Although Brohm has had his way with the WV secondary the last few years...WV's defense is much improved and is no longer playing the 3-3-5 defense anymore.
Louisville won't be able to stop the run game tommorow night. WV will take care of business tommorow and try to run up the scoreboard as much as they can.
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greek
SBR MVP
10-01-07
1680
#3
I Just Heard A Guy At Halftime Say -----it Would Be An Upset Ps Somebody Tell Lou Holtz To Shut-up , Their Really Jackin With Him
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puttn4par
SBR Hustler
10-09-07
62
#4
Originally posted by greek
WHAT DO YOU THINK FOR TOMORROWS MATCHUP?
Louisville +17 All of the big east games have been pretty close. This game could get out of control, but i think cards score 24 points..Lose the game, and cover...
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louisvillekid
SBR Hall of Famer
08-14-07
9255
#5
just a update for anyone who doesn't know, the local paper had a article about the soph. who will start at right tackle for UofL, he was a top recruit out of Don Bosco prep in N.J., but he broke his commitment to Rutgers ,then chose UofL over Notre Dame and Florida. he then had a freak accident,where he tore a bunch of ligaments and shattered a bone in his leg. he was told he wouldn't play again. he red shirted, now he has played 2 downs in the 1st game of the season against Murray St. and he got his start against Pitt, because the regular starter went down with a season ending injury in week 7 and his backup developed strep throat after the UConn game. Coach Kragthorpe said the soph looked slow on his feet and is out of sync in his start against Pitt.
so with all that said, i think with some of the key receivers still having lingering injuries, some of the linebackers are beat up, and your throwing a bum legged soph on the line to protect Brohm, against a WV Def that mixes up a bunch of sets.
this game spells disaster for UofL to IMO.
i'm not touching this game, cause i want to see UofL win obviously, but i think the Mountaineers roll.
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Big Flo
SBR Rookie
08-30-07
40
#6
Louisville(5-4) at West V.(7-1). If West V. does'nt turn the ball over and plays a great game they cover the 17. The fact that their at home and this is somewhat of a revenge game considering what happened last year I think they cover. Plus Cincinnatis' at home this week playing Connecticut. If U conn loses and West v. wins then West V. gots U conn at home for their last game of the season. West V. wins that game they go to an at large BCS. West V. is just playing to good of all around football right now on both offense and defense. they just get better as the season progresses. If I had to play the game I take West V. and give up the points.
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greek
SBR MVP
10-01-07
1680
#7
wv by 21 points -- cover
game over you lose , nice try though
Originally posted by puttn4par
Louisville +17 All of the big east games have been pretty close. This game could get out of control, but i think cards score 24 points..Lose the game, and cover...
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Cougar Bait
SBR Posting Legend
10-04-07
18282
#8
If I play this game I will lay the points. WVU has to be in revenge mode + Louisville will get run over and has no D + huge home field advantage for WVU + game means a lot more to WVU title aspirations = WVU 42, Louisville 17
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Negataur
SBR Sharp
07-08-07
286
#9
Originally posted by greek
I Just Heard A Guy At Halftime Say -----it Would Be An Upset Ps Somebody Tell Lou Holtz To Shut-up , Their Really Jackin With Him
I've been finding that Holtz is usually wrong when he picks games. May seems to be on the money.
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xyzky
SBR MVP
08-23-07
1577
#10
Over 64???
Does the over seem more likely in this game than trying to cover the 17 points? I will be betting the over and maybe a small 2 game parlay with the Over & WV....
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Crayzee
SBR MVP
10-27-06
4944
#11
i already bet wva-14-140 earlier
now i'm thinking see if line gets any higher or buy points up to 19 and go for a middle
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strictlywinners
Restricted User
07-17-07
3377
#12
so far im on west virginia this may change but icant see louville hanging around in this one. THey are gonna get buried and buried early. When in catch up mode WVU will be bringing the house and not allowing brohm to get comfortable. WVU 41-17
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Rollins08
SBR MVP
04-20-07
1337
#13
What will the weather be like? I've seen Brohm have trouble throwing in the wind. Could be a factor?
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justdoingit
SBR High Roller
09-26-07
207
#14
Wind will not be an issue tonight leaning towards WVU-17 or the over might be the play since Louisville usually gives them fits
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Furt
SBR High Roller
10-25-07
185
#15
I think Louisville shows up tonight and makes a game of it. If I played, I'd take the 17 points. But I'm going to stay away from it...
