LTA's NCAAF Plays

[Donnie Brasco]

Lets go western kentucky, did i mention i hate lsu. Pained me to back them when i did this year. Hell being a gator fan in new orleans. Glad we got boise out of the way also, so we didnt have to suffer that ridiculous argument for being left out of title game!

[Donnie Brasco]

Took the over on that game (52). Although I heard something about the weather after my bet and regretted it. Made the mistake of not covering all my basis. Anyone have thoughts on Bama later tonight? After their inept offensive performance do you think they come out scoring vs Ole Miss?

Yeah utah and ucla in some snowy stuff. Ucla had not won a game outside of LA this year!

[Donnie Brasco]

Miami+9 1x, +1 unit
Kstate +4.5, 5.5 1x each, +2 units
Uva -10 1x, push -0.1 unit
Mich -1 1x, +1 unit
Utah -7 pending
Adding oregon +3 -120(buyback of stanford bet, dont like it)
5-2-1, +3.6 units

Adding arizona st -11.5 1x

[Love The Action]

WTF, the refs in this Oregon/Stanford game suck. Too many bullshit personal foul penalty to prolong drives and hurt this under. Assholes.

[Love The Action]

Anyone watching the UFC Velazquez/DeSantos fight on on FOX? Wow, why is Joe Rogan yelling? Is that guy coked up or what

[Love The Action]

Big plays burying this under and Stanford...

[sipdawg7]

Any thoughts on the oregon/stanford over for the 2nd half? oregon will prolly keep running it, with good speed. luck and stanford will keep passing to keep up? any thoughts?

[Love The Action]

Would take the Hawaii/Nevada over, but I don't like that Hawaii is playing away from the islands. They are just not the same team. I'm going to hold off on this Hawaii over....

[Love The Action]

Card is final. Going to hang out with the fam. Hopefully we get some luck for once. Big NFL Sunday coming up. GL

[ebbearsfb1]

if central florida and usm goes over im gonna scream

[ebbearsfb1]

wow 28 points in the 4th quarter..

great i lose the under and the usm cover im gonna be sick

[Donnie Brasco]

Quote from Donnie Brasco
Here we go again:
Texas -1.5 2x, -2.2 units
Nebraska -2.5 2x, +2 units
Iowa +2 1x, -1.1 units
Purdue +7.5 1x, +1 units
Miami+9 1x, +1 unit
Kstate +4.5, 5.5 1x each, +2 units
Uva -10 1x, push -0.1 unit
Mich -1 1x, +1 unit
Utah -7 1x, +1unit
Stanford -2.5 1x, -1.1 units
Adding oregon +3 -120(buyback of stanford bet, dont like it)
arizona st -11.5
7-4-1, +3.5 units

[Love The Action]

I might have to shut NCAAF down. These bad beats are too brutal. That central florida game was 16-9 after three quarters when I went to bed...then they scored 34 points in the fourth quarter to beat me. When you combine that beat with the okst over and the usc over where they couldnt score one td with 10 minutes left and the vandy under where we lose by one point, plus the bad beats from earlier in the week like the niu over, and this shit just isnt worth all the work. I just feel a little snakebit right now and the breaks are not evening out for me like they are supposed to after five weeks of bullshit losses. Just very, very frustrated with ncaaf right now. Im really fuking pissed to be honest...going back to bed....fuk this shit.

[Love The Action]

Would take the Hawaii/Nevada over, but I don't like that Hawaii is playing away from the islands. They are just not the same team. I'm going to hold off on this Hawaii over....

Ofcourse this one hits and I dont play it....ugh

[Redscot]

I might have to shut NCAAF down. These bad beats are too brutal. That central florida game was 16-9 after three quarters when I went to bed...then they scored 34 points in the fourth quarter to beat me. When you combine that beat with the okst over and the usc over where they couldnt score one td with 10 minutes left and the vandy under where we lose by one point, plus the bad beats from earlier in the week like the niu over, and this shit just isnt worth all the work. I just feel a little snakebit right now and the breaks are not evening out for me like they are supposed to after five weeks of bullshit losses. Just very, very frustrated with ncaaf right now. Im really fuking pissed to be honest...going back to bed....fuk this shit.

