Byu -3.5????

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  • Husker36
    SBR MVP
    • 12-02-08
    • 3846

    #1
    Byu -3.5????
    Looks like EVERYONE is on Utah State. The line has dropped from -6 to -3.5. My question is WHY? BYU has won 10 years in a row. BYU beat Locker and Washington. (we are still unsure how good Washinton is..... Nebraska thumped them but Nebraska's defense is in the top 3) They then lost at Air Force (which is always a tough team to prepare for), at Florida State (not a bad team), and then to Nevada (who is having a great season).

    Utah State lost to Oklahoma (which on the surface looks impressive but OU has played 3 games against average opp close), They beat Idaho State (who sucks), then lost by 17 to Fresno State and 34 to San Diego State.

    I just think BYU is the play here.... especially if I can get -3. Any thoughts???
  • kurt_06518
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-24-10
    • 402

    #2
    how is everyone on utah state, i am showing 65% is on byu
    Comment
    • pdx107
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 06-20-09
      • 923

      #3
      BYU for sure, this is Utah State, not exactly noted as a good porgram
      Comment
      • Husker36
        SBR MVP
        • 12-02-08
        • 3846

        #4
        Originally posted by kurt_06518
        how is everyone on utah state, i am showing 65% is on byu
        Well first of all..... the line has dropped from -6 to -3.5. Plus if you read the threads here the majority of the people here are taking Utah State. I just want to understand what I'm missing
        Comment
        • bachngocduong
          SBR MVP
          • 03-17-06
          • 1826

          #5
          I don't know why but anyway I take byu
          Comment
          • mmike032
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-11-08
            • 8905

            #6
            Utah here
            Comment
            • ExposingLines247
              SBR MVP
              • 10-25-09
              • 1001

              #7
              Originally posted by mmike032
              Utah here
              care to elaborate?
              Comment
              • Ninersnut
                SBR MVP
                • 05-20-10
                • 3730

                #8
                Stay away there is only like 40+ games coming up on the weekend. You can wait one more day can't you?


                BTW I'm on Utah.
                Comment
                • kurt_06518
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-24-10
                  • 402

                  #9
                  first off, u say everyone here is taking utah st, therefore "EVERYONE" is on utah st. Yeah i have heard a few people take utah st and no one show interest on byu but the majority of people who have submitted bets have taken byu. so then you ask why did the line move down? thats because the big "sharp" players are pounding utah st. These guys always have informaiton you do not, they dont always win but they always have a leg up and i couldnt agree more, why is a team supposedly as bad as utah st only getting 3-5 points? exactly, all day
                  Comment
                  • The DiB
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-22-09
                    • 510

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Ninersnut
                    Stay away there is only like 40+ games coming up on the weekend. You can wait one more day can't you?


                    BTW I'm on Utah.


                    Best post I've seen about this game.
                    Comment
                    • PorkChop
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-18-08
                      • 8193

                      #11
                      BYU has looked terrible. They lost 2 of their best playmakes for the season, havent put anything together on offense. Take the home dog here.
                      Comment
                      • cowboyfan08
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-18-10
                        • 575

                        #12
                        Hope you right chop!!!1/2 my roll on it.
                        Comment
                        • msj0001
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-09-10
                          • 1562

                          #13
                          putting half your roll on Utah st. vs BYU is just dumb
                          Comment
                          • Ratzz
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-07-10
                            • 8965

                            #14
                            UTAH STATE (+3) over BYU 1ST HALF

                            MISTAKE TO DISCOUNT UTAH AT HOME IN 1st HALF... (+3) too much

                            different Aggies.. but they ALSO DO IT b4 Halftime!!

                            Comment
                            • wandalsh84
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-02-10
                              • 235

                              #15
                              Last night, 70% of the money was on Ok St, yet the line dropped from 3.5 to 2.5. Everyone on this site was saying, line movements suggest we go on TAMU and then the public is supposed to lose and 70% on Ok St, so you have to go TAMU, yet I took the line drop as 2.5 is a great line at home and met those other smart players at the cashier.

                              Honestly, I'm staying away from this one, since there are much better plays tomorrow, just commenting that you can't just think these trends tell you everything about a game. Personally, when the line was at 6.5, i would have taken Utah State, but now that it is 3.5 and maybe down to 3 at kick, i am staying away. BYU has given up over 200 yards on the ground in 3 straight games and though Utah State doesn't appear to be anything, they went to Norman and fought an OU team that isn't elite, but is far superior to this BYU team.
                              Comment
                              • homerbush
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-17-08
                                • 2317

                                #16
                                I know common opponents can be overdone but both air force and Utah state played close at oklahoma. Air force beat the crap out of byu. I am not saying that means anything but something to chew on. I actually would lean to byu here but that is keeping me from pulling trigger so no play here.
                                Comment
                                • iQon
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-08-10
                                  • 1483

                                  #17
                                  "Everybody" is actually on BYU. Either way, what a great game to bet on. Two terrible defenses. So-So offense. I can't believe people are forcing this one with a full card tomorrow.
                                  Comment
                                  • Rixsaw
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-23-08
                                    • 4532

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Husker36
                                    LI just think BYU is the play here.... especially if I can get -3. Any thoughts???
                                    If you really like the play, do buy it down to 3 or 2.5
                                    Comment
                                    • ukbro00
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 04-02-07
                                      • 388

                                      #19
                                      This is a tough game. BYU should win easily, but i wouldn't be surprised to see USU take this one, especially at home
                                      Comment
                                      • cappinthepigs
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-07-09
                                        • 1864

                                        #20
                                        I'll break it down and let yall know the winning side shortly.
                                        Comment
                                        • cappinthepigs
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-07-09
                                          • 1864

                                          #21
                                          No play here
                                          Comment
                                          • zephyr
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-19-10
                                            • 516

                                            #22
                                            BYU has trouble this year. Inexperienced quarterback. Questionable run defense. Those are two key issues. Utah State has some good fans, and this will be a big game in Logan. Utah State might just get this one from BYU.
                                            Comment
                                            • Thomas_Garber
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-19-09
                                              • 364

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by wandalsh84
                                              Last night, 70% of the money was on Ok St, yet the line dropped from 3.5 to 2.5.
                                              You are wrong. When you see the % it doesn't mean the volume of money, it means the number of bets. 70% of the documented bets were on ok st. 30% was on Texas.

