LockPickMaster
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-15-09
                                                  • 1943

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by krk1030
                                                  Easy Baylor ML winner.
                                                  Holy Shit Don't go to Sleep yet
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DR225
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-24-11
                                                    • 2010

                                                    #60
                                                    Spoke a little too soon? It'll be hard for them to cover but I think they win this game.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bigsmitty
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-12-10
                                                      • 3026

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                      Thanks for the fade again you loser.

                                                      I tried to tell you guys. This clown trolls other people's threads talking shit and I have yet to see him post a winner.


                                                      Well I've basically given up the TCU spread but it's not that major to me. Scored a CFL bet which for me was nice but they may send it to OT which would be a shocker. Haven't seen much of the game but looks so far super entertaining. Cheers
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bigsmitty
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-12-10
                                                        • 3026

                                                        #62
                                                        Wow so I guess you have to get the two here...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JMUplayer
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-27-09
                                                          • 2765

                                                          #63
                                                          Gottlieb on ESPN radio was all over Baylor
                                                          Comment
                                                          • phillybadboy
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-11-09
                                                            • 9383

                                                            #64
                                                            need this
                                                            Comment
                                                            • drfunkmaster
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-29-08
                                                              • 11162

                                                              #65
                                                              Lol loser!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Foggy
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 05-07-10
                                                                • 664

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by LolsMcwinsey
                                                                Been waiting for this line all year no way it loses
                                                                Haha Kharma bitch
                                                                Comment
                                                                • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-17-09
                                                                  • 11939

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Over was the easy play in this one
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • drfunkmaster
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-29-08
                                                                    • 11162

                                                                    #68
                                                                    I hit the 2 teamer over and baylor... HAHAHAH...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • postal warrior
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 09-25-10
                                                                      • 1330

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Day 2 of football and your broke. Lmao.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Stompin_Tom
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 12-02-10
                                                                        • 226

                                                                        #70
                                                                        ALL IN play. lock of the season. TCU -3.5
                                                                        Comment
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