Florida -7 is a trap game.

stefan084 · 10-04-10, 03:01 PM

for some reason the Florida/LSU game is off the board at 5 dimes. it was there last night,any ideas why?

dume walker · 10-04-10, 03:15 PM

That would usually indicate a key player's status is uncertain. Demps?

jds07v · 10-04-10, 03:17 PM

off the board it is

MoneyHappy · 10-04-10, 03:24 PM

Line looks right to me.

Jimmy Proffett · 10-04-10, 03:39 PM

Yeah the line's where I thought it would be too. I'd consider taking LSU, but Les Miles could **** up a bread sandwich.

Sam Odom · 10-04-10, 03:45 PM

Only a fool would bet (EITHER SIDE) this game...

Uncle Harv · 10-04-10, 04:00 PM

the under...whatever it is going to be

balls2wall · 10-04-10, 04:24 PM

Consider me trapped

I got on it as soon as I saw it knowing I could buy back on the other side if needed and probably have a shot at a middle if I did so

LSU not very good on O

How many points is Miles worth -3?, -6??

gators have a huge advantage at head coach

defenses are comparable

gators have better O

it is at the swamp

LSU is 5-0 and are lucky to be so

time for their first L

I guess everything probably does add up to a "trap", but I still like it

not all traps catch their prey

I also bit on bama -7 for a unit and teased the two down to -1/2 for a unit

prolly gonna bite on the Vols if it hits +14

stefan084 · 10-04-10, 11:37 PM

i got trapped instantly-took florida -6.5

mandude · 10-04-10, 11:48 PM

Good point here. I think everybody is looking at LSU seeing how bad their offense is & how they got lucky against Tenn. Waht they don't realize is the Gators offense sucks too. LSU has a championship quality D that will keep them in this game. I have no idea who will win but LSU +7 looks real tasty at the moment. The line has also dropped to -6.5. I bet it drops down to a -6 or -5.5 by Sat. Seems to me that sharps are going to be hitting LSU at +7. Good eye.

CBASS · 10-04-10, 11:50 PM

Originally posted by stefan084

i got trapped instantly-took florida -6.5

That is a solid play IMO. I don't think this is a trap. The line is low right now because of Brantley's status.
Florida should win by more than a TD in the swamp. The only way LSU covers is if Jarrett Lee starts and has a flawless game. I'm on this as well with Florida -7. GL

dume walker · 10-04-10, 11:55 PM

Originally posted by CBASS

That is a solid play IMO. I don't think this is a trap. The line is low right now because of Brantley's status.
Florida should win by more than a TD in the swamp. The only way LSU covers is if Jarrett Lee starts and has a flawless game. I'm on this as well with Florida -7. GL

What's up with Brantley's status? I saw the interview he gave today for media day. He looked fine. Didn't say anything about any injury or not playing. Also saw Meyer's interview. He was asked and spoke about injured players. Brantley's name was not in that mix. At the same time, the Florida game has been pulled off the board of at least 2 books, so clearly something is in doubt and awaiting resolution.

Consistency · 10-05-10, 12:24 AM

After betting against LSU two weeks ago, and for them this passed week (I am still in shock over how that Tenn/LSU game ended, thankfully in my favor)... I can safely say that LSU is one of the most offensively impotent "good" teams I have seen in a while. It defies explanation.

That being said, I hate betting against terrific defensive play (and LSU has a phenomenal defense). All things considered I think Florida wins a redemption game after the Bama drubbing. Idk about 7 though. BOL to either side, I will be spectator.

CBASS · 10-05-10, 12:26 AM

Originally posted by dume walker

What's up with Brantley's status? I saw the interview he gave today for media day. He looked fine. Didn't say anything about any injury or not playing. Also saw Meyer's interview. He was asked and spoke about injured players. Brantley's name was not in that mix. At the same time, the Florida game has been pulled off the board of at least 2 books, so clearly something is in doubt and awaiting resolution.

I stand corrected.

You are right. Both Brantley and Demps are listed as probable. Sorry for the confusion. Been a long day and I am just now getting to go over all the updated info. This game should be on all books by no later than 12:00 noon. If the game is not listed on those 2 books, then something must be uncertain on the LSU side. I will try to dig up anything I can on this.

dume walker · 10-05-10, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by CBASS

I stand corrected.

You are right. Both Brantley and Demps are listed as probable. Sorry for the confusion. Been a long day and I am just now getting to go over all the updated info. This game should be on all books by no later than 12:00 noon. If the game is not listed on those 2 books, then something must be uncertain on the LSU side. I will try to dig up anything I can on this.

Thanks for doing this research. Left points in appreciation. I'm figuring it's something on the Florida side. Line opened at -7.5, then dropped to -6.5, then got pulled off the boards. Although now that I think about it, maybe they're waiting for Miles to make a decision about his starting QB. Maybe he'll go with Jarrett. (Not sure I got the name right. You know who I'm taking about.)

Mac4Lyfe · 10-05-10, 12:41 AM

Brantley will most definitely play. He's good to go. RB's, Demps has a bad foot and Gillislee has a bad ankle. Both will play but will only be about 80%. Gillislee will return kicks with Demps ailing which means the return game won't be that effective.

The only explanation I can see for the game off the books is maybe the status of who's playing QB at LSU. Miles maybe having open tryouts on campus.

dume walker · 10-05-10, 01:08 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Brantley will most definitely play. He's good to go. RB's, Demps has a bad foot and Gillislee has a bad ankle. Both will play but will only be about 80%. Gillislee will return kicks with Demps ailing which means the return game won't be that effective.

The only explanation I can see for the game off the books is maybe the status of who's playing QB at LSU. Miles maybe having open tryouts on campus.

Mac, read your great analysis of Florida on that other thread. So how do you think the offense does this week against that great LSU defense. Especially with Demps and Gillislee at 80%. Also believe I heard Meyer hint that Wilks might be back soon, maybe for this game?

Mac4Lyfe · 10-05-10, 01:13 AM

Hard to say because of the problems with Pouncey snapping the ball. He's a sure drive killer when he's under center with his poor snaps. I don't trust either teams offense enough to take and over so I'll be curious about the under. I'm leaning LSU with anything over 7. Have to watch the line moves on this one but this game shouldn't be a large play in anyones playbook.

HuBu · 10-05-10, 08:51 AM

Those bad snaps are getting out of hand. at least the secondary kicker did well last week with those punts and FG. After watching the Patriots last night, I can see how Hernandez was such a major playmaker for UF, hopefully Burton can fill those shoes.

CHAZ · 10-05-10, 08:56 AM

I'm curious to see what the total is. Two bad offenses w/ LSU's defense should make it a very low scoring game.

BigdaddyQH · 10-05-10, 09:07 AM

This certainly is not a "trap" game. The term "trap" is the most overused term in football. The term "trap", if used correctly, refers toline manipulation, and I have seen none of that. The fact is that Florida just got their a**es haded to them and are playing an undefeated, all-be-it very lucky team at home. 7 points is a legit line. I happen to think that Florida covers that line, but that does not mean that the line is not legit.

TO9 · 10-05-10, 09:40 AM

I think LSU covers.. UF's O is just not very good this year, LSU has its struggles too obviously but they are pretty good on defense. I don't think I'll be betting this game but I see a low scoring less than 5 point win for UF.. Interested to see this O/U, I could easily see this one being a 17-13 game or something like that.

GL to whatever you choose!