Just unreal dude. I didn't even bother looking that game up yet, thought it was money in the bank, wow. I know how much work you invest in these games man, so if you choose to shut it down I definitely respect that decision....family, career etc. I will say though that you are SO due to have a week where everything goes your way. Appreciate your efforts bro, lets rock the NFL today

[Redscot]

Quote from Donnie Brasco
Here we go again:
Texas -1.5 2x, -2.2 units
Nebraska -2.5 2x, +2 units
Iowa +2 1x, -1.1 units
Purdue +7.5 1x, +1 units
Miami+9 1x, +1 unit
Kstate +4.5, 5.5 1x each, +2 units
Uva -10 1x, push -0.1 unit
Mich -1 1x, +1 unit
Utah -7 1x, +1unit
Stanford -2.5 1x, -1.1 units
Adding oregon +3 -120(buyback of stanford bet, dont like it)
arizona st -11.5
7-4-1, +3.5 units

Nice job Donnie Lost on Ariz St. with you, that one surprised me.

[Trivial]

I might have to shut NCAAF down. These bad beats are too brutal. That central florida game was 16-9 after three quarters when I went to bed...then they scored 34 points in the fourth quarter to beat me. When you combine that beat with the okst over and the usc over where they couldnt score one td with 10 minutes left and the vandy under where we lose by one point, plus the bad beats from earlier in the week like the niu over, and this shit just isnt worth all the work. I just feel a little snakebit right now and the breaks are not evening out for me like they are supposed to after five weeks of bullshit losses. Just very, very frustrated with ncaaf right now. Im really fuking pissed to be honest...going back to bed....fuk this shit.

I hear you bro. Not only did I tease those original 4 unders, I parlayed them also for one unit. That one point on Vandy (a useless 2 point conversion) cost me 7 units.

Ugh.

[upscope]

I might have to shut NCAAF down. These bad beats are too brutal. That central florida game was 16-9 after three quarters when I went to bed...then they scored 34 points in the fourth quarter to beat me. When you combine that beat with the okst over and the usc over where they couldnt score one td with 10 minutes left and the vandy under where we lose by one point, plus the bad beats from earlier in the week like the niu over, and this shit just isnt worth all the work. I just feel a little snakebit right now and the breaks are not evening out for me like they are supposed to after five weeks of bullshit losses. Just very, very frustrated with ncaaf right now. Im really fuking pissed to be honest...going back to bed....fuk this shit.

That one point loss in Vandy was compliments of a two point conversion
That OkSt game was complete robbery...
And c'mon w/ the Central Flo game. They needed 4 td's in the 4th in a game that had only seen one TD scored trough 3 quarters. Are you serious??

I'm about done w/ football all together. There is simply no rhyme or reason as to how these ridiculous endings consistently continue to go against us?? It's become mind numbing.

[Donnie Brasco]

Come on fellas. It will turn around. U guys work too hard in this thread to give up!

[Donnie Brasco]

Nice job Donnie Lost on Ariz St. with you, that one surprised me.

Who u got in big boy foots today red? Yeah az st didnt even show!

[Donnie Brasco]

Locked in a few early ncaa plays:
Oklahoma st -24.5 2x
Ohio -6.5 1x
Southern miss -22.5 1x
Write ups coming tomorrow time permitting, best of luck!

[Love The Action]

NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 11 Recap

6 - 9 - 1 = -3.8x

NCAAF 2011-2012 Season

57 - 65 = -6.1x

Last two weeks kill us as we go from profitable in the black to not so profitable in the red. But I'm done talking about last week. We got robbed, but I'm moving on. Good luck in Week 12.

[Love The Action]

Locked in a few early ncaa plays:
Oklahoma st -24.5 2x
Ohio -6.5 1x
Southern miss -22.5 1x
Write ups coming tomorrow time permitting, best of luck!

