D.P.'s early leans and thoughts for Thursday and Friday's games

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  • daprospecta
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-15-10
    • 473

    #1
    D.P.'s early leans and thoughts for Thursday and Friday's games
    YTD 8-6 (0U) 3 unit system

    Learned a lot this weekend. Made some mistakes that I will not try to repeat. These are my leans so far.

    Auburn +2(1.5 at some books) vs Miss St.

    This is my second year doing this and if I didn't learn anything last year, I at least learned "Don't believe the hype." If this line was week 1, 99 percent of the public would be on it. Auburn allowed a lot of points to a decent Arkansas State team but they also put up 56 on a decent Arkansas state team. Yes Miss St. put up 49 on Memphis but I challenge anybody to prove to me that Memphis is better than Arkansas state. They haven't been the same since my cousin smashed records there(Go Panthers, well kinda, I'm a cowboys except when they meet). Yes Miss st. is moving in the right direction but they are not prepared for one of the best O-lines in CFB, a qb that can beat you with his feet and arm, a freshman running back Dyer(another great running back from Little Rock, AR ), and a good receiving corp including junior Darvin Adams a 1st Team All-SEC selection in 2009 and Senior Terrell Zachary. I am in no way an Auburn homer, I dislike any team in CFB that isn't Arkansas but Auburn is an offensive powerhouse this year. This game will be similar to the SMU(Miss St is much better) USC game. The Bulldogs will be pumped out the gate but the talent of Auburn will come through.
    Miss St. 28 Auburn 38. Also leaning on the over of 54.5 but that will be a small play if anything.

    WVU vs Marshall Under 47

    Let me start off by saying WVU was one of 9 teams who pitched shut-outs last week. WVU isn't exactly a juggernaut on offense, they will hold there own but I don't see them putting up more than four touchdowns here. I also believe that if Marshall scores twice then they will be lucky. Marshall's offense did not score against the Buckeyes. Yes Ohio St is a top football team but to be completely shut out on offense is unacceptable for a FBS team. West Virginia scored in the 30's once last year and that was 34. WVU will focus on running the ball against Marshall seeing that they gave up 280 yards to Ohio State on the ground. WVU will most likely have a longer time of possession and with them running the ball more I see a low scoring game that will end fast.
  • WVUsuperfan
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-06-08
    • 769

    #2
    just a quick note on your wvu/marshall under pick.. marshall secondary is weak and i look for geno smith to air it out as marshall will be keying on noel devine as it is.. also, look for bill stewart to take no prisoners in this one. He often comes off as a coach that doesnt like to "run up the score" on opponents but there will be a definate eagerness to take it to Doc Holliday and the Thundering Hurd especially after Doc tried stealing and/or swaying recruits away from WVU. WVU rolls big in this one
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    • daprospecta
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-15-10
      • 473

      #3
      Will finalize card tomorrow night or Thursday morning.
      If the line continues to grow past 21 then UTEP + 20.
      Temple -7.5
      Comment
      • goallinebob
        Restricted User
        • 05-11-10
        • 2973

        #4
        with you on both plays ,,,,,GL,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
        Comment
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