LTA's NCAAF Plays

**Dexter** · 11-25-11, 10:37 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Yep...it's an obvious over, and I think it will be a shootout, but a shootout where both teams stay in the mid-to-low 30's as opposed to the 40's. I'm waiting for 78.5 or even 79 and I think we could get it. The whole world is on the over. It could very well go over, but Houston has not faced a defense like Tulsa's all year. The only defense close was SMU and LouTech, both of which kept Houston in the 30's. Good luck SK

i had a feeling you would play the under. not sure why considering the advanced stats you look at.

good luck with your other plays...

**pacocn** · 11-25-11, 10:38 AM

Lta, it is up to 78 on my book at this time.

**GChild** · 11-25-11, 10:47 AM

I got 79.5 at my book

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 13

Play #1

Miami (OH)/Ohio over (53) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

Georgia Tech (+6.5) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Bowling Green (+3) 1x (Locked)

Play #4

Louisville/South Florida under (45) 1x (Locked)

Play #5

Kent State/Temple under (41) 1x (Locked)

No time for writeups...monitoring the lines so I can get the best numbers. More to come. Good luck.

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

i had a feeling you would play the under. not sure why considering the advanced stats you look at.

good luck with your other plays...

I just think the over is way overvalued at this point. I have it set at 73 and I can get 78.5 right now, so that's just too much value to pass up. Houston has not faced a defense like Tulsa all year and I just think this one will end in the 70's, but the low 70's....

I think you got on it early so maybe it can end at 76 and we both cash (although I have not locked it in yet, I am waiting for it to top out and will eventually take the under). GL

**GChild** · 11-25-11, 10:53 AM

Ha 80.0 now at my book wow

**Xstream** · 11-25-11, 11:03 AM

Go Houston -3 and LSU -12!

Best of Luck to you LTA!

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 13

Play #1

Miami (OH)/Ohio over (53) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

Georgia Tech (+6.5) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Bowling Green (+3) 1x (Locked)

Play #4

Louisville/South Florida under (45) 1x (Locked)

Play #5

Kent State/Temple under (41) 1x (Locked)

Play #6

Houston/Tulsa under (78.5) 1x (Locked)

I really wanted to get 79 and cover all key numbers through the 70's, but I wasn't going to buy the hook in this case because this one could easily fly over and I don't think it ends exactly on 70. Pinny has started to drop the total so I think it has topped out as under money starts to come in. No time for full writeups...monitoring the lines so I can get the best numbers. More to come. Good luck

**suicidekings** · 11-25-11, 11:24 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Play #6

Houston/Tulsa under (78.5) 1x (Locked)

I really wanted to get 79 and cover all key numbers through the 70's, but I wasn't going to buy the hook in this case because this one could easily fly over and I don't think it ends exactly on 70. Pinny has started to drop the total so I think it has topped out as under money starts to come in. No time for full writeups...monitoring the lines so I can get the best numbers. More to come. Good luck

I love the look of this play, with the total falling at Pinny and the Greek.

**GChild** · 11-25-11, 11:26 AM

Back down to 77 now wow

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by GChild

Back down to 77 now wow

Originally posted by suicidekings

I love the look of this play, with the total falling at Pinny and the Greek.

GL gentlemen!

**GChild** · 11-25-11, 11:43 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

GL gentlemen!

You too my man

**leav11it** · 11-25-11, 11:44 AM

LTA first time post but have been following your plays since NBA last year... thanks for the write-ups and insights u da MAN!

**Donnie Brasco** · 11-25-11, 12:18 PM

Here's my plays:
Arkansas +12
Tulsa +3
Good luck boys

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 12:24 PM

If you are South Florida, how do you give up a 70 yard kickoff return after just scoring with 20 secs left in the half. We went from 10-3 with 1 minute left and USF about to score to 17-10 because of that. WTF a 14 point swing with less than 1 minute left. If my baby wasn't sleeping right next to me, I would throw my remote through the wall right now

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 12:25 PM

Originally posted by leav11it

LTA first time post but have been following your plays since NBA last year... thanks for the write-ups and insights u da MAN!

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 12:25 PM

Originally posted by Donnie Brasco

Here's my plays:
Arkansas +12
Tulsa +3
Good luck boys

GL

**BigDan** · 11-25-11, 12:26 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

If you are South Florida, how do you give up a 70 yard kickoff return after just scoring with 20 secs left in the half. We went from 10-3 with 1 minute left and USF about to score to 17-10 because of that. WTF. If my baby wasn't sleeping right next to me, I would throw my remote through the wall right now

i had 1st half under 21.5...fukkin pole smokers

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

i had 1st half under 21.5...fukkin pole smokers

Unreal BD. I hate that...you had it spot on and only that BS gives luck over backers the win.

Oh well, hope things have been going well for ya since the big Cards win.

What do you think of the new manager? With NBA out (and hopefully coming back for xmas), I have really been missing MLB. Can't wait for spring training.....

**BigDan** · 11-25-11, 12:35 PM

he has familiarity with the majority of the team already and is liked, honestly dont see why it will be much different as baseball manager about the most overrated job in sports, Duncan still there should be just fine....

ive been well, just busy..this the 1st free day i have had besides Sundays in some time...i saw you killing it with those nlf unders yesterday. nice work

**upscope** · 11-25-11, 12:48 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

If you are South Florida, how do you give up a 70 yard kickoff return after just scoring with 20 secs left in the half. We went from 10-3 with 1 minute left and USF about to score to 17-10 because of that. WTF a 14 point swing with less than 1 minute left. If my baby wasn't sleeping right next to me, I would throw my remote through the wall right now

Poor coaching!!

