Had a rough start to the season with a few close losses. I won't blame anyone for completely ignoring these picks but I'm going to keep posting them anyways. Including a short writeup with these and would love to get feedback (positive or negative) from my fellow cappers. GL to all of you (unless you're on the other side of one of my games 
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San Diego St -13 @ New Mexico St
I like Ryan Lindley and the WRs experience in this game. Although NMSU has had some success against the pass in the last couple of years and they return most of their secondary, that success was against mediocre(at best) competition in the WAC. An experienced O-line for the Aztecs should improve on 78 yards rushing this year especially being in the second year of the new coach's system that utilizes 2 backs most of the time. SDSU returns all of the starting D-line on a team that greatly improved its rush D from '08 to '09(over 80 ypg less) and should continue to improve. This will be a big factor in a game with Seth Smith returning off a 1000 yard season (which is an accomplishment on a 3 win team) and an NMSU O-line that brings back 70 starts. Overall I see the experienced defensive front of SDSU getting the pressure on Matt Christian early and the big SDSU interior D-line making things tough for Smith. I see Lindley having another big game and getting the Aztecs up early and keeping a solid lead throughout the game. This week I'm actually projecting scores for the games I cap (which I haven't done before) and I'll post them with the writeup here for fun. SDSU - 37, NMSU - 17
Auburn/Miss St O 55.5
I could honestly see Auburn blowing Miss St out in this one but the line scares me here. That being the case, the over seems like a solid play with an Auburn offense that made huge strides last year and now has a real playmaker with Cam Newton in the backfield. An interesting battle to watch in this game is the Auburn Offensive front against the Miss St defensive front as both units are very experienced and had a lot of success last season. If Mississippi State doesn't keep this close or win outright it will be because Auburn's offense runs away with it and I would still see Miss St scoring 17-21 in that case.
I will probably post a play on Temple tomorrow and I'm considering NC State with the points as well. Think the Duke ML could have some value but I'll have to take a deeper look into that one. Oh and a small 0.25 unit play on the USF ML for the hell of it but I won't be counting that one on here.
)San Diego St -13 @ New Mexico St
I like Ryan Lindley and the WRs experience in this game. Although NMSU has had some success against the pass in the last couple of years and they return most of their secondary, that success was against mediocre(at best) competition in the WAC. An experienced O-line for the Aztecs should improve on 78 yards rushing this year especially being in the second year of the new coach's system that utilizes 2 backs most of the time. SDSU returns all of the starting D-line on a team that greatly improved its rush D from '08 to '09(over 80 ypg less) and should continue to improve. This will be a big factor in a game with Seth Smith returning off a 1000 yard season (which is an accomplishment on a 3 win team) and an NMSU O-line that brings back 70 starts. Overall I see the experienced defensive front of SDSU getting the pressure on Matt Christian early and the big SDSU interior D-line making things tough for Smith. I see Lindley having another big game and getting the Aztecs up early and keeping a solid lead throughout the game. This week I'm actually projecting scores for the games I cap (which I haven't done before) and I'll post them with the writeup here for fun. SDSU - 37, NMSU - 17
Auburn/Miss St O 55.5
I could honestly see Auburn blowing Miss St out in this one but the line scares me here. That being the case, the over seems like a solid play with an Auburn offense that made huge strides last year and now has a real playmaker with Cam Newton in the backfield. An interesting battle to watch in this game is the Auburn Offensive front against the Miss St defensive front as both units are very experienced and had a lot of success last season. If Mississippi State doesn't keep this close or win outright it will be because Auburn's offense runs away with it and I would still see Miss St scoring 17-21 in that case.
I will probably post a play on Temple tomorrow and I'm considering NC State with the points as well. Think the Duke ML could have some value but I'll have to take a deeper look into that one. Oh and a small 0.25 unit play on the USF ML for the hell of it but I won't be counting that one on here.