***Donkwin47's 2010 FOOTBALL Season Thread***

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  • Donkwin47
    SBR MVP
    • 03-12-10
    • 2851

    #386
    1/2/11 NFL Play

    DONK 3* Texans ML -190
    Comment
    • Donkwin47
      SBR MVP
      • 03-12-10
      • 2851

      #387
      1/2/11 NFL Play

      1.5* 3 Team ML Parlay: Colts, Packers, Falcons (-170)
      Comment
      • Donkwin47
        SBR MVP
        • 03-12-10
        • 2851

        #388
        Added 1* to Texans ML at -225, making it a 4* play.
        Comment
        • Donkwin47
          SBR MVP
          • 03-12-10
          • 2851

          #389
          For the record, I like the Chiefs (maybe TT o23 as well), Giants, and Chargers. I think the Rams, too. I was closest to betting Chiefs, probably for 2*, but want to keep the week 17 card small, as it can be a dangerous week.
          Comment
          • Donkwin47
            SBR MVP
            • 03-12-10
            • 2851

            #390
            1/2/11 NFL Play

            DONK 2* 2 Team ML Parlay: Ravens & Colts (-194)
            Comment
            • Donkwin47
              SBR MVP
              • 03-12-10
              • 2851

              #391
              1/2/11 NFL Play

              1* Saints/Buccaneers 2H Over 22
              Comment
              • Donkwin47
                SBR MVP
                • 03-12-10
                • 2851

                #392
                Originally posted by Donkwin47
                1/2/11 NFL Plays

                DONK 4* Texans ML -200 WIN

                DONK 2* 2 Team ML Parlay: Ravens & Colts (-194) WIN

                1.5* 3 Team ML Parlay: Colts, Packers, Falcons (-170) WIN

                1* Saints/Buccaneers 2H Over 22 LOSS
                Four 2nd half field goals and we fall just short on that 2H total for the sweep. The underthrown ball by Freeman with a WR 20 yards behind the defense was the death of me in that one. Pathetic. However, Great week 17 and glad I laid off the leans and stayed discipline. On to the Playoffs!
                Comment
                • Donkwin47
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-12-10
                  • 2851

                  #393
                  NCAAF YTD: 43-40-3 -$1,057
                  DONK Plays: 25-18-3 -$148

                  NFL YTD: 70-44-8 +$5,403
                  DONK Plays: 51-32-5 +$4,708


                  OVERALL YTD: 113-84-11+$4,346
                  DONK OVERALL: 76-50-8 +$4,560

                  (39-20-4 +$6,407.50 on plays of 3* or larger)
                  (5-1-2 +$2,150 on only Top Plays of 5* or higher)
                  (1-0 +$1,000 on only 10* play of the year)
                  Comment
                  • Donkwin47
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-12-10
                    • 2851

                    #394
                    1/2/11 NFL Play

                    DONK 2* Rams TT Over 22.5
                    Comment
                    • Donkwin47
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-12-10
                      • 2851

                      #395
                      Originally posted by Donkwin47
                      1/2/11 NFL Play

                      DONK 2* Rams TT Over 22.5 LOSS
                      Blah.. Liked Seattle all night then put this in 10 mins before gametime. Really upset with myself. Not even close.
                      Comment
                      • Donkwin47
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-12-10
                        • 2851

                        #396
                        NCAAF YTD: 43-40-3 -$1,057
                        DONK Plays: 25-18-3 -$148

                        NFL YTD: 70-45-8 +$5,183
                        DONK Plays: 51-33-5 +$4,488


                        OVERALL YTD: 113-85-11+$4,126
                        DONK OVERALL: 76-51-8 +$4,340

                        (39-20-4 +$6,407.50 on plays of 3* or larger)
                        (5-1-2 +$2,150 on only Top Plays of 5* or higher)
                        (1-0 +$1,000 on only 10* play of the year)
                        Comment
                        • Donkwin47
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-12-10
                          • 2851

                          #397
                          1/9/11 NFL Play

                          DONK 3* Ravens ML -140
                          Comment
                          • Donkwin47
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-12-10
                            • 2851

                            #398
                            1/3/11 NCAAF Play

                            DONK 2* Stanford 1st Half ML -145

                            If I'm around near kickoff and find out that Stanford will receive the KO and start with the ball, I will probably bump this to a 3* play. Might/will probably play Stanford -3 for the game, too.
                            Comment
                            • Donkwin47
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-12-10
                              • 2851

                              #399
                              For the Ravens ML the line I got was actually -138, just FTR.
                              Comment
                              • Donkwin47
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-12-10
                                • 2851

                                #400
                                1/3/11 NCAAF Play

                                1* Stanford ML -170
                                Comment
                                • Donkwin47
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-12-10
                                  • 2851

                                  #401
                                  Upgrading Stanford.

