Trap games for College football this week

[pavyracer]

Clemson -2.5
Maryland +10.5
Penn St -6.5
Baylor +7.5
Kent St +3.5
Arizona +8
Alabama -6.5

Trap game (may be known by different terms) is a game the line is set up in such way to attract the square money on that side. For example Clemson -2.5. How can Clemson not win at home by a FG? Squares will bet it because it looks so easy.

Be careful with traps. These are the games that bettors lose their bankrolls.

[beerman2619]

Thanks for the heads up bro

[jwbama23]

Clemson -2.5 Maryland +10.5 Penn St -6.5 Baylor +7.5 Kent St +3.5 Arizona +8 Alabama -6.5 Trap game (may be known by different terms) is a game the line is set up in such way to attract the square money on that side. For example Clemson -2.5. How can Clemson not win at home by a FG? Squares will bet it because it looks so easy. Be careful with traps. These are the games that bettors lose their bankrolls.

No kidding. I was really hoping to see Bama open at -7.5 instead of -6.5. Now the books are saying LSU may keep this close.

[kmarinouofm]

Clemson -2.5
Maryland +10.5
Penn St -6.5
Baylor +7.5
Kent St +3.5
Arizona +8
Alabama -6.5

Trap game (may be known by different terms) is a game the line is set up in such way to attract the square money on that side. For example Clemson -2.5. How can Clemson not win at home by a FG? Squares will bet it because it looks so easy.

Be careful with traps. These are the games that bettors lose their bankrolls.

thanks pavy. i do the same thing every monday/tuesday and try to apply the same thinking you are here..

since i follow both nfl and college so closely.. it is every easy for me to spot obvious traps.. Public teams laying small spreads to shit programs... things that just stick out..

Teams with huge wins that really didn't mean much.. are usually followed up with manageable spreads the following weekend against a more balanced foe... These are the type of things i look for early in the week..

Then watch the lines throughout the week.. and start taking my shots thursday-saturday morning...

my list usually starts off with 8-15 games.. and is usually narrowed down to about 6-8 plays.. with some of them being 2 unit plays and other 1 unit plays.. according to a system i am using..

[harlee71]

Good post Pavy. I think we all stumble on games like these from time to time.

[jjgold]

Most trap games are low lined games that a very good team is favored or getting 1 point or so vs a sub par team

Paver was off somewhat on his definition, traps involve more college hoops vs any other sport

Paver call me so I can teach you

[pavyracer]

Clemson -2.5
Maryland +10.5
Penn St -6.5
Baylor +7.5
Kent St +3.5
Arizona +8
Alabama -6.5

Trap game (may be known by different terms) is a game the line is set up in such way to attract the square money on that side. For example Clemson -2.5. How can Clemson not win at home by a FG? Squares will bet it because it looks so easy.

Be careful with traps. These are the games that bettors lose their bankrolls.

So far 3 trap games are as I predicted. I have to admit when I looked at this on Monday I didn't know Miami QB was concussed so that game should be discarded.

But the Clemson game was a trap as well as the Baylor game. And the Kent St game also looks like a trap even though is not finished yet.

[jgray]

Could you be wrong on Bama please? I'll give you the rest.

[pavyracer]

Could you be wrong on Bama please? I'll give you the rest.

I hope you win. I was just trying to figure out what the sharp linemakers had in mind when setting up these traps.

[k13]

OK
Texas
Missouri
TCU
Ark
Bama


How can Clemson be a trap when the public is on nc state?

[pavyracer]

OK
Texas
Missouri
TCU
Ark
Bama


How can Clemson be a trap when the public is on nc state?

I made this thread on Monday morning. The line was -2.5. Did NC State end up as a public bet? I couldn't have known that last Monday.

[terpkeg]

I made this thread on Monday morning. The line was -2.5. Did NC State end up as a public bet? I couldn't have known that last Monday.

Typically ranked team as a dog v. an unranked team will get larger % of bets.

[Sunde91]

Yeah, Clemson huge trap..

60%+ on NCST + Clemson only 4-4 coming off loss to dog shit BC + NCST ranked + NCST coming off win against ranked FSU + 1.5 point RLM = Public perception was all over Clemson here for a classic trap

I don't know if it's possible to be more wrong.

