Have not seen a lot of post on this game and was wondering what you guys thought!
Here is my opinion on the game.
DSI has the gm @ TCU -13
Here's my take one the game.
Lets give TCU a Home field of 3 pts (played in arlington)
The main being in the passing game, Obv. TCU returns highly efficient QB ANdy Dalton, and most of an oline that looked stellar up until the fiesta bowl. TCU's WR corps is by far the strongest suit in Pattersons hand. They return over 80% of their catches and yrds, and boast three legitimate deep threats in Kerley, Young, and Hicks. Hicks is a huge homerun threat, over a 20 ypc last season and 6 td's on 23 catches. He is lightning in a bottle. Kerley is an over the top dynamic player and a decent route runner, he also entertains the wild frog package, a lot more two seasons ago than last yr but the possibility remains. The most impressive thing is all recievers in TCU's offense had ypc over 12 ,although no gawdy numbers in catches, it is a strong and very deep squad.
Oregon state does return a experienced secondary but they are big, Dockery and Hardin at the corner both stand 6' 2". They are big and physical which will help in some cases but with hicks being such a deep threat this creates a recipe for a few over the top big plays. I forsee the bigger corners for oregon st having issues keeping the wr in check for the whole game and with ypc and yac like the TCU wr have that is going to be a huge problem.
I think it will be interesting to see the speed threshold between TCU and a pac ten team. As for the running game. Oregon St seems retty weak up front. TCU lost their primary back but Tucker and Wesley saw significant action last year, its too early to tell the impact and exactly how they will be used as a two headed system instead of a 3-4 with turner and christian. OSU d-line is strong but its negated by the TCU line, who return 4/5. OSU linebackers are gutted and if TCU can get to the second level this game could be blown wide open.
I See TCU's offense as one of the most efficient O's in the land. and a good 21 pts better than OSU defense.
Now OSU off vs TCU defense.
The rodger brothers are back in texas, they have never played the 4-2-5 and it should be interesting to see how a semi pro with a smaller back attacks the defense. TCU returns 7 ds including 3 stud safeties led by Teejay Johnson. TCU will deploy a bigger safety at rover Lutrell to spy on James rodgers reverses and Jaquizz getting loose of draws and stretches. I see this won on the line, TCU lost DE Hughes and Osu returns 4/5 on the line. The biggest loss on that side is Canfield at QB, Ryan Katz will be blitzed from nearly every where on the field, and this may be a baptism by fire. If they can keep the ball in the brothers hands and minimalize the mistakes..
I see OSU's offense 10 pts better than TCU defense.
Special teams
Honestly I do pay attention to this but they are really even, Rodgers vs. Kerley in return game both a return studs. And avg over 20 per. Both return the kicker and punter, and both kickers were very reliable last year.
Ill call this a wash...
That leaves us
TCU -14 covering the current spread of -13
I am going to be putting a medium play on this game, and wouldnt be shocked eithr way maybe too much purple kool-aid
What do you guys think?
Here is my opinion on the game.
DSI has the gm @ TCU -13
Here's my take one the game.
Lets give TCU a Home field of 3 pts (played in arlington)
The main being in the passing game, Obv. TCU returns highly efficient QB ANdy Dalton, and most of an oline that looked stellar up until the fiesta bowl. TCU's WR corps is by far the strongest suit in Pattersons hand. They return over 80% of their catches and yrds, and boast three legitimate deep threats in Kerley, Young, and Hicks. Hicks is a huge homerun threat, over a 20 ypc last season and 6 td's on 23 catches. He is lightning in a bottle. Kerley is an over the top dynamic player and a decent route runner, he also entertains the wild frog package, a lot more two seasons ago than last yr but the possibility remains. The most impressive thing is all recievers in TCU's offense had ypc over 12 ,although no gawdy numbers in catches, it is a strong and very deep squad.
Oregon state does return a experienced secondary but they are big, Dockery and Hardin at the corner both stand 6' 2". They are big and physical which will help in some cases but with hicks being such a deep threat this creates a recipe for a few over the top big plays. I forsee the bigger corners for oregon st having issues keeping the wr in check for the whole game and with ypc and yac like the TCU wr have that is going to be a huge problem.
I think it will be interesting to see the speed threshold between TCU and a pac ten team. As for the running game. Oregon St seems retty weak up front. TCU lost their primary back but Tucker and Wesley saw significant action last year, its too early to tell the impact and exactly how they will be used as a two headed system instead of a 3-4 with turner and christian. OSU d-line is strong but its negated by the TCU line, who return 4/5. OSU linebackers are gutted and if TCU can get to the second level this game could be blown wide open.
I See TCU's offense as one of the most efficient O's in the land. and a good 21 pts better than OSU defense.
Now OSU off vs TCU defense.
The rodger brothers are back in texas, they have never played the 4-2-5 and it should be interesting to see how a semi pro with a smaller back attacks the defense. TCU returns 7 ds including 3 stud safeties led by Teejay Johnson. TCU will deploy a bigger safety at rover Lutrell to spy on James rodgers reverses and Jaquizz getting loose of draws and stretches. I see this won on the line, TCU lost DE Hughes and Osu returns 4/5 on the line. The biggest loss on that side is Canfield at QB, Ryan Katz will be blitzed from nearly every where on the field, and this may be a baptism by fire. If they can keep the ball in the brothers hands and minimalize the mistakes..
I see OSU's offense 10 pts better than TCU defense.
Special teams
Honestly I do pay attention to this but they are really even, Rodgers vs. Kerley in return game both a return studs. And avg over 20 per. Both return the kicker and punter, and both kickers were very reliable last year.
Ill call this a wash...
That leaves us
TCU -14 covering the current spread of -13
I am going to be putting a medium play on this game, and wouldnt be shocked eithr way maybe too much purple kool-aid
What do you guys think?