UL has not lost by more than 9 points all season and most have been by less than 5(but who have they played right?). They are explosive on offense. Their pass defense is worse than their rush defense (both are pretty bad)... If I played, I'd play the over. I think UL hangs around. Could be an exciting game to watch
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justdoingit
SBR High Roller
09-26-07
207
#16
I think i will take the over should have last night so i will tonight which means they will struggle and go under i think with the new WVU scheme they will confuse the CARDS
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Louisvillekid1
SBR Aristocracy
10-17-07
52143
#17
listen, the cards will cover the 17 tonight, this game is not going to be a blow out. As bad as they played all year they have not lost by more than 9. . . cuse by 3, utah by 9, and they should have beat uconn( fair catch call) and kentucky
( 50 yard pass, last play of the game), who are top 20 teams. This offense is due for an explosion and look for lousiville to put up atleast 34 pts. This would mean WV would have to put up 51! Which is possible with the way louisville defense has been playing, however unlikey. . . this is the most healthy team lousiville will be putting on the field in several weeks. . . brohm will take care of the ball tonight and this game is going to be a shootout. . .i would take louisville plus 17 against any team in the country!. . . this offense has been a result of bad play calling, and i just feel that this week kragthrope has too look at the tapes of the last decade before he came their and see what we did to score. . . their is too much talent on this offense to get blown out by 17!
GL
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justdoingit
SBR High Roller
09-26-07
207
#18
How could the over not be the play? 2005 46-44 2006 44-34! I think i can probably score on Louisville this year with that terrible D. And with WVU O and to make sure that everyone still remembers there name if they were in Louisville i would stay away but it looks like a barn burner on tap for tonight but seems like people are taking the under kinda weird but pretty big play on the over tonight!!
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Negataur
SBR Sharp
07-08-07
286
#19
Going to Fade the Public.
Taking under 63.5. May tease under with WVA, but I think the under is the play.
Also like DAL tonight to Destroy the G. State Worriers.
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WestsidePete
SBR Hall of Famer
07-19-07
8049
#20
I'm thinking of teasing with WV -10 under 70.5 ...what do you guys think??
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PerfecTrader
SBR Wise Guy
11-08-07
959
#21
The easiest way to a lock is to bet against me. I'm brand new here but have been playin for years. Vegas wasn't built by winners and lord knows they they owe me a ton. If I had gone the other way on every play I've made, I'd be rich. With that being said, I'm serious when I say I'm willing to tell people my pics and and let you see how right I am in my theory. Once you start rolling in cash, maybe you'll be willing to tip me for my picks lmao.
My wrong plays have been simple to explain. Don't let the fact that I was 11-1-1(with $$ on the line) last week before Sunday began scare you, seein how EVERY dawg has his day and that was mine. The essence of my strategies comes from the simple premise that through as much number crunching, researching, and real belief of what I THINK is "supposed" to happen, it simply does not. Most people, and I'm speakin of the average wagerer, have a hard time not taking the favorite. The truth is though that underdogs often win straight up let alone lose by the spead. Think about it, how many people do you know that would be rich had they gone the other way on every pick they've made? Personally, I only know of 1 person that wins more than he loses and he plays(and I shit you not) an average of 40k a week. I play small peanuts comparatively, BUT it wouldn't matter if I bet widgets, the lords plan for me is not the short route and it never will be. This being said, lets put my words to the test.
As of right now I have
Loui + 16.5
TCU + 7.5
Ark + .5
and on Sun
NO - 11.5
I wish everyone the best of luck and will add to my post as the week/weekend unfolds and am just shy of guaranteed to lose more than I win lol
Best of luck to you all
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Cougar Bait
SBR Posting Legend
10-04-07
18282
#22
That's interesting, cause I've got TCU tonight.
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Cardfan
SBR Hustler
10-29-06
95
#23
On the Louisville side, this is the healthiest the big offensive playmakers have been in a long time. Everyone is ready to go. WR's Douglas and Urrita are the healthiest they have been the entire season, and Long a reserve who has filled in because of their injuries, has performed really well.
Louisville has also played well on the road, winning @ Cincy, @ NC St, losing @ UK on a last minute TD bomb, and robbed @ UConn. This is a rivalry game, that UL has had on their radar for some time. I'd say the game will be a shootout, with WV winning, but not covering.