                                              Oklahoma bets were public bets where the bet amount is low. Sharps pounded texas all the way to +3.

                                              In terms of volume there was more money bet on texas than ok st. thus the line movement.
                                              Comment
                                              • Eric22174
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-01-10
                                                • 1334

                                                #24
                                                You are correct. Heaps is inexperienced but did keep them in the ball game against Nevada. Utah State doesn't impress me.
                                                Comment
                                                • lak420187
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 05-17-09
                                                  • 567

                                                  #25
                                                  i like byu also...but ive been off on every play in the past two weeks.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ahhlenn
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 04-13-10
                                                    • 444

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by kurt_06518
                                                    first off, u say everyone here is taking utah st, therefore "EVERYONE" is on utah st. Yeah i have heard a few people take utah st and no one show interest on byu but the majority of people who have submitted bets have taken byu. so then you ask why did the line move down? thats because the big "sharp" players are pounding utah st. These guys always have informaiton you do not, they dont always win but they always have a leg up and i couldnt agree more, why is a team supposedly as bad as utah st only getting 3-5 points? exactly, all day
                                                    i couldn't have said it better myself...GL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Eric22174
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-01-10
                                                      • 1334

                                                      #27
                                                      BYU has a chance to turn UTAH state one dimensional tonight. Utah State will not get the pass going against the BYU secondary. And Borel can't do it all himself. BYU should win. And Heaps will get his first win of the season in impress fashion.


                                                      And on the public betting one way or the other..
                                                      Example: Pitt vs Miami last week. ?????

                                                      The players play the game.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • newjerseydevils
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-11-08
                                                        • 3110

                                                        #28
                                                        this game is tough to cap. im leaving it alone
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jimmy Proffett
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-20-09
                                                          • 2729

                                                          #29
                                                          The injuries on both sides are astounding.

                                                          Utah St. injuries:

                                                          [ol] 09/26/2010 - Tariq Polley "?" Friday vs. BYU ( Undisclosed )
                                                          [WR] 09/11/2010 - Matt Austin out for season ( Knee )
                                                          [WR] 08/10/2010 - Stanley Morrison out for season ( Foot )
                                                          (!)[RB] 08/10/2010 - Robert Turbin out for season ( ACL )
                                                          [RB] 09/26/2010 - Michael Smith "?" Friday vs. BYU ( Undisclosed )
                                                          [K] 09/26/2010 - Peter Caldwell "?" Friday vs. BYU ( Ankle )
                                                          [LB] 09/29/2010 - Junior Keiaho probable Friday vs. BYU ( Suspension Served )
                                                          [CB] 09/30/2010 - Chris Randle is upgraded to probable Friday vs. BYU ( Undisclosed )
                                                          [S] 09/28/2010 - Rajric Coleman is upgraded to probable Friday vs. BYU ( Undisclosed )
                                                          [DB] 09/30/2010 - Jamaine Olson out indefinitely ( Undisclosed )
                                                          [OL] 09/29/2010 - Spencer Johnson doubtful Friday vs. BYU ( Ankle )

                                                          BYU Injuries:


                                                          [QB] 09/21/2010 - Riley Nelson out for season ( Shoulder )
                                                          [CB] 08/05/2010 - Lee Aguirre out for season ( Academics )
                                                          [NT] 09/27/2010 - Romney Fuga out for season ( Knee )
                                                          [WR] 09/22/2010 - O'Neill Chambers expected to miss 2 weeks; eligible to return Oct 9 vs San Diego State ( Disciplinary )
                                                          [LB] 09/26/2010 - Brandon Ogletree "?" Friday vs. Utah State ( Knee )
                                                          [DB] 09/29/2010 - Steven Thomas is downgraded to expected to miss Friday vs. Utah State ( Concussion )
                                                          [WR] 09/09/2010 - Ross Apo expected to miss 4 to 6 weeks ( Finger )
                                                          [LB] 09/28/2010 - Jameson Frazier expected to miss 3 weeks ( Thumb )

                                                          I think I'm gonna stay away from this one.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Eric22174
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-01-10
                                                            • 1334

                                                            #30
                                                            Utah State has more injuries at the skilled positions. Hands down.

                                                            When you have a program with the quality of BYU you always have players that can step up and fill those positions. When you have a program like Utah State that loses recruits to BYU and more superb teams then they have a harder time filling those skilled positions. And that shows in the stats and the performance.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • aeshred
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 09-16-09
                                                              • 239

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by msj0001
                                                              putting half your roll on Utah st. vs BYU is just dumb
                                                              This...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • louis.ana
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 02-09-09
                                                                • 359

                                                                #32
                                                                Both teams suck, Utah St. has a better pass and rush game.
                                                                Line moves in favor of Utah St. at home
                                                                Comment
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