Being ranked #1 pre-season is almost as bad as the Sports Illustrated Cover Jinx or the Madden Jinx. Since 2005, 18 Magazines and Touts have made pre-season selections as to who the National Champion would be for that year. These include magazines like Athlon, Lindy's, and Sports Illustrated, Touts like Phil Steel, Jim Feist, and Mark Lawrence, and tout sheets like the Gold Sheet. In this 5 year period, 90 picks were made, and only TWO picks were correct. Two picked Florida to win it all in 2008. They were Athlon and Phil Steel. Two out of 90. I guess the real odds of Alabama repeating should be around 45/1 if this track record holds up.
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Last edited by BigdaddyQH; 05-17-10, 09:05 AM. -
bama will not win it all to many holes in the secondaryComment -
great stat BigD, I really had never noticed it was anywhere near that extremeComment -
The reson for it being so extreme is that most mags and touts pick the same team to repeat, and there has not been a repeat winner in the BCS Championship. The only reason why the mags got two right in 2008 was because in 2007 LSU was a freak winner, having lost two games during the season.Comment -
Bama is just reloading everywhere. Shouldn't have any problems except running into another great team and losing.Comment -
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LSU is always tough defensively and especially at home. Arkansas has defensive problems. Bama will teabag the Razorbacks!Comment -
sec should be interesting..i like bamas chances anyway...may be just as good or better on D from what i have seen..defense is gonna surprise peopla...but after all...no matter how good anyone is...whats the chances of repeating...especially playing in the sec...who knows with the bcs .Comment -
I disagree. Alabama will be depending on too many new players for their defense to be better than last year. There is no substitute for experience. The chances of repeating in a soft SEC this season are good. The chances of repeating in the BCS? That is a totally different story.Comment -
True, but every team is gonna get up for Bama and play inspired for that one game. That helps out defense more then offense. I think Arkansas has a fair chance with Mallet.Comment -
Obviously not many people noticed the defense rotating in fresh players. Just because they didn't start the game dosent mean they didn't play.Comment -
He's not saying Alabama is going to suck, he's saying they are going to have a tough time repeating...and he's right. If Boise beats VT, Alabama is probably going to have to run the gauntlet and go undefeated. Another team in the country is bound to go undefeated as well. An undefeated SEC team gets in over anyone else, but will a 1 loss SEC team get in the BCS Championship over an undefeated team from another conference? It will be tough.Comment -
And people forget Alabama had quite a few breaks for them last year. Auburn pushed them to the end. It took a miracle to beat Tennessee. The sideline suddenly shrunk in the LSU game and Texas's Qb got knocked out shortly after the NC game began. Add to that the schedule looks to be tougher this season. Only a true Bama homer would think they'll just blow through it.Comment -
good run this yearComment -
Real tough week in and week out when everyone is gunning for you.
Alabama will be very good but probably falls short.Comment -
I think Bama's biggest obstacle is their own self. Talent wise, Bama is probably as loaded as anyone. Coaching is still superb. Having the same hunger to dominate like they did last year and feeling the pain of the UF loss from 2 years ago...that is what scares me the most about this Bama team but I do know that if there is a coach in college football that can and will have his players focused.....that would be Mr. Nick SabanComment -
thats alot of pressure on alabama...i dont think they will go all the way this upcomming year.Comment -
I think the win the SEC, but do not win the NC. There has only been one team to have a shot at doing so, and that was USC when they won it in 2004 and got back ti the NC game in 2005, but they lost to Texas. That is how difficult the feat is to do.Comment -
We will see, I am just ready for the season to start. It is a long season and anything can happen when injuries and such start to take place. All of the teams are 1-2 big injuries away from having a not so spectacular season. I think Bama will be poised to do some serious damage as long as they are focussed and hungryComment
