LTA's NCAAF Plays

[Love The Action]

Without checking my records, I believe this 3x play on Bama (-21) is my largest side play of the year. I have had multiple 3x total plays, but this one is my first 3x side play. Roll Tide!

[Love The Action]

same here...

with you on Bama...Roll tide!!

Let's get it Big Dan.

[GChild]

Rooooooooooooooooooollllll tiiiiiiiiiiiiiiddddddddddeeeee

[Love The Action]

NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 13

Play #1

Miami (OH)/Ohio over (53) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #2

Georgia Tech (+6.5) 1x (Locked)

This is primarily a value play. I have this one set at GT +3, but I'm getting +6.5. GT is playing at home where they have already won as outright dogs against a strong Clemson team. When it comes to the advanced stats, GT is close to or has better numbers than Georgia offensively and even though Georgia has the clearly better defense, I still think GT can keep this one close via its triple option offense. Watching the lines so I don't have time to get more in-depth, but this one is based primarily on value. I am rolling with GT and the points for 1x. Good luck.
Play #3

Bowling Green (+3) 1x (Locked) WINNER

Play #4

Louisville/South Florida under (45) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #5

Kent State/Temple under (41) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #6

Houston/Tulsa under (78.5) 1x (Locked) WINNER

Play #7

Alabama (-21) 3x (Locked)

I don't really think the Auburn home field advantage is enough to keep this one within 21. The Tide is the clearly superior team in this particular Iron Bowl with a defense that might just rank up there with some of the best. The Bama defense has 8-10 players that will play on Sundays and I expect them to run roughshot over a still raw Moseley. Alabama clearly dominates Auburn on both sides of offense and defense in F/+, FEI and S&P+ where the Tide are ranked top 3 (1st in many categories) and Auburn is in the 60's. In addition, Bama is playing with revenge and with the need to win with "style" points to ensure itself a rematch with LSU in the National Championship. I think we see the Tide roll -- or is the that Roll tide -- and I am rolling with Alabama for 3x. Good luck.

Play #8

Rutgers/Connecticut under (41) 1x (Locked)

I love the defenses in this game and don't have much respect for either offense. Both teams play great special teams and I am hoping we don't see any return td's because of solid kick coverage. As long as we can avoid special teams scores and fumble/pick 6's, I expect this game to stay under the posted total. Rutgers has one of the best defenses in the nation ranked top 10 in F/+, FEI and S%P+ advanced efficiency stats, while UConn is top 30-50. Neither offense is great and I expect an emphasis from both teams on the running game. UConn wants to run an uptempo spread offense, but it's inexperience at QB has forced a more conservative game plan this year. I expect both teams to go vanilla on offense and keep it simple by establishing the run. I have this game set at 37 and was waiting all week to cover the key number of 41 by getting 41.5. That number never materialized despite over 70% of all bets on the over. I will settle for 41 here and roll with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #9

ULL/Arizona over (64) 1x (Locked)

Last minute play solely because it dropped. I did not want to play this any higher as I have it set at 65. However, I think we see an uptempo game so I am going to take a shot even though I am getting a HORRIBLE number. I should have gotten this earlier in the week at the 61 to 62 range, but I'll take a shot with the over at 64 for 1x. Good luck.

[GChild]

Rooooooooooooooooooollllll tiiiiiiiiiiiiiiddddddddddeeeee

[GChild]

Rooooooooooooooooooollllll tiiiiiiiiiiiiiiddddddddddeeeee

[BigDan]

looks like they really got over on us with that line move on Vandy cause i sure woke up thinking i was playing them....FUKK

[Love The Action]

looks like they really got over on us with that line move on Vandy cause i sure woke up thinking i was playing them....FUKK

One of my bigger regrets on the season.

I rarely get "punked" by line moves, but I did on this one.

[Love The Action]

Alabama has completely dominated this game, but because of a fuking fumble return for a TD and a kickoff return the margin is only 10 points. Damn....we really need Bama to turn it up 2h. I don't want to sweat this out...

[Love The Action]

You're freaking Alabama football, with as much money and power as any other program, and you can't find someone who can kick it out of the fuking endzone. WTF!!!!

[BigDan]

You're freaking Alabama football, with as much money and power as any other program, and you can't find someone who can kick it out of the fuking endzone. WTF!!!!

no shit..

[Love The Action]

no shit..

We're going to need a defensive score or other big play quick score to cover this fuker. This shouldn't even be close....

Should've played Wisky.

[Luv2Play2]

wishfull thinking .. lol g1

i mean a D# SCORE

[SUPREME]

We deserved this! Golden 2pt play!!!!

[mdfizzle]

Whew! We have hope

[bonestock]

I should try out as a walk on for Alabama kicker.