Leaning to the over, and UL ATS.
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Jake38
SBR Hustler
01-23-07
60
#24
Originally posted by Rollins08
What will the weather be like? I've seen Brohm have trouble throwing in the wind. Could be a factor?
Chris Fowler (doing the game tonight for ESPN) was on the Mike Tirico show (ESPN Radio) and said the wind was coming and conditions would not be ideal for Brohm. Just reporting what I heard.
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PerfecTrader
SBR Wise Guy
11-08-07
959
#25
I very much hope ur both both right but here's what scares me about the over.
WV scores an average just shy of 41 and 8 more than that at home.
The Cards score an average of 37 and 10 less than that on the road.
Here's the facts and what "would" make sense mathematically.
41+49 = 90/2 =45 and 37+27 = 64/2 =32
45+32 =77
So, by the math of averages it would appear the game would be a shootout. Since I did NOT play the total I'm pretty certain it will go over.
You are right Cardfan and Louisville has played some strong teams on the road and they seem to be very hard to keep off the board for long. They're biggest loss was by only 9 this year which means they've yet to be blown out and that it'd be unlikely.
I did take the Cards but what scares me most is that the Mountaineers just crushed the Scarlet Knights on the road and I really thought Rutgers was pretty good. Although Rutgers seems to run run run while the cards are almost completely an air team, WV lost once at USF and evey other game was a blow out with the closest 1 a 17 point stomping on the road at Maryland.
So, it seems to me we have a team that simply should not lose by 16 let alone 17 against a team that simply always beats teams by much more than that. Whats that leave, a conundrum at best and the only reason I think WV and the over is a LOCK is cause I wagered on the Cards and I "would" take the over but am not going to play it lol
Obviously anything can happen. Look at what seemed to be a locked under with the broncos and the zips 7-10 entering the 4th quarter than they both score 24 in the 4th.
Good luck to you all
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PerfecTrader
SBR Wise Guy
11-08-07
959
#26
and just in case some wants to follow the weather there, http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/...=west+virginia is a good site. Not seeing anything indicating weather other than a bit chilly but game is a couple hours away. Let's hope for a good game either way
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Cardfan
SBR Hustler
10-29-06
95
#27
WV's O gets all the talk but their D is #4. I feel they are a little underated and could be the best team in the nation. They turned the ball over 6 times @ USF and still had the ball with a chance to tie near the end of the game. There's little doubt the best team lost that game.
They been impressive and completely controlled all their other games. They can put up points in a hurry, if the D doesn't play honest. I think they've actually been on cruise control a little. I don't look for them to hold back anything at all tonight, on national TV. They need a boost in the polls, some national respect, and I see them putting every possible point they can on the board.
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PerfecTrader
SBR Wise Guy
11-08-07
959
#28
Well said but what is it than that leads you to lean towards UL? Maybe your name should be the give away for me but I'm new here. The closer the game gets the more I wish I could switch my UL to the over sniffle sniffle. Whelp it's all good either way and with the crazy wild things we've seen thus far who is to say the game won't end 3-2 UL in a nail biter lol
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Cardfan
SBR Hustler
10-29-06
95
#29
Originally posted by PerfecTrader
Well said but what is it than that leads you to lean towards UL? Maybe your name should be the give away for me but I'm new here. The closer the game gets the more I wish I could switch my UL to the over sniffle sniffle. Whelp it's all good either way and with the crazy wild things we've seen thus far who is to say the game won't end 3-2 UL in a nail biter lol
I'm thinking the Cards can put ~28 points on the board, and have a shot. 17 points is a lot of points in a rivalry game, and feel it's enough to cover. Looking for UL to stay in the game, but getting overpowered toward the end and a 10-14 poiint loss, something like 42-28.
But I've been wrong before.
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mastercapper
SBR High Roller
07-23-07
105
#30
West Virginia will blow them out tonight. The 17 points dont mean shit in a game like this. I think they will have it covered by halftime and not let off the accelerator.
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greek
SBR MVP
10-01-07
1680
#31
goin with wv , tcu ,wv over , chi bulls
good luck
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jon13009
SBR MVP
09-22-07
1258
#32
should be a good game. Like WV -16.5
GL to both sides.
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slake
SBR Hustler
05-25-07
50
#33
I think West Virginia blows them out. They love Thursday night at home and Louisville is ripe for the plucking