Well boys here it is, only game on the board today for this lovely Christmas Eve. For us degenerates, it means our thirst for action dictates we have to place a bet. Should that be the case, may I suggest Tulsa +10?
Let's analyze this game for a bit...
Hawaii is a mind boggling 10-2 ATS overall this season including a perfect 7-0 ATS record at home. They destroyed their opponents on their home turfs to the tune of 26 pts a game and out-gain them by over 250 yards. Playing at home is a HUGE edge for these Rainbow Warriors. ALL the numbers point to Hawaii destroying Tulsa… Yet they opened at 13 and have now been bet down to 10 and the total has been bet up to 74. ARE YOU KIDDING ME??
Hawaii should’ve been favored by 2 touchdowns on a strict numerical analysis. Look, I could beat you to death with the stats that both teams have accumulated this season but sometimes you just gotta read in between the lines. The line movement shows that oddsmakers and sharp money is banking on the fact that this is gonna be a shootout where BOTH teams will score with ease. Hawaii has padded its stats against weak oppositions with one notable victory and that was against Nevada. But for anyone who watched that game, Nevada slept through the entire 1st half thinking they could win by just walking on the field and Hawaii jumped to a quick 17-0 lead which should’ve been 35-0 by the way Nevada was playing. Nevada completely outplayed Hawaii in the 2nd half and should’ve won the game outright. You gotta watch the game sometimes instead of just relying on the box score. And oh ya, let’s not forget, the one truly legit team they played against, they got BLOWN out by BOISE.
If you read the Bowl previews at any sites, you are gonna see that Hawaii trumps Tulsa in every category except rush offense and rush defense and yet the line is going down??? Both teams are good at creating turnovers – forced fumbles and interceptions. Everyone betting this game seems to know about Bryan Moniz and his #1 passing offense in the nation but it seems that people are forgetting that Tulsa’s GJ Kinne is VERY good as well with a 28/10 TD to INT ratio. If the situation calls for it, Tulsa is very capable of launching a lethal air attack against Hawaii’s porous defense. Oh ya, did I mention that Hawaii’s special teams is DREADFUL??? It’s like “we don’t need to practice how to punt” because we only know how to score TDs. Count on Tulsa receiving superior field positions to Hawaii this game whenever the Rainbow Warriors fail to score.
The key for a Tulsa cover would be to take the lead and play from a lead position where they can use their superior rushing attack and control the clock. If Hawaii gets a quick lead and never let it go, Tulsa will be hard pressed to win but still could cover but it would be much more difficult. Hawaii is the #1 in the nation in interceptions hence why it is critical for Tulsa to take the early lead and establish the tempo. Think of the Green Bay – New England game. If Tulsa can pound the ball and keep Moniz and his high flying offense off the field, the cover will be very attainable. I have a feeling that Tulsa is gonna put 40 pts on this weak Hawaii defense and if Hawaii beats that by 11 then I tip my hat to them. But mostly, Tulsa will stay within this number with a chance to win outright. And if you like totals, I would lean the OVER as well.
So ya, take TULSA +10. Favourites have gone 7-0 this Bowl Season and you KNOW that is not gonna last. I am gonna bet my house on this game (my lego house I mean lol). Gonna watch this game with a couple cold ones on my hand. BOL
Let's analyze this game for a bit...
Hawaii is a mind boggling 10-2 ATS overall this season including a perfect 7-0 ATS record at home. They destroyed their opponents on their home turfs to the tune of 26 pts a game and out-gain them by over 250 yards. Playing at home is a HUGE edge for these Rainbow Warriors. ALL the numbers point to Hawaii destroying Tulsa… Yet they opened at 13 and have now been bet down to 10 and the total has been bet up to 74. ARE YOU KIDDING ME??
Hawaii should’ve been favored by 2 touchdowns on a strict numerical analysis. Look, I could beat you to death with the stats that both teams have accumulated this season but sometimes you just gotta read in between the lines. The line movement shows that oddsmakers and sharp money is banking on the fact that this is gonna be a shootout where BOTH teams will score with ease. Hawaii has padded its stats against weak oppositions with one notable victory and that was against Nevada. But for anyone who watched that game, Nevada slept through the entire 1st half thinking they could win by just walking on the field and Hawaii jumped to a quick 17-0 lead which should’ve been 35-0 by the way Nevada was playing. Nevada completely outplayed Hawaii in the 2nd half and should’ve won the game outright. You gotta watch the game sometimes instead of just relying on the box score. And oh ya, let’s not forget, the one truly legit team they played against, they got BLOWN out by BOISE.
If you read the Bowl previews at any sites, you are gonna see that Hawaii trumps Tulsa in every category except rush offense and rush defense and yet the line is going down??? Both teams are good at creating turnovers – forced fumbles and interceptions. Everyone betting this game seems to know about Bryan Moniz and his #1 passing offense in the nation but it seems that people are forgetting that Tulsa’s GJ Kinne is VERY good as well with a 28/10 TD to INT ratio. If the situation calls for it, Tulsa is very capable of launching a lethal air attack against Hawaii’s porous defense. Oh ya, did I mention that Hawaii’s special teams is DREADFUL??? It’s like “we don’t need to practice how to punt” because we only know how to score TDs. Count on Tulsa receiving superior field positions to Hawaii this game whenever the Rainbow Warriors fail to score.
The key for a Tulsa cover would be to take the lead and play from a lead position where they can use their superior rushing attack and control the clock. If Hawaii gets a quick lead and never let it go, Tulsa will be hard pressed to win but still could cover but it would be much more difficult. Hawaii is the #1 in the nation in interceptions hence why it is critical for Tulsa to take the early lead and establish the tempo. Think of the Green Bay – New England game. If Tulsa can pound the ball and keep Moniz and his high flying offense off the field, the cover will be very attainable. I have a feeling that Tulsa is gonna put 40 pts on this weak Hawaii defense and if Hawaii beats that by 11 then I tip my hat to them. But mostly, Tulsa will stay within this number with a chance to win outright. And if you like totals, I would lean the OVER as well.
So ya, take TULSA +10. Favourites have gone 7-0 this Bowl Season and you KNOW that is not gonna last. I am gonna bet my house on this game (my lego house I mean lol). Gonna watch this game with a couple cold ones on my hand. BOL
good work kid
