-3.5 -107 11.5x (rarely exceed 5x)
Is this turning into the board pick of the day??
1)Nick Saban To Out-Coach Chizik And Motivate/Will Team To Substantial Win - This is thee game of the year for Saban and Bama. They've underachieved, they're pissed, and this is now their chance to ruin their arch-rival's title hopes at home. This is seriously everything to them. The rivalry is probably the biggest in the nation in terms of pure passion, even if it doesn't get the media coverage. The atmosphere will be unreal and it will be unlike anything Auburn's seen all year. Bama also has an outside shot at a BCS bowl if LSU can lose. These are the games where Saban earns his paycheck and is why he is considered to be the best. He will have his team prepared better than ever before. Chizik just can't compare and has benefited from 1 amazing player and an easy schedule.
2) Auburn Is Not Road Tested - Auburn benefits from one of the most favorable schedules I've ever seen. They play a ridiculous 8 home games (the vast majority of teams play 7 every year) meaning only 4 road games. On the road, they've played Miss State, Kentucky, and Mississippi who have a combined record of 17-16. Auburn is wholly untested now they're on the road in Tuscaloosa, Alabama with a fraud QB, 2nd year coach, and garbage defense against Nicky Saban and a pissed Bama team ready to play its best game all year.
3) Bama's Defense Will Slow Cam Down - Bama has fallen out of the good graces of the media, but still have a 7th nationally ranked Total Defense and 3rd ranked Scoring Defense. Bama's D is comparable to LSU's in terms of speed, talent and stats, and LSU was able to hold Auburn to a 2nd season lowest total of just 24 points in Auburn. And Miss State held them to just 17 in Miss. I think Bama at home will really get after Cam.
4) Bama's Offense Will Exploit Weak Auburn D - Bama's Offense is maybe the 2nd best Auburn has seen all year; the best being Arkansas, who tore up Auburn's secondary @ Auburn scoring 43 and gaining 428 through the air. Auburn is 100th in passing D and 50th in total D. Bama doesn't have a great passing game, but McElroy and Jones can hook up enough like Murray and Green did for Georgia, who put up 273 yards through the air @ Auburn with a Freshmen QB. McElroy is a Senior QB and completes 70% of his passes (6th in the country). When Ingram and Richardson get it going on the ground, McElroy will have prime play-action opportunities down field, and if he hits Jones open field, he will be gone against that D; expect some big pass TDs from him.
Public action means basically nothing here. Very small public % on Auburn. There was original fairly heavy public Auburn with RLM the line going up to 4.5 from 3.5, but action has since evened out.
GL.
Is this turning into the board pick of the day??
1)Nick Saban To Out-Coach Chizik And Motivate/Will Team To Substantial Win - This is thee game of the year for Saban and Bama. They've underachieved, they're pissed, and this is now their chance to ruin their arch-rival's title hopes at home. This is seriously everything to them. The rivalry is probably the biggest in the nation in terms of pure passion, even if it doesn't get the media coverage. The atmosphere will be unreal and it will be unlike anything Auburn's seen all year. Bama also has an outside shot at a BCS bowl if LSU can lose. These are the games where Saban earns his paycheck and is why he is considered to be the best. He will have his team prepared better than ever before. Chizik just can't compare and has benefited from 1 amazing player and an easy schedule.
2) Auburn Is Not Road Tested - Auburn benefits from one of the most favorable schedules I've ever seen. They play a ridiculous 8 home games (the vast majority of teams play 7 every year) meaning only 4 road games. On the road, they've played Miss State, Kentucky, and Mississippi who have a combined record of 17-16. Auburn is wholly untested now they're on the road in Tuscaloosa, Alabama with a fraud QB, 2nd year coach, and garbage defense against Nicky Saban and a pissed Bama team ready to play its best game all year.
3) Bama's Defense Will Slow Cam Down - Bama has fallen out of the good graces of the media, but still have a 7th nationally ranked Total Defense and 3rd ranked Scoring Defense. Bama's D is comparable to LSU's in terms of speed, talent and stats, and LSU was able to hold Auburn to a 2nd season lowest total of just 24 points in Auburn. And Miss State held them to just 17 in Miss. I think Bama at home will really get after Cam.
4) Bama's Offense Will Exploit Weak Auburn D - Bama's Offense is maybe the 2nd best Auburn has seen all year; the best being Arkansas, who tore up Auburn's secondary @ Auburn scoring 43 and gaining 428 through the air. Auburn is 100th in passing D and 50th in total D. Bama doesn't have a great passing game, but McElroy and Jones can hook up enough like Murray and Green did for Georgia, who put up 273 yards through the air @ Auburn with a Freshmen QB. McElroy is a Senior QB and completes 70% of his passes (6th in the country). When Ingram and Richardson get it going on the ground, McElroy will have prime play-action opportunities down field, and if he hits Jones open field, he will be gone against that D; expect some big pass TDs from him.
Public action means basically nothing here. Very small public % on Auburn. There was original fairly heavy public Auburn with RLM the line going up to 4.5 from 3.5, but action has since evened out.
GL.
GL!