Early bird gets the worm. Neither of my books even has lines yet on sides or totals. Usually, I don't get totals released to me until about Wednesday evening. I should have sides tomorrow though. Only game I've capped so far is Tuesday's though. Hopefully I can get some capping done at work. GL this week.

[Love The Action]

That one point loss in Vandy was compliments of a two point conversion
That OkSt game was complete robbery...
And c'mon w/ the Central Flo game. They needed 4 td's in the 4th in a game that had only seen one TD scored trough 3 quarters. Are you serious??

I'm about done w/ football all together. There is simply no rhyme or reason as to how these ridiculous endings consistently continue to go against us?? It's become mind numbing.

Let's just fuk the books UP and take 'em down week 12! They owe us

[Love The Action]

NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 12

Play #1

Ball State/NIU over (71) 3x (Locked)

I love this play from top to bottom and it's one of my bigger plays of the NCAAF season. I only have this one set at 73.5, but I think this one is primed for a shootout as evidenced by the opening number. Why is this game, against lowly Ball State at home, NIU's first game set in the 70's? Well, in addition to the public perception that is in love with NIU overs and are going to bet them regardless, I believe the answer is because this one will end up in the 80's or higher and the books know it. The reason I am so confident in this play has been the recent offensive play from both teams. Ball State has a sophmore quarterback in Wenning who has really come on of late and he sports the 43rd best qb rating in November. This tells me he has hit his stride and some the speed of the game has "clicked" for him. On the other side, we all know what Harnish and NIU are capable of on offense -- these guys are averaging over 40 points per game. Bottom line is that I expect NIU to explode for a minimum of 42 in this game, which is their first game at home after three straight road games. The last time the Huskies played in front of their home crowd, they laid the wood to Western Michigan 51-22 and I think we see another big scoring home performance on Tuesday. I'm jumping on this one now before it gets any higher. I expect a closing number hovering between 72.5 and 73. I am very confident in this play as Harnish will be pumped to put on a huge scoring display for his home crowd in his second to last game at home for his career. NIU hit its stride last year around this same part of the season last year and because the majority of players back, I would not be surprised to see one of those 60 point outbursts. I also expect Ball State to put 35 on the board tomorrow in what should be a classic MAC Tuesday night shootout. Except for Temple, Oklahoma and South Florida, all three of which have much better defenses than NIU, Ball State has hit in the high 20's to low 30's in all of their games. There is no doubt that this will be a "public" play, but that's the tradeoff for playing any over which are generally public plays from the beginning. Regardless, the public play is sometimes the right play and I think one of those times is Tuesday in Dekalb, IL. I am rolling with the over for 3x. Good luck.

[Xstream]

Bol lta!

[Love The Action]

Bol lta!

Same to you

[SlickRick1382]

My bookie has no total up on this yet, grrrr ....

They have it at -17. Any thoughts on that or stay away from the spread and just wait on the total line?

[Dexter]

NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 12

Play #1

Ball State/NIU over (71) 3x (Locked)

nice - already on it for 5x at 70.5

[Love The Action]

My bookie has no total up on this yet, grrrr ....

They have it at -17. Any thoughts on that or stay away from the spread and just wait on the total line?

I think the side is pretty accurate and I find more of an edge on the total, so I'm going to stick to the over. GL in whatever you choose.

[Love The Action]

nice - already on it for 5x at 70.5

[Dexter]

would you consider heritage square or sharp? up to 72.5 there.

[rcjiii]

LTA. The over just posted on my site at 72. I see you locked 71. How high would you go on this one?

[Love The Action]

LTA. The over just posted on my site at 72. I see you locked 71. How high would you go on this one?

I would not go above 73. At this point, pinny and most others are at 72.5 or 73, so if you can get 72, you are still ahead of the market. GL

[Love The Action]

would you consider heritage square or sharp? up to 72.5 there.

I dont know much about heritage. What do you think? Do they follow pinny type lines or are they more like a bodog or legends?

GL