                                  1/3/11 NCAAF Plays (Updated)

                                  DONK 3* Stanford 1st Half ML -150
                                  DONK 2.5* Stanford Game ML -171

                                  Goin big tonight. Let's do work.
                                  Comment
                                  • Donkwin47
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-12-10
                                    • 2851

                                    #402
                                    Just added 0.5* to the Stanford Game ML to make it a 3* play and count towards that record. 2 big 3* plays tonight. That is final. GL.
                                    Comment
                                    • Donkwin47
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-12-10
                                      • 2851

                                      #403
                                      1st half is a winner. Thinking about hedging for the game and sitting on just one 3* winner, but I'm averaged in at -171 and even though Stanford is -185, it's halftime, so the vig is heavy and VT is only +160. I would not buy out full, just reduced my position on Stanford as VT is a very strong 2H team and Stanford's lead is not as big as I would have liked. There has been a lot of fluky stuff so far, and I have faith in Luck, so I think I might just ride it out.
                                      Comment
                                      • Donkwin47
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-12-10
                                        • 2851

                                        #404
                                        Line actually went up to -210/+175, so I could have taken a microscopic profit that would basically be a breakeven, but the steam just made me more confident, naturally. Already won first half so let's just go for the kill!
                                        Comment
                                        • Donkwin47
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-12-10
                                          • 2851

                                          #405
                                          Originally posted by Donkwin47
                                          1/3/11 NCAAF Plays

                                          DONK 3* Stanford 1st Half ML -150 WIN
                                          DONK 3* Stanford Game ML -171 WIN
                                          Went big tonight... And did work!
                                          Comment
                                          • Donkwin47
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-12-10
                                            • 2851

                                            #406
                                            NCAAF YTD: 45-40-3 -$457
                                            DONK Plays: 27-18-3+$452

                                            NFL YTD: 70-45-8 +$5,183
                                            DONK Plays: 51-33-5 +$4,488


                                            OVERALL YTD: 115-85-11+$4,726
                                            DONK OVERALL: 78-51-8 +$4,940

                                            (41-20-4 +$7,007.50 on plays of 3* or larger)
                                            (5-1-2 +$2,150 on only Top Plays of 5* or higher)
                                            (1-0 +$1,000 on only 10* play of the year)
                                            Comment
                                            • Donkwin47
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-12-10
                                              • 2851

                                              #407
                                              Goin to Atlantis in the Bahamas for a week, and don't think I'll have internet access so won't be able to post my plays. Here is what I have for round 1 of the NFL Playoffs:

                                              1/8/11 NFL Play

                                              1.5* Colts ML -133

                                              1/9/11 NFL Play

                                              DONK 3.5* Ravens ML -138


                                              This is what I put in online. I hear the Atlantis has a 50,000 square foot casino with a sportsbook so I'll prolly bet there, but most likely won't be able to post. Unless I get internet access at the Atlantis, I guess NCAAF is wrapped up for me. A very nice bowl season for sure, finished the season in the plus for DONK plays, and limited the damage overall so the NFL numbers can shine. I think I lean Auburn for the National Championship, but I originally leaned Oregon. Dunno where I'll end up, probably Auburn, though.

                                              If I don't get on here within the next week good luck to everyone and I'll see you for round 2 of the NFL Playoffs.
                                              Comment
                                              • Donkwin47
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-12-10
                                                • 2851

                                                #408
                                                On wifi in the airport in Charlotte during a layover.. DONK 2* play on Arkansas TT o26.5 (-118).
                                                Comment
                                                • Donkwin47
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-12-10
                                                  • 2851

                                                  #409
                                                  Betting and posting from blackberry.. Donk 3* on middle tennessee state -2 and upgrade ravens ml to 4* averaged in at -140. Good luck.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Donkwin47
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-12-10
                                                    • 2851

                                                    #410
                                                    Blackberry again.. Donk 1.5* on lsu/tex am under 49.5 -103 and upgrade colts to 2*
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Donkwin47
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-12-10
                                                      • 2851

                                                      #411
                                                      Bb again.. Donk 2* on pitt -4.5 -102 and donk 3* on colts jets over 44.5 -105
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Donkwin47
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-12-10
                                                        • 2851

                                                        #412
                                                        Making ravens a 5* top play averaged in at -145. Good luck.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Donkwin47
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-12-10
                                                          • 2851

                                                          #413
                                                          Final play of the college season is a donk 4* on auburn ml -112. Good luck!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Donkwin47
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-12-10
                                                            • 2851

                                                            #414
                                                            NFL Divisional Playoffs Plays

                                                            DONK 4* Steelers ML -159
                                                            DONK 4* Patriots 1H -5.5 (-115)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Donkwin47
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-12-10
                                                              • 2851

