Angle on Alabama/Florida

TPowell · 09-30-10, 05:59 PM

mods please link this to college football board. Forgot where I posted this

Jasonal_98 · 09-30-10, 06:13 PM

I think you have this one exactly right. Bama will come out firing in this one.

msj0001 · 09-30-10, 06:18 PM

I want to take Bama but I've got a strange feeling that Florida will show up ready to play in this one...Florida's D is way better than Arkansas D too

pavyracer · 09-30-10, 06:21 PM

Best bet is to take the points with the 1H line for Florida. If Alabama pulls out it will be in the 4th quarter. 1st half will be like a chess game.

NB · 09-30-10, 06:28 PM

florida has a good turnover rate

marley33 · 09-30-10, 08:52 PM

I disagree. Arkansas D is better than Floridas. Bama by 17+

Larrythelegend · 09-30-10, 09:11 PM

Roll tide

BadNina · 09-30-10, 09:16 PM

Bama took the second half of that game last week by the throat and squeezed. It wasn't a comeback with fast points off turnovers. It was a slow, methodical force of will. And I don't think that will let up.

No coincidences · 10-01-10, 12:05 AM

I love that the public is confused by this game.

I'm on Alabama too -- just wish I could get it at 7.

las8 · 10-01-10, 03:20 AM

like it too. good luck

sweethook · 10-01-10, 05:43 AM

play calling was not great last week for alabama , has to be more running game or fla. may win in the air are atlest ats.

chrisharvard01 · 10-01-10, 05:46 AM

anyone that thinks FLOR can win this game might as well lay 5 units on the FLOR +800 BCS line because that is how likely a win is.

thebestthereis · 10-01-10, 05:55 AM

biggest angle is that NONE of the Florida players have every stepped foot in the Alabama stadium and this game is at night, mayhem. Just ask Penn State how that worked out.

matthewsg · 10-01-10, 06:36 AM

Really like Bama in this spot. Everyone who lost on Bama last week jumping ship. Arkansas, at home, is a much better team than Fla in Tuscaloosa. Fla should have trouble moving the football, and Bama's rush O and just enough 3rd down conversions from McElroy/Jones should bring home at 10+ pts win for the Tide.

horseexpert · 10-01-10, 06:47 AM

Good luck this weekend tpowell

LTCOL27 · 10-01-10, 08:26 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

I think Alabama is around -8 right now which seems WAY too low to me. I would guess homefield equates for at least 3.5 points in a place like Alabama (maybe 4). Alabama would be -4 if this was the SEC Championship????? No way in hell, they would be a touchdown AT LEAST. Okay on to the main point below!

The Arkansas game certainly wasn't good for Bama but look what happened when Florida and Arky played last year. Very similar games except Florida LUCKED out in winning and Alabama pulled through by themselves. This game was the BIGGEST game in Arkansas football history for about 10-15 years. On the other side, Alabama had FLORIDA, the next week AT HOME. I def think Alabama was in a let down spot last week and wins this game by 10+

Great analysis. Arkansas gave Bama their best shot, and in some ways, Arkansas is almost a better team than Florida right now (or at least they were at home last week). I agree 100%, and I think that Alabama will win this game by double digits.

3PtShooter · 10-01-10, 08:31 AM

scared this one might be won by a last second field goal,,,,but the number seems about right

Flight · 10-01-10, 08:32 AM

Everything I've studied points to a correct line of Alabama -14.5

I suppose a straight wager is the proper way to play it at -8; but why am I so tempted to tease this to Alabama -2?

jwbama23 · 10-01-10, 09:52 AM

look at the recent history between these two teams. Close games Gators have won. Bama wins are and have been blowouts. Just a thought. I am so confused. I want to take Bama but may just lay off. Its fun to have action on a big game like this though

Uncle Harv · 10-01-10, 10:47 AM

SEC games where both teams have good defenses are usually low scoring tight grudge matches. 21 - 17 Bama. Take the points.

msj0001 · 10-01-10, 11:02 AM

Originally posted by marley33

I disagree. Arkansas D is better than Floridas. Bama by 17+

Arkansas D let GEORGIA's "high-powered" offense score 24 on them...Arkansas's D is NOT better than Florida's D...not even close, Florida's D is averaging 4 interceptions a game

TrapperDapper · 10-01-10, 11:08 AM

Florida's defense is highly underrated. MCelroy showed that he is turnover prone last week, and this Florida defense is taking the ball away from everyone.

jadenandashton · 10-01-10, 11:31 AM

I dont understand this line either. I think if you are on Bama you are definetly getting a discount at only 8 points. If anyone has watched this quarterback for Florida in his first couple of games you would question only eight points too. He struggled against Miami OH and south florida defenses. What in the world makes you think that he is going to go into Bama with 102k fans screaming and one of the best defenses in college football and all of a sudden turn on a light switch and he and this pathetic defense is going to flourish. Will not and cannot happen. I am not a Bama fan, actually going to take South Carolina next week, but I dont see bama having any trouble at home tomorrow night. Bama 38 Florida 17.