When SF was driving right before the half once they got into the red zone w/ under 3 minutes to play there was no excuse whatsoever to NOT be using the entire play clock. They ran two plays w/ 15 seconds still on the play clock & once thay got 1st & goal they snapped all 3 plays w/ 5-7 seconds still on the play clock...WHY??????????
There should have been no more than 10 sec left on the game clock after they scored. And the squib kick was bad too. I hate the fukkin sqib quick. Why not just boot it out of the end zone?? If you're afraid of a return why not just intentionally kick it out of bounds & force them to go 65 yrds in 35 sec?? I never have understood the squib kick.

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by upscope

Poor coaching!!

When SF was driving right before the half once they got into the red zone w/ under 3 minutes to play there was no excuse whatsoever to NOT be using the entire play clock. They ran two plays w/ 15 seconds still on the play clock & once thay got 1st & goal they snapped all 3 plays w/ 5-7 seconds still on the play clock...WHY??????????
There should have been no more than 10 sec left on the game clock after they scored. And the squib kick was bad too. I hate the fukkin sqib quick. Why not just boot it out of the end zone?? If you're afraid of a return why not just intentionally kick it out of bounds & force them to go 65 yrds in 35 sec?? I never have understood the squib kick.

Well said.

I don't get the squib kick either. Best case scenario, you give your opponent good field position at like their own 35. Worst case scenario....well, we saw that....

Gotta get through this 3rd quarter with no more points after the Louisville FG.

**GChild** · 11-25-11, 01:04 PM

Don't worry guys defense is going to step up on both ends

**leav11it** · 11-25-11, 01:14 PM

that "radar" defense looks great...

god damit

**GChild** · 11-25-11, 02:46 PM

Oh man

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 03:59 PM

Losing that kent under hurt....we split on the day 2-2. No more plays for todays games. GL

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 06:56 PM

I've never actually played in the SBR sportsbook with the "points" since I really don't give a crap about them. However, because I don't like the games tonight for even an action wager, I thought I would make my first SBR wager. I went with a crazy 6 team teaser. It's crazy to think that some people on here actually bet real money on these types of wagers.

WagerType:6 team teaserDate:Team:
Nov 25CFB [127] PITTSBURGH U +13-110 (B+6)
Nov 25CFB [128] TOTAL u64-110 (B+6) (PITTSBURGH U vrs WEST VIRGINIA)
Nov 25CFB [135] UTEP +15½-110 (B+6)
Nov 25CFB [135] TOTAL o46½-110 (B+6) (UTEP vrs CENTRAL FLORIDA)
Nov 25CFB [138] ARIZONA STATE +½-110 (B+6)
Nov 25CFB [138] TOTAL u62-110 (B+6) (CALIFORNIA vrs ARIZONA STATE)
Risking 83.00 SBR To Win 564.40
SBRTicket#: 1113816

**Love The Action** · 11-25-11, 09:49 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 13

Play #1

Miami (OH)/Ohio over (53) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #2

Georgia Tech (+6.5) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Bowling Green (+3) 1x (Locked) WINNER

Play #4

Louisville/South Florida under (45) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #5

Kent State/Temple under (41) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #6

Houston/Tulsa under (78.5) 1x (Locked) WINNER

Play #7

Alabama (-21) 1x (Locked)

I don't really think the Auburn home field advantage is enough to keep this one within 21. The Tide is the clearly superior team in this particular Iron Bowl with a defense that might just rank up there with some of the best. The Bama defense has 8-10 players that will play on Sundays and I expect them to run roughshot over a still raw Moseley. Alabama clearly dominates Auburn on both sides of offense and defense in F/+, FEI and S&P+ where the Tide are ranked top 3 (1st in many categories) and Auburn is in the 60's. In addition, Bama is playing with revenge and with the need to win with "style" points to ensure itself a rematch with LSU in the National Championship. I think we see the Tide roll -- or is the that Roll tide -- and I am rolling with Alabama for 1x. Good luck.

**Fanatik** · 11-25-11, 10:40 PM

LTA, great picks, love your thread! Would love to see you post your top play on my thread, Top plays... Post one only... Everyone post! , each week...

**Fanatik** · 11-25-11, 11:32 PM

BTW, In the last 20 years the biggest spread in Iron bowl was 14.5... This is a huge game in the south, and it is also Auburn's bowl game as it is bigger than any bowl they will be invited to and Bama has bigger fish to fry. The books are inflating this line because they know public money will come in on Bama, for proof of that notice Hilton had this at 17 a week ago and the Gold Nugget opened it at 12.5 two weeks ago... Maybe I am wrong, but it seems like if your not taking points in this one you shouldnt be on it period. I tail you a lot. I respect your opinion more than my own on college ball. But, I am an SEC guy, Gator Grad, and I follow these southern teams alot.... And, I just figured the one time I could give you a pick I would, even though it is against yours.

**thortada** · 11-26-11, 12:23 AM

public isn't heavily on alabama...from the websites i look at, the highest i've seen on bama is 55%

**Fanatik** · 11-26-11, 02:00 AM

I think Aub covers...

**lfep** · 11-26-11, 03:38 AM

LTA, would like to hear your thoughts on the GA Tech pick.

**jackmyhoggoff** · 11-26-11, 08:32 AM

BAMA Blows the kittens AWAY!!

**NYSportsGuy210** · 11-26-11, 08:34 AM

Georgia-Georgia Tech -OVER 54.5 points? Georgia can they score over 30.5 points today?