Air Force +17.5

**MendozaLine** · 09-14-10, 11:06 PM

If my memory serves me correct, Utah State runs the option as well. Didn't Oklahoma struggle against Utah State?

**jwbama23** · 09-15-10, 09:12 AM

Originally posted by MendozaLine

what the hell am I missing here? Air Force is a damn good team. This is a let down spot for Oklahoma and Air Force will keep this close. Mark my words.

Just to play devils advocate, because I am looking hard at this game as well. Why is this a let down spot for Oklahoma? If Oklahoma was to not cover this weekend that would essentially be 2/3 "let downs" so far this season. I say that because to Oklahoma there is no excuse to not win this game by 20+ points. My first instinct was Air Force but after looking a little more im leaning no play or OK. Just looking for your insight as you may know more about these teams than I do.

**Commission713** · 09-15-10, 09:21 AM

That triple option destroyed BYU last week. I could see The Academy keeping this one within two TDs if they find success with the run game and dominate time of possession.

On the other hand, if OU's corners can get away with playing man coverage on AFA's receivers, the Sooners will be able to stack seven or eight in the box and squash the run.

I'll keep watching the line on this one before making a decision, which will probably be to stay away from this game.

**pavyracer** · 09-15-10, 09:51 AM

Good luck with this play.

**sooner13** · 09-15-10, 09:57 AM

I guess last weeks destruction of FSU wasn't a sign of the strength of OU. They are notorious at starting out the first game slow. Please remember OU jumped out to a 21-0 lead and sandbagged the rest of the way, getting some playing time for freshman and sitting on the ball at the end.
Thousand of people lost money by looking at the Utah State game and using it as a reason to take FSU and look what happened. Don't make the same mistake against AF. It's at home and this team is firing on all cylinders, believing they have a legitimate shot at the championship. Stoops gets a lead and keeps smashin in this one. 45-20 OU in another route.

**MendozaLine** · 09-15-10, 01:01 PM

how many times have you seen a team follow up a big win with a bad performance? Happens all the time.

Right now the squares are taking Oklahoma. And why not? If they killed FSU, they'll roll against Air Force right?

Time of possession will be huge in this game. Much like Navy, Air Force will do everything they can to keep Oklahoma's offense off the field. In the end, The Air Force offense will keep Oklahoma's offense off the field long enough to cover 17 points.

And one other thing. Good luck to Oklahoma preparing for an offense like this. If you think Oklahoma's scout team is going to give their defense a good look this week, you're delusional.

Air Force +17.5

Originally posted by jwbama23

Just to play devils advocate, because I am looking hard at this game as well. Why is this a let down spot for Oklahoma? If Oklahoma was to not cover this weekend that would essentially be 2/3 "let downs" so far this season. I say that because to Oklahoma there is no excuse to not win this game by 20+ points. My first instinct was Air Force but after looking a little more im leaning no play or OK. Just looking for your insight as you may know more about these teams than I do.

**paste_me** · 09-15-10, 01:08 PM

nah man, sooners will be up 21 points

**jwbama23** · 09-15-10, 01:11 PM

I still am not convinced one way or the other. I think this will be a no play. Anyone could make an argument either way. Too close to call. This game could be tight or a blow out.

**TodaysLocks** · 09-15-10, 01:18 PM

This will be one of my plays of the week when I post my night games. I've run this through my system a number of times and air force loses by between 11-13 points about 62% of the time.

Air Force and the points is the play here.

**sooner13** · 09-15-10, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by MendozaLine

how many times have you seen a team follow up a big win with a bad performance? Happens all the time.

Right now the squares are taking Oklahoma. And why not? If they killed FSU, they'll roll against Air Force right?

Time of possession will be huge in this game. Much like Navy, Air Force will do everything they can to keep Oklahoma's offense off the field. In the end, The Air Force offense will keep Oklahoma's offense off the field long enough to cover 17 points.

And one other thing. Good luck to Oklahoma preparing for an offense like this. If you think Oklahoma's scout team is going to give their defense a good look this week, you're delusional.

Air Force +17.5

I love it when people use terms like "square" Why would Oklahoma be the square pick? What's your theory?
So someone is delusional if they think OU can prepare for AF's offense? Well I guess they might as well not play the game then.
The bottom line is this AF offense is one dimensional, run, run, run which plays right into OU's scheme. AF completed a total of 12 passes in 2 games.
I believe you were trying to make a case for Utah States running style against OU in the first week, I hope you noticed that they gained a total of 80 yards on the ground against OU. All the big plays were in the air, so if AF has no passing game how do they stay close?
AF also allowed 221 rushing yards to BYU in a game that AF was leading the whole way after the 2nd quarter. If BYU can put up 221 on AF Demarco Murray is going to be the one keeping AF off the field.
It's you're money, and i wish you luck, but in the end, I think you'll wish you'd have put your hard earned cash on a better pick.

**jds07v** · 09-15-10, 02:29 PM

Good teams shut down the option attack. Oklahoma, although young on defense, has the size and athleticism to shut this O down. Air Force runs tons of misdirection, which with only a week to prepare, could cause confusion in this young defense.

Athletically, there is no question OU has the upper hand, but is it worth 17-18 points?

**sonyman** · 09-15-10, 03:11 PM

air force sure looked good verus byu.
good luck with your play.

**WorkHorse** · 09-15-10, 07:53 PM

Commission713 made a valid post. I don't know if the Sooners cover this week but I do have them in the hunt for the national title with Bama, and Ohio State. After last season, the coaches and players are on a mission this season.

