Florida -34.5 over Florida Atlantic

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  • ramones951
    SBR MVP
    • 12-23-08
    • 2356

    #1
    Florida -34.5 over Florida Atlantic
    1st week of college football, best week of the year.

    FAU on the road against major teams past 4 years and ATS results.

    1-9 ATS. Combined -105 points ATS.

    Date
    Sept 8 2007 @ OK ST +25 6-42 (-11 ATS)
    Sept 29 2007 @ UK +24 17-45 (-4 ATS)
    Nov 17 2007 @ UF +34 20-59 (-5 ATS)
    Aug 30 2008 @ UT +28 10-52 (-14 ATS)
    Sept 13 2008 @ MSU +18.5 0-17 (+1.5 ATS) (very rainy, sloppy game, ugliest cover ever lol)
    Sept 20 2008 @ Minn +6 3-37 (-28 ATS)
    Sept 5 2009 @ Neb +24 3-49 (-22 ATS)
    Sept 19 2009 @ South Car. +20.5 16-38 (-1.5 ATS)
    Oct 2 2010 @ USF +21.5 3-31 (-6.5 ATS)
    Nov 20 2010 @ UT +21.5 17-51 (-12.5 ATS)

    Line exactly the same as FAU @ UF in 2007. UF finished that season 9-4.

    FAU was much better team in 2007 than now. Finished 8-5 and arguably strongest team in school history, almost definitely strongest offense in team history. UF won 59-20.

    2011 ... FAU lost top FOUR wide receivers from last year, also lost Rob Housler, now NFL tight end. Very solid one year successor to Rusty Smith, Jeff Van Camp is gone. New starting QB is a scrub. One of worst run defenses in country. Once this one hits 0-21, FAU will go conservative just and just try to get a field goal on the board; and start to look forward to opening of their new on-campus football stadium in October.

    UF had a rough year last year. The reality of post-Tebow took some adjusting to but they finished strong with a good win/ATS cover against Penn State in their bowl game. They will regain stride this year under Will Muschamp and Charlie Weis.

    FAU will not be able to move the ball in the Swamp after losing so many crucial parts of their offense, especially against an SEC defense filled with superior athletes. With no defense for FAU to fall back on, this game could get ugly. Fast. Charlie Weis will have no trouble picking apart a lower-level Sun Belt defense. 35 points will appear in a hurry.

    Prediction: 45-6 UF
  • ExperienceWins
    SBR MVP
    • 08-23-11
    • 1972

    #2
    Like it
    Comment
    • AdamL2424
      SBR MVP
      • 08-24-08
      • 1175

      #3
      Love it now!!! And the over!!
      Comment
      • ramones951
        SBR MVP
        • 12-23-08
        • 2356

        #4
        Anyone on the other side? care to discuss...
        Comment
        • M.W.
          SBR MVP
          • 09-07-08
          • 1668

          #5
          You remember how UF failed to cover in the opener last year against Miami O because Pouncey couldn't snap the ball to the QB? Apparently, this year it's FAU that can't get the ball to the QB.
          Comment
          • Machine Choice
            SBR MVP
            • 12-12-08
            • 3997

            #6
            UF lost almost everybody on defense. And now a new HC and OC whose chemistry has not yet been established. A flaky QB in Brantley who threw 10 INTs last year and only 9 TDs.

            What UF does have is Demps and Rainey in the backfield. Those guys are going to rip FAU to pieces. Will it get to 35 points and stay there? Will Brantley still be playing in garbage time of the 4Q? Howard Schnellenberger does not quit and he will bring the house (i.e. gadget plays) in the 4Q even if the game is out of hand. Backdoor cover is in play. Be careful.
            Comment
            • ramones951
              SBR MVP
              • 12-23-08
              • 2356

              #7
              UF may have lost a lot on defense but their replacements still have too much talent to allow this new FAU offense to gain any momentum. Wilbert has been throwing pick after pick in practice.
              Comment
              • ramones951
                SBR MVP
                • 12-23-08
                • 2356

                #8
                Wooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!
                Comment
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