Some interesing public v. money positions this week

[MartinBlank]

Per sbr odds anyway.

Temple/Penn State. 83% of the plays on Penn State---yet line dropped from 17 to 13.5.

Stanford/Notre Dame. 80% of the plays on Stanford----line moved from 3.5 to 4.5---and now is trending back down to 3.5.

Oklahoma/Cincinnati. 86% of the plays on Oklahoma---yet the line has moved from 17 to 13.5.

Alabama/Arkansas. 80% of the plays on Alabama----no line movement.

This one is hard to believe.....

LSU/WVU. 86% of the plays on WVU---line move from 7 to 10.5.

[cant call it]

why would the lines move the opposite direction of the public betting? I dont know a whole lot about 'capping' but I just dont understand why it moves that way instead of the other.
I still think psu and bama are a good play, regardless if 80% or more are betting on them. I have heard that you usually dont want to tail a bet that is above 75% or so, but I have gut feeling psu and bama show out this weekend.
any info is helpful, and thx in advance

[kurt_06518]

IT WOULD MOVE BEcause the public are the small betters and then u have inside guys who bet with size and can move lines, so when u see these large players going the otehr way, u have to 2nd guess ur pick and kind of understand why they r doing it

[Sunde91]

SBR Odds clearly isn't functioning right; those are not even close.

[cant call it]

http://www.pregame.com/EN/main/sports-betting-stats/sportsbook-spy-insights/

this is where i usually would go to check %% of bets, anyone ever used this before, i noticed its way diff from the link martin put out? who do you trust?

[paste_me]

because the sharps are on the other side. 86% does not mean 86% of the money, it just means 86% of the people. for all we know, LSU can have just 1 guy betting more than the entire public combined.

[cant call it]

because the sharps are on the other side. 86% does not mean 86% of the money, it just means 86% of the people. for all we know, LSU can have just 1 guy betting more than the entire public combined.

ahhh ding ding ding, winner winner chicken dinner, now this makes more sense! thanks , dont know why i didnt think that way instead of my previous. good looking out

[Sunde91]

Wow, ok, stop responding like the numbers are legitimate. This is Penn State..most clearly action flipped 36% in 2 hours and it's not a malfunction..

POINTSPREADS
09/19 19:54 – / – +16½ -110 / -16½ -110
09/20 01:43 59% / 41% +15 -110 / -15 -110
09/20 20:00 57% / 43% +14½ -110 / -14½ -110
09/21 13:19 60% / 40% +14 -110 / -14 -110
09/22 13:17 61% / 39% +14 -110 / -14 -110
09/23 12:25 54% / 46% +13½ -110 / -13½ -110
09/24 10:22 53% / 47%
09/24 11:55 – / –
09/24 12:00 17% / 83%

[MartinBlank]

Wow, ok, stop responding like the numbers are legitimate. This is Penn State..most clearly action flipped 36% in 2 hours and it's not a malfunction..

POINTSPREADS
09/19 19:54 – / – +16½ -110 / -16½ -110
09/20 01:43 59% / 41% +15 -110 / -15 -110
09/20 20:00 57% / 43% +14½ -110 / -14½ -110
09/21 13:19 60% / 40% +14 -110 / -14 -110
09/22 13:17 61% / 39% +14 -110 / -14 -110
09/23 12:25 54% / 46% +13½ -110 / -13½ -110
09/24 10:22 53% / 47%
09/24 11:55 – / –
09/24 12:00 17% / 83%

Good post Sund, and I missed that. Clearly the numbers are not accurate on SBR Odds---I don't think it is possible to see a 36% flip in 24 hours.

Good catch.