                                                              #415
                                                              Last Week's Recap

                                                              DONK 5* Ravens ML -145 WIN

                                                              DONK 2* Colts ML -133 LOSS

                                                              DONK 3* Colts/Jets Over 44.5 LOSS

                                                              DONK 2* Arkansas TT Over 26.5 (-118) LOSS

                                                              DONK 3* Middle Tennessee State -2 LOSS

                                                              DONK 1.5* LSU/Tex A&M Under 49.5 (-103) LOSS

                                                              DONK 2* Pittsburgh -4.5 WIN

                                                              DONK 4* Auburn ML -112 WIN

                                                              3-5 but got the big ones so pretty close to a breakeven week.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Donkwin47
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-12-10
                                                                • 2851

                                                                #416
                                                                NCAAF YTD: 47-43-3 -$562.50
                                                                DONK Plays: 29-21-3+$346.50

                                                                NFL YTD: 71-47-8 +$5,102
                                                                DONK Plays: 52-35-5 +$4,407


                                                                OVERALL YTD: 118-90-11+$4,539.50
                                                                DONK OVERALL: 81-56-8 +$4,753.50

                                                                (43-22-4 +$7,277.50 on plays of 3* or larger)
                                                                (6-1-2 +$2,650 on only Top Plays of 5* or higher)
                                                                (1-0 +$1,000 on only 10* play of the year)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Lucky1g
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-10-10
                                                                  • 5973

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Donk, hell of a season brother,congrats.Great record and selectivity on ur top plays..I bought the ravens ML when it first came out monday,,however during the course of the week more and more i like pitt..covering the 3 will be tough but a ML play seems like a great play here..i guess im just gonna roll w the ravens but my gut tells me ur on the right side with pitt ML...gluck and continued succsess..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Donkwin47
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-12-10
                                                                    • 2851

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Originally posted by Lucky1g
                                                                    Donk, hell of a season brother,congrats.Great record and selectivity on ur top plays..I bought the ravens ML when it first came out monday,,however during the course of the week more and more i like pitt..covering the 3 will be tough but a ML play seems like a great play here..i guess im just gonna roll w the ravens but my gut tells me ur on the right side with pitt ML...gluck and continued succsess..
                                                                    Thanks man, 'preciate the support. Odds are I will bump Pitt ML to a 5* Top Play. Really liking this one. I have watched the Ravens closely the last few weeks, viewing their games live as I have had action on a lot of their games late this season. The biggest thing I have noticed which is a huge weakness and big matchup problem vs. the Steelers is that Joe Flacco holds the ball way too long in the pocket. I never really noticed it before to this extent, and I don't know if it has become more of a problem of late, but when he's back there slingin', sometimes the gun just jams. Can't do that against the Steelers who will be bringing pressure often. I really think we're gonna see a few sacks, a couple tipped balls and probably at least one turnover via pick or fumble that will come from Flacco being a sitting duck back there and freezing up like a deer in headlights. Ravens D played well vs. the Chiefs but the Chiefs closed the season very poorly. We saw the Ravens D show their age late in the season letting teams pick em apart in the second half (i.e.- Texans). Steelers run D is sick and only gave up 43 rush yards on 20 carries last game in Baltimore as the Steelers stole that win. Love the intangibles of the Steelers in the playoffs playing at home in Pitt. Steelers always perform and win championships, Ravens have been dissapointing the last few years after getting in. Don't see this being a blowout, but Steelers by 7-10 wouldn't surprise me. The total is in the 30's and this could be a bruising game, so I think the ML is the way to go. Buying to -2.5 is no good IMO as this could definitely be a 1 or 2 point game. Sometimes you gotta say "screw the spread" and pick the winner of the game. I'm pickin the Steelers and feelin good about it. Loved it since the line came out and love that most people seem to disagree with me.

                                                                    Jumpin' on a plane to go back to the Bahamas (which I got back from 2 days ago) since one of my best friends made the final table at PCA and is goin for the $2.3 million first place payout. Top 4 get a million or more. I've got a share of him so that will be my main focus, even though they play the FT during the Steelers game. However, I fully expect to see a Pitt win when I check that game. BOL.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Lucky1g
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-10-10
                                                                      • 5973

                                                                      #419
                                                                      haha very nice donk, enjoy that bahama breeze and get that $$$..i think ur right on bout the ravens defense aging and getting picked apart abit late in the season,,all i know is if and when they get to big ben theyd better bring him down or he will shred em..gonna be a great weekend of football...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Donkwin47
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-12-10
                                                                        • 2851

                                                                        #420
                                                                        Officially bumping Steelers to a 5* Top Play on the ML averaged in at -160. GL.
                                                                        Comment
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