[manny24]

wow nice work paver!

[manny24]

time to get down on stanford huh?

[pavyracer]

time to get down on stanford huh?

I don't know if all of them will work out but so far all the games I thought were traps are living up to the expectations.

[manny24]

I don't know if all of them will work out but so far all the games I thought were traps are living up to the expectations.

i guess the fukk! holy balls paver do work!

[THE PROFIT]

good work, Pavy. Looks like PennSt & Maryland were the only ones of them that covered. PennSt sure as shit didnt look good either, 35 unanswered points???

[pavyracer]

good work, Pavy. Looks like PennSt & Maryland were the only ones of them that covered. PennSt sure as shit didnt look good either, 35 unanswered points???

Penn St was the only one. Have I known on Monday the starting QB of Miami was out I wouldn't have considered it. Line moved 2.5 points after I posted it.

Thanks.

[THE PROFIT]

what was Maryland closing line? I got then first of the week & covered. Harris went out last week when VA beat Miami, yet they opened the line Miami really high, I guess I just kinda assumed he wouldnt be starting & wondered why the fuk the line was double digits

[Fleeben]

Maryland huge trap, lmao

[pavyracer]

what was Maryland closing line? I got then first of the week & covered. Harris went out last week when VA beat Miami, yet they opened the line Miami really high, I guess I just kinda assumed he wouldnt be starting & wondered why the fuk the line was double digits

Opened at 10.5 and moved to 8. I didn't see the Miami game last week. Didn't know he was hurt.

[Shortstop]

Pavy is one of the sharpest tools in SBR's shed!

[pavyracer]

For this week I came up with these. These are the lines on Monday morning:

Pittsburgh -6.5
UAB -2.5
Alabama -14
Georgia +8.5
Louisville -2.5
Houston -2

[BatemanPatrickl]

[pavyracer]

For this week I came up with these. These are the lines on Monday morning:

Pittsburgh -6.5
UAB -2.5
Alabama -14
Georgia +8.5
Louisville -2.5
Houston -2

2-0 so far. Lets see how the rest of them fare.

[kickenchicken]

i will be watching

[manny24]

Clemson -2.5
Maryland +10.5
Penn St -6.5
Baylor +7.5
Kent St +3.5
Arizona +8
Alabama -6.5

Trap game (may be known by different terms) is a game the line is set up in such way to attract the square money on that side. For example Clemson -2.5. How can Clemson not win at home by a FG? Squares will bet it because it looks so easy.

Be careful with traps. These are the games that bettors lose their bankrolls.

amazing work paver we're going to need this week's trap plays please!

[pavyracer]

For this week I came up with these. These are the lines on Monday morning:

Pittsburgh -6.5
UAB -2.5
Alabama -14
Georgia +8.5
Louisville -2.5
Houston -2

amazing work paver we're going to need this week's trap plays please!

I posted them already manny.

[manny24]

just saw that thanks have a good one pavy!

[pavyracer]

just saw that thanks have a good one pavy!

3-0 so far manny

[pavyracer]

4-0 books are cleaning up

[Sunde91]

For this week I came up with these. These are the lines on Monday morning:

Pittsburgh -6.5
UAB -2.5
Alabama -14
Georgia +8.5
Louisville -2.5
Houston -2

You mean the traps are the other sides of these, right?? If that's the case, how are UCONN and MISS State traps??

If not, you must seriously be joking to say UAB or Georgia were traps, especially UAB as a substantial anti-public play with a shady line. Or PITT laying 6.5 on road night game was a trap?? Acquire thyself a clue, sir.

[pavyracer]

You mean the traps are the other sides of these, right?? If that's the case, how are UCONN and MISS State traps??

If not, you must seriously be joking to say UAB or Georgia were traps, especially UAB as a substantial anti-public play with a shady line. Or PITT laying 6.5 on road night game was a trap?? Acquire thyself a clue, sir.

I post those on Monday morning before I know what the final lines or bet % for each team is at closing. They were 5-1 last week and 4-0 so far. So they are 9-1 so far with 2 games pending. I'm pretty sure I have no clue since this is an anomaly in my coin flipping abilities.

[raiders510]

**** him pavy keep postin man...you're on a roll bro