[Love The Action]

NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 13

Play #1

Miami (OH)/Ohio over (53) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #2

Georgia Tech (+6.5) 1x (Locked) LOSS

This is primarily a value play. I have this one set at GT +3, but I'm getting +6.5. GT is playing at home where they have already won as outright dogs against a strong Clemson team. When it comes to the advanced stats, GT is close to or has better numbers than Georgia offensively and even though Georgia has the clearly better defense, I still think GT can keep this one close via its triple option offense. Watching the lines so I don't have time to get more in-depth, but this one is based primarily on value. I am rolling with GT and the points for 1x. Good luck.
Play #3

Bowling Green (+3) 1x (Locked) WINNER

Play #4

Louisville/South Florida under (45) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #5

Kent State/Temple under (41) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #6

Houston/Tulsa under (78.5) 1x (Locked) WINNER

Play #7

Alabama (-21) 3x (Locked)

I don't really think the Auburn home field advantage is enough to keep this one within 21. The Tide is the clearly superior team in this particular Iron Bowl with a defense that might just rank up there with some of the best. The Bama defense has 8-10 players that will play on Sundays and I expect them to run roughshot over a still raw Moseley. Alabama clearly dominates Auburn on both sides of offense and defense in F/+, FEI and S&P+ where the Tide are ranked top 3 (1st in many categories) and Auburn is in the 60's. In addition, Bama is playing with revenge and with the need to win with "style" points to ensure itself a rematch with LSU in the National Championship. I think we see the Tide roll -- or is the that Roll tide -- and I am rolling with Alabama for 3x. Good luck.

Play #8

Rutgers/Connecticut under (41) 1x (Locked)LOSS

I love the defenses in this game and don't have much respect for either offense. Both teams play great special teams and I am hoping we don't see any return td's because of solid kick coverage. As long as we can avoid special teams scores and fumble/pick 6's, I expect this game to stay under the posted total. Rutgers has one of the best defenses in the nation ranked top 10 in F/+, FEI and S%P+ advanced efficiency stats, while UConn is top 30-50. Neither offense is great and I expect an emphasis from both teams on the running game. UConn wants to run an uptempo spread offense, but it's inexperience at QB has forced a more conservative game plan this year. I expect both teams to go vanilla on offense and keep it simple by establishing the run. I have this game set at 37 and was waiting all week to cover the key number of 41 by getting 41.5. That number never materialized despite over 70% of all bets on the over. I will settle for 41 here and roll with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #9

ULL/Arizona over (64) 1x (Locked)

Last minute play solely because it dropped. I did not want to play this any higher as I have it set at 65. However, I think we see an uptempo game so I am going to take a shot even though I am getting a HORRIBLE number. I should have gotten this earlier in the week at the 61 to 62 range, but I'll take a shot with the over at 64 for 1x. Good luck.

Play #10

TT/Baylor over (81) 1x (Locked)

I have been waiting for a drop back to 79, but it never materialized. We are still covering the ultra important number of 83, so I'll take a shot here where both teams have no defense, play uptempo offense and throw the ball all over field. I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

[Overbettor]

What are the odds that Bama actually tries to get some points here?

[hondo5]

Thoughts on the Notre dame spread tonight?

[GChild]

Rooooooooooooooooooollllll tiiiiiiiiiiiiiiddddddddddeeeee

[doogtonmai]

Thoughts on the Notre dame spread tonight?

Notre Dame TT U 8.5 -130 was the play pre-season. I'm taking this in consideration with the play. I smell a teaser would be a safe bet here. Maybe Stanford and U teaser.

[Love The Action]

Thoughts on the Notre dame spread tonight?

Too many injuries. I lean to ND but can't trust them in this game. GL.

[Love The Action]

Rooooooooooooooooooollllll tiiiiiiiiiiiiiiddddddddddeeeee

[Dave88]

We're going to need a defensive score or other big play quick score to cover this fuker. This shouldn't even be close....

Should've played Wisky.

Well, we had to sweat a little but we got the def score you asked for LTA and held on from there.
Good to have the breaks go our way this time man.

[GChild]

Boom

[YouHave2outs]

lta and seer both 3x on bama. easy money.

[GChild]

lta and seer both 3x on bama. easy money.

I woulnt say that was easy at all! But a W is a W!