I had Ok/Al in a reverse parlay last week. Won't go against them....just may not play this week.

**Maxmillion** · 09-15-10, 10:00 PM

Originally posted by sooner13

I love it when people use terms like "square" Why would Oklahoma be the square pick? What's your theory? So someone is delusional if they think OU can prepare for AF's offense? Well I guess they might as well not play the game then. The bottom line is this AF offense is one dimensional, run, run, run which plays right into OU's scheme. AF completed a total of 12 passes in 2 games. I believe you were trying to make a case for Utah States running style against OU in the first week, I hope you noticed that they gained a total of 80 yards on the ground against OU. All the big plays were in the air, so if AF has no passing game how do they stay close? AF also allowed 221 rushing yards to BYU in a game that AF was leading the whole way after the 2nd quarter. If BYU can put up 221 on AF Demarco Murray is going to be the one keeping AF off the field. It's you're money, and i wish you luck, but in the end, I think you'll wish you'd have put your hard earned cash on a better pick.

i disagree its tough for a team to prepare for that triple option especially if you dont see it year after year like other teams in the mountain west. other coaches have said this. With that being said i am not playing this game. If you made me i would take AF but its not a strong lean by any means.

**Brock Landers** · 09-15-10, 10:03 PM

might take a look at air farce, will probably pass

**Sledge187** · 09-15-10, 10:54 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

might take a look at air farce, will probably pass

I looked hard at this one but something just does not feel right.

**Kustac** · 09-15-10, 11:08 PM

Air Force always fields a tough team, but probably staying away from this one

**WeinketoWarrick** · 09-15-10, 11:11 PM

Sooners got things clicking in that first half, they're gonna kill AF.

**aznjeff07** · 09-16-10, 12:06 AM

i'd do an air force under if i were to pick a play. They're going to run the ball and just punt, punt punt.

**BigDofBA** · 09-16-10, 12:34 AM

This won't be a let down game. I tried to tell people that ou would destroy FSU last week. That line should have been double digits and it moved all the way down to 7.

OU can shutdown the run. Utah States QB was able to scramble and make plays in passing game. Their offense is nothing like Air Force.

Teams with great players and speed shutdown the option.

Either way, I wouldn't play this one. Better games out there.

**Wreckloose** · 09-16-10, 02:11 AM

Originally posted by MendozaLine

how many times have you seen a team follow up a big win with a bad performance? Happens all the time.

Right now the squares are taking Oklahoma. And why not? If they killed FSU, they'll roll against Air Force right?

Time of possession will be huge in this game. Much like Navy, Air Force will do everything they can to keep Oklahoma's offense off the field. In the end, The Air Force offense will keep Oklahoma's offense off the field long enough to cover 17 points.

And one other thing. Good luck to Oklahoma preparing for an offense like this. If you think Oklahoma's scout team is going to give their defense a good look this week, you're delusional.

Air Force +17.5

You need to keep Oklahoma's offense off the field but I don't know that it will be reflected in time of possession. OU runs one of the fastest hurry up offenses I've seen. Against FSU they had 3 touchdown drives under a minute.

**awholelottalumps** · 09-16-10, 02:42 AM

Asher Clark RB Questionable Ankle Clark has an ankle injury and is questionable to play in the week three contest vs. Oklahoma. The junior did not practice Wednesday. The Falcons could struggle this week if neither Clark nor Jared Tew are able to go.
09/14 11:59am Jared Tew FB Questionable Hand Tew might have a broken bone in his hand and is questionable for Oklahoma. The senior is a first-team preseason all-conference pick and rushed for 970 yards in 2009. If Tew cannot go, he would likely be replaced by fellow senior Nathan Walker, who scored the final touchdown vs. BYU last week.

*I like this play as well if both running backs play,but they may not and if not I have to go with Oklahoma,but if they play Air Force.*

**kanak_attack** · 09-16-10, 03:18 AM

air force played a damn good game against byu. thats a lot of points. gl

**Cuse0323** · 09-16-10, 03:24 AM

Originally posted by jwbama23

I still am not convinced one way or the other. I think this will be a no play. Anyone could make an argument either way. Too close to call. This game could be tight or a blow out.

Agreed, Oklahoma is a great team and easily could blow them out, but if they don't come out focused it could be close. I'll pass, don't want to guess on how motivated they are for this game.

**Joe_Shabadoo** · 09-16-10, 04:15 AM

This is a game where DeRuyter's absence will really be felt for Air Force; the Sooners may end up with up 31 1st-half points in just 10 minutes played.

**MendozaLine** · 09-18-10, 02:59 PM

if anyone is watching this game and wants to talk about it, i'll be in here.

7-3 Oklahoma

**MendozaLine** · 09-18-10, 03:54 PM

Air Force is hanging in there. Both defenses are playing good. If Air Force can either tie this game up or cut it to a 4 point game before the half, I'll be sitting pretty

**MendozaLine** · 09-18-10, 04:37 PM

Tie game

**MendozaLine** · 09-18-10, 04:42 PM

and OU answers in about 20 seconds

**Unicorn7** · 09-18-10, 04:45 PM

I teased em plus 6.5 more so I feel io got a chance unless Ok blows em out in 4th

**MendozaLine** · 09-18-10, 05:07 PM

Things not looking so good anymore.

**MendozaLine** · 09-18-10, 05:24 PM

TD Air Force. Looking good. Oklahoma is gonna start killing clock. Glad I got that extra 1/2 point

**MendozaLine** · 09-18-10, 05:34 PM

Looks like money

**pavyracer** · 09-19-10, 04:24 PM

nice call