HuBu · 10-01-10, 12:30 PM

I would like Florida to win, but I wouldn't be surprised if bama leads the entire game. Brantley is still too green and he might over compensate because this is such a big game and make a lot of mistakes.

sonyman · 10-01-10, 12:42 PM

Can't wait to watch this game. Sure do hate that Stanford-Oregon is on at the same time.

jwbama23 · 10-01-10, 01:26 PM

I find it pretty funny to see how people will discredit Bama's D for giving up a whopping 20 points to one of the most potent offenses in not only the SEC but the entire country. Then I keep hearing these same Gator fans talking about McElroy throwing 2 picks. Two freaking interceptions on the road in the SEC in a big time game and now he is a turnover machine. Give me a break. You know what McElroy can say???? He still has not lost a game since 8th grade .

The story line of this game is can Florida find a way to stop the Bama Offense. That was the major problem in the SECCG and will be there problem tomorrow nite. Make no mistake about it, as bad as UF wants to win so does Bama and Bama is at home. Florida has shown nothing so far this season for anyone to logically say they have a chance in this game. Anyone who thinks florida can win is speaking out of emotion and not logic. Save your money Gator backers .......Bama at home in front of 102k fans wins this one 31-17.

on a side note, all Gator fans please read.

Jorts are frowned upon in Tuscaloosa and you will get no action if you go to the game and wear jorts

Herky · 10-01-10, 01:32 PM

Bama overrated but have earned the spot. Florida vastly overrated.

jadenandashton · 10-01-10, 01:54 PM

What game this year makes you feel that they are overrated?

jwbama23 · 10-01-10, 02:11 PM

Originally posted by Herky

Bama overrated but have earned the spot. Florida vastly overrated.

and what is Iowa? Underratted? LOL

Mac4Lyfe · 10-01-10, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by marley33

I disagree. Arkansas D is better than Floridas. Bama by 17+

Please lay off the pipe... Arkansas' defense isn't in the same area code as UF's. UF's defense has played much better against 3 quality opponents while Arky played 2 quality opponents (although UGA may not be quality). UF's offense has been better than Arky as well. UF can establish the run while Arky has zero run game. Brantley is a much better decision maker and I think better passer than Mullett.

UF is young and that plus playing in BDS are the 2 things that may lead to a loss but I think UF has a great shot of winning this game. Stop Ingram and Richardson and force McElroy to beat you. If he does then tip your hat.

Mac4Lyfe · 10-01-10, 05:16 PM

Note: UF's place kicker Sturgis is out this Saturday with a back injury. It's been aggravating him all season. Chas Henry the punter will take over kicking. This could be a factor but Sturgis really wasn't kicking well anyway.

BamaCBass · 10-01-10, 05:30 PM

It sorta looks like a Gator invitation to me. But when I think about a year of pent up anger and humiliation the Gators and Meyer went through, the revenge factor scares me a bit here. Following last year's game is when Urban began having health problems. Maybe scheming and game planning for one year won't make the difference, as players play, but I'm torn on this one. On the flip side, this will be by far the rowdiest the new stadium will be thus far and maybe all year.

jwbama23 · 10-02-10, 06:55 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Please lay off the pipe... Arkansas' defense isn't in the same area code as UF's. UF's defense has played much better against 3 quality opponents while Arky played 2 quality opponents (although UGA may not be quality). UF's offense has been better than Arky as well. UF can establish the run while Arky has zero run game. Brantley is a much better decision maker and I think better passer than Mullett. UF is young and that plus playing in BDS are the 2 things that may lead to a loss but I think UF has a great shot of winning this game. Stop Ingram and Richardson and force McElroy to beat you. If he does then tip your hat.

who are UF's three quality opponents if you are gonna discredit Georgia as a quality opponent?

Straight Cash · 10-02-10, 07:12 AM

Arkansas is a lot better team than Florida IMO. I wouldnt let that Arkansas game scare you.