I agree with you Mr. windy city I really think that you are getting a bargain at 5.5 right now. This one might be a little easier than it should be. I think they (Vegas) are looking a little too deep into the WV game that was played a couple of weeks ago. Remember that Marshall has only one game this year and that was to Ohio by one point. The next week after the WVU game they went to Bowling Green (who is 1-5 this year) and got blown out by 16. This will be an easy win. Should be a game very similar to the UAB game last week that UCF won by 35.
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I took Central!Comment -
you can say what you want about the 5 point home dogs, but look also at the nebraska movement the other day from 12 all the way down to 10 at one point on game day. nebraska was never in question, they destroyed kansas state. i look at line movement as a big indicator in cfb, but sometimes the shittier team is just the shittier team, and you can't make any kind of an argument for them. ucf will win this game, they are leaps and bounds better than marshall.Comment -
any injuries..anyone look into itComment -
trap gameComment -
they are all TRAPS. Just gotta put your $ on the correct side. That's the whole idea they trap us out of our $Comment -
Bodog is leaning Marshall tooComment -
Trap game!
Wait until HT and figure out the right 2H play. Just my 2 cents.Comment -
I will be posting my pick tomorrow in my labby thread. This will be my biggest play of the season. Very strong system play.Comment -
Marshall wiill play UCF tough tomorrow. Marshall is 0-3 ats in the past 3 games and based on last year they havent went 0-4 ats in a row but if they happen to lose tomorrow then bet double on the next game. Take marshall+points tomorrow and take it to the bank!Comment -
is culpepper starting?Comment -
home dogs always get money....like me im the dumbass that bet ksu home vs. nebraska......not falling for that again...suprior team c florida....got two good qbs...and a stout defense....this will be a 10 point game....remember vegas wants money on both sides....thats why its 5.5 not 10Comment -
This game appears on paper to be a very easy pick. UCF is superior on both sides of the ball and should be 5-0. They had 5 turnovers against NC State, and that was with qb Godfrey only coming in the game in the second half. Also, they did not allow a defensive score at all during the second half and still managed to put up 21 points against a very good team. They had a few missed opportunities against Kansas State that should have won them the game. There are no major injuries that I have discovered, AJ Guyton, UCF's most targeted receiver is listed as probable. For Marshall, their backup qb AJ Guyton is listed as doubtful and he came in last week to relieve the beleagured Brian Anderson against Southern Miss. It is true that the best two games for Marshall this year both came at home, but one was against a bad Ohio team and the other was the in state Rivalry against West Va. Keep in mind tomorrow is supposed to be a wet one and to me that sounds like the team that can run the ball most effectively should win, but it also means that there may be fewer people showing up to root for Marshall!!
I am taking UCF to win this game by 2 td's plus. With godfrey running and passing he is hard to defend, although not as good as Robinson or Martinez, this guy can play. Barring any large amount of turnovers, UCF should roll away with this one. BOL everyone!Comment -
So taking UCF.... easy winComment -
Exactly, Vegas does not care who wins provided that they have even money on both sides, its all about the juice for them - they win every game!!Comment -
this conference can be very strange sometimes and they may not feel like they got a beat on these teams just yet i cite the nc state game for what i saw from ucf , they got a great defense and def passed the eye test last week. Not liking the line drop but there not hitting any key numbers just messing with the people, i like ucf to pound the rock all day. Marshall is far worse than last year and ucf appears much improvedComment -
UCF should be able to control the game against a poor Marshall D. Hope more money comes on Marshall and the line comes down further.Comment -
The public perception by most people was BYU not Utah State. Last week the perception was UCONN not Rutgers. I dont know why people think what they do but I do know what I was reading on forums and overwelmingly those favs were loved.
Im not saying that UCF wont cover. Im just saying the trend so far this year with this type of game and line movement has been the dog. I probably wont make a play on it just because I cant stand to think Marshall is the correct play. However you never know what a team is gonna do.
Im sitting this one outComment -
A nice line trap as the public has won the with the Jets, Giants, and Texas. Trust me the Books where counting on Tampa to pull off the win. So they will want their money back tomorrow.Comment -
UNDER is probably the best play here, if you want some action on the game.Comment -
everyone has the same reasoning to take UCF. They are better at this and better at that. Doesn't that concern the UCF backers that everyone can look at the same stats and say that UCF is the easy play? No real research, just going off rankings of defense and offense. Marshall does have a good passing attack at home while UCF has struggled in passing yards per play. UCF has only played one good team and that was NCSU. Marshall has played a lot tougher schedule than UCF. Bowling green was a bad loss but they can score through the air and it was bowling green's first home game of the season. UCF's offense is through the ground and has a struggling passing attack. Just some things to think about before you say UCF is the easy play.
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Nebraska went from -12 down to -10 for a short time and then back up to -11. It never really crossed a key number, just touched on one.
UCF has been at -7 and now is down to -5 moving off a key number of -7 and crossing a semi-key number of -6. Quite a different line movement than Nebraska.
Another key difference between that game and this game is that Nebraska and K State were both 4-0 going into the game so there was solid backing on each side. In the UCF/Marshall game the backing has been mostly on UCF and the line has gone down. Big difference in both line movement and public perception.Comment -
I like Marshall at home hereComment -
reverse trap
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For those thinking of backing Marshall--have you actually seen them play this year? Just wondering.Comment -
The Line is low and total dropping like a brick due to the weather. UCF running game will really have to hold on to the ball in the wet weather. 50% chance of T-storms most of tomorrow afternoon and all night.
I think UCF ML is the play here. A couple of turnovers wont hurt as bad as they would laying 5-6 on the road. The other would be to tease down to pick em and tease up the Total. Rain and strong UCF run game and weak Herd D could mean a short game keeping the score pretty low.Comment