[buurrdman]

LTA what are your thoughts on the South Carolina/Clemson game? Thanks

[Love The Action]

NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 13

Play #1

Miami (OH)/Ohio over (53) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #2

Georgia Tech (+6.5) 1x (Locked) LOSS

This is primarily a value play. I have this one set at GT +3, but I'm getting +6.5. GT is playing at home where they have already won as outright dogs against a strong Clemson team. When it comes to the advanced stats, GT is close to or has better numbers than Georgia offensively and even though Georgia has the clearly better defense, I still think GT can keep this one close via its triple option offense. Watching the lines so I don't have time to get more in-depth, but this one is based primarily on value. I am rolling with GT and the points for 1x. Good luck.
Play #3

Bowling Green (+3) 1x (Locked) WINNER

Play #4

Louisville/South Florida under (45) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #5

Kent State/Temple under (41) 1x (Locked) LOSS

Play #6

Houston/Tulsa under (78.5) 1x (Locked) WINNER

Play #7

Alabama (-21) 3x (Locked) WINNER

I don't really think the Auburn home field advantage is enough to keep this one within 21. The Tide is the clearly superior team in this particular Iron Bowl with a defense that might just rank up there with some of the best. The Bama defense has 8-10 players that will play on Sundays and I expect them to run roughshot over a still raw Moseley. Alabama clearly dominates Auburn on both sides of offense and defense in F/+, FEI and S&P+ where the Tide are ranked top 3 (1st in many categories) and Auburn is in the 60's. In addition, Bama is playing with revenge and with the need to win with "style" points to ensure itself a rematch with LSU in the National Championship. I think we see the Tide roll -- or is the that Roll tide -- and I am rolling with Alabama for 3x. Good luck.

Play #8

Rutgers/Connecticut under (41) 1x (Locked)LOSS

I love the defenses in this game and don't have much respect for either offense. Both teams play great special teams and I am hoping we don't see any return td's because of solid kick coverage. As long as we can avoid special teams scores and fumble/pick 6's, I expect this game to stay under the posted total. Rutgers has one of the best defenses in the nation ranked top 10 in F/+, FEI and S%P+ advanced efficiency stats, while UConn is top 30-50. Neither offense is great and I expect an emphasis from both teams on the running game. UConn wants to run an uptempo spread offense, but it's inexperience at QB has forced a more conservative game plan this year. I expect both teams to go vanilla on offense and keep it simple by establishing the run. I have this game set at 37 and was waiting all week to cover the key number of 41 by getting 41.5. That number never materialized despite over 70% of all bets on the over. I will settle for 41 here and roll with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #9

ULL/Arizona over (64) 1x (Locked)WINNER

Last minute play solely because it dropped. I did not want to play this any higher as I have it set at 65. However, I think we see an uptempo game so I am going to take a shot even though I am getting a HORRIBLE number. I should have gotten this earlier in the week at the 61 to 62 range, but I'll take a shot with the over at 64 for 1x. Good luck.

Play #10

TT/Baylor over (81) 1.5x (Locked)

I have been waiting for a drop back to 79, but it never materialized. We are still covering the ultra important number of 83, so I'll take a shot here where both teams have no defense, play uptempo offense and throw the ball all over field. I am rolling with the over for 1.5x. Good luck.

Added 0.50x to Play #10 for total of 1.5x on TT/Baylor over (81). Correct units denoted above.

There's a reason this game is one of those rare games set in the 80's. This one should be a track meet. I have it set at 83 and we're still getting a couple points of value so I'll will add another taste and roll with the over 81 for 1.5x. Good luck.

[GChild]

I love track meets!

[Love The Action]

LTA what are your thoughts on the South Carolina/Clemson game? Thanks

Coinflip on both the side with a lean on the under. I have SC set at -3.5 and the total at 48. That's exactly where the side sits now and the total is at 50.5, so I don't see any value on the side and a little on the under. I do lean under, just because of the strength of the SC defense and the recent struggles of Clemson's offense. SC has an advantage in playing in the SEC against such strong competition game in and game out. They are used to the speed of Clemson.

[BigDan]

Coinflip on both the side with a lean on the under. I have SC set at -3.5 and the total at 48. That's exactly where the side sits now and the total is at 50.5, so I don't see any value on the side and a little on the under. I do lean under, just because of the strength of the SC defense and the recent struggles of Clemson's offense. SC has an advantage in playing in the SEC against such strong competition game in and game out. They are used to the speed of Clemson.

i hit clem ml +155 simply cause im a degen looking for some action....they both suck so figured +155 wasnt all that bad for a gm that could really go either way i think...

[Dexter]

congrats on the 3x - i didnt get a chance to read this thread today (college hoops and football in one day is too much) and my buddy from upstairs who follows you told me you had a 3x.

[fecgp40]

i hit clem ml +155 simply cause im a degen looking for some action....they both suck so figured +155 wasnt all that bad for a gm that could really go either way i think...

I've learned to stay away from games involving either of these teams, but if I were to bet this is probably what I'd take too. Best return for your investment and Clemson could easily win this game.

[Love The Action]

congrats on the 3x - i didnt get a chance to read this thread today (college hoops and football in one day is too much) and my buddy from upstairs who follows you told me you had a 3x.

Thanks...yeah, it was my biggest side play of the year so far. Really needed that one. The pick 6 was huge...was nice to get one of those to my advantage after getting burned by them yesterday and today in a few unders. Good luck on your CBB plays and NFL plays tomorrow. I think you're also on the Baylor over so let's get that one to end the day nicely.