This game looks like a better play to me than the Thurs night Oregon game.
USA Today had the line at Cinci -7.5, the sharper offshores have it at 8. I would make a big play on Cinci if it would get to 7, but we won't ever see that number.
Firstly, USF's passing game is horrible. Daniels is an INT machine, throwing 4 against Florida, 3 against West Virginia, 2 against Syracuse. 10 on the season so far--opposed to 4 TDs. I always feel good betting against Quarterbacks like that.
True, Cinci has turnover problems of their own, mainly fumbles, which I believe are an easier fix than INT-happy QBs. Callaros did throw 2 picks last week @ Louisville, but his total is only 3 on the season. This Callaros kid is good and he has two great Wideouts to throw to. It should make for an interesting battle against a very good USF secondary.
But, I think the real key to this game is Pead vs the USF linebackers. He is running really well, averaging 8.8 yards a carry. He put up 170 yrds on Oklahoma (a loss) and 150 against Louisville last week. My play on Cinci this week is basically a bet that the Bearcats will be able to wear down the Bull's defense by pounding the rock, leaving them susceptible to Callaros' Play-action pass to those great wideouts.
Or I could get lucky and Daniels could throw another handful of interceptions.
USA Today had the line at Cinci -7.5, the sharper offshores have it at 8. I would make a big play on Cinci if it would get to 7, but we won't ever see that number.
Firstly, USF's passing game is horrible. Daniels is an INT machine, throwing 4 against Florida, 3 against West Virginia, 2 against Syracuse. 10 on the season so far--opposed to 4 TDs. I always feel good betting against Quarterbacks like that.
True, Cinci has turnover problems of their own, mainly fumbles, which I believe are an easier fix than INT-happy QBs. Callaros did throw 2 picks last week @ Louisville, but his total is only 3 on the season. This Callaros kid is good and he has two great Wideouts to throw to. It should make for an interesting battle against a very good USF secondary.
But, I think the real key to this game is Pead vs the USF linebackers. He is running really well, averaging 8.8 yards a carry. He put up 170 yrds on Oklahoma (a loss) and 150 against Louisville last week. My play on Cinci this week is basically a bet that the Bearcats will be able to wear down the Bull's defense by pounding the rock, leaving them susceptible to Callaros' Play-action pass to those great wideouts.
Or I could get lucky and Daniels could throw another handful of interceptions.
