Bad plays from a slob.

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  • imgv94
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-16-05
    • 17192

    #1
    Bad plays from a slob.
    Rotation #135 Kansas (-2 1/2) 3-Stars at -3 or less, 2-Stars at -3 1/2 or -4.
    Rotation #110 Wisconsin (-7 1/2) 3-Stars at -9 or less, 2-Stars at -9 1/2 or -10 points.
    Rotation #194 Hawaii (-27 1/2) 3-Stars at -28 or less, 2-Stars from -28 1/2 to -31 points.
    Rotation #102 Virginia Tech (-3) 2-Stars at -3 or less (-115 odds or better).
    Rotation #104 New Mexico (-6) 2-Stars at -6 or less. Strong Opinion at -6 1/2 or -7.
    Rotation #124 Auburn (-17) 2-Stars at -17 or less, Strong Opinion from -17 1/2 to -20 points.
    Rotation #168 Marshall (-8) 2-Stars at -10 or less, 3-Stars at -7 or less
  • imgv94
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-16-05
    • 17192

    #2
    From the slob...

    Originally posted by slob
    I am now an unthinkable 16-24 on my College Best Bets this season and 38-67 on a Star Basis. My Strong Opinions went 3-5 for the week and are now 25-27 for the season.

    36% this season.
    Comment
    • shrax4
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-11-06
      • 399

      #3
      Can next week be Random Plays from Bingo the Chimp?
      Comment
      • imgv94
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-16-05
        • 17192

        #4
        Originally posted by shrax4
        Can next week be Random Plays from Bingo the Chimp?


        Not trying to kick slob while he is down but that was funny.

        slob picking all favorites again, I think he is on the take myself, not his style to pick all favs.
        I'm questioning slob's intentions.
        Comment
        • pavyracer
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-12-07
          • 82839

          #5
          How come the VT line didn't move? I think slob this year is fading his own picks, or at least half of his beloved desciples do so
          Comment
          • Cardfan
            SBR Hustler
            • 10-29-06
            • 95

            #6
            amazing that picking winners against the spread is that difficult. You would think you could throw darts and get 50%. So if you applied some knowledge 60% would seem attainable. But it doesn't work like that.
            Comment
            • imgv94
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-16-05
              • 17192

              #7
              Originally posted by pavyracer
              How come the VT line didn't move? I think slob this year is fading his own picks, or at least half of his beloved desciples do so
              You're a sharp man. I'm putting you on my sharp list

              I think he is fading his own plays too.
              Comment
              • imgv94
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-16-05
                • 17192

                #8
                Originally posted by Cardfan
                amazing that picking winners against the spread is that difficult. You would think you could throw darts and get 50%.
                I think you could throw feces at the rotation #'s and get a better result than 36%.


                Originally posted by Cardfan
                So if you applied some knowledge 60% would seem attainable. But it doesn't work like that.
                It's very difficult to pick over 56%.
                Comment
                • BuddyBear
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 7233

                  #9
                  I'd have to seriously question the intelligence of the people who think he is giving out the opposite side of his picks......
                  Comment
                  • imgv94
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-16-05
                    • 17192

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BuddyBear
                    I'd have to seriously question the intelligence of the people who think he is giving out the opposite side of his picks......
                    Why? Our boy pags thinks he is on the take as well. Do you recall him selecting so many favs?
                    Comment
                    • BuddyBear
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 7233

                      #11
                      Originally posted by imgv94
                      Why? Our boy pags thinks he is on the take as well. Do you recall him selecting so many favs?
                      What does it matter how many favorites or dogs he is taking...dogs and fav cover at roughly approximately the same rate. To think that he is on the take is beyond absurd. Did you see that mansion that he lives in that clip? You think he is going to trade that so he can work for someone? Come on man...use some common sense.

                      Anyway, remember Dr. Bob is a businessman. In the end, his job is to secure clients and generate revenue for his business. When his clients agree to purchase his picks they engage in a lawful contract with him such that he provides a service for them and he does so honestly and to the best of his abilities. Failure for him to carry out the proper terms and services of the contract would violate that contract. Not only would it be highly immoral/unethical for him to work for others in an effort to manipuate the lines but it would be illegal. Such a finding would not only give his clients the right to terminate their contract with him but it could also be the basis for a class action lawsuit against him to retrieve monetary damages. In effect, it would ruin his business entirely. Sure it is possible....but if such things ever became public it would literally ruin a carrer.

                      Finally, there is a logical statisitical explanation to all this in terms of the variance of a sampling distribution or even regression to the mean. Nobody can continue to hit 60%+ like he was last year in essentially a 50/50 endeavor like picking against the spread and it was only a matter of time before he "regressed back to the mean." However, the long term mean for him is higher than most people so I expect him to bounce back since he has an documented expected value of 57%.

                      Dr. Bob is just a businessman....that's all he is just like every other tout.
                      Comment
                      • pokernut9999
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-25-07
                        • 12757

                        #12
                        [QUOTE=imgv94;390497]I think you could throw feces at the rotation #'s and get a better result than 36%.


                        maybe you should try it on your NFL picks then. LOL
                        Comment
                        • pavyracer
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-12-07
                          • 82839

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BuddyBear
                          What does it matter how many favorites or dogs he is taking...dogs and fav cover at roughly approximately the same rate. To think that he is on the take is beyond absurd. Did you see that mansion that he lives in that clip? You think he is going to trade that so he can work for someone? Come on man...use some common sense.

                          Anyway, remember Dr. Bob is a businessman. In the end, his job is to secure clients and generate revenue for his business. When his clients agree to purchase his picks they engage in a lawful contract with him such that he provides a service for them and he does so honestly and to the best of his abilities. Failure for him to carry out the proper terms and services of the contract would violate that contract. Not only would it be highly immoral/unethical for him to work for others in an effort to manipuate the lines but it would be illegal. Such a finding would not only give his clients the right to terminate their contract with him but it could also be the basis for a class action lawsuit against him to retrieve monetary damages. In effect, it would ruin his business entirely. Sure it is possible....but if such things ever became public it would literally ruin a carrer.

                          Finally, there is a logical statisitical explanation to all this in terms of the variance of a sampling distribution or even regression to the mean. Nobody can continue to hit 60%+ like he was last year in essentially a 50/50 endeavor like picking against the spread and it was only a matter of time before he "regressed back to the mean." However, the long term mean for him is higher than most people so I expect him to bounce back since he has an documented expected value of 57%.

                          Dr. Bob is just a businessman....that's all he is just like every other tout.
                          Buddy is on Bob's payroll...not even his wife can defend him like that
                          Comment
                          • bridgejumprsrfun
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 10-24-07
                            • 6

                            #14
                            Originally posted by BuddyBear
                            What does it matter how many favorites or dogs he is taking...dogs and fav cover at roughly approximately the same rate. To think that he is on the take is beyond absurd. Did you see that mansion that he lives in that clip? You think he is going to trade that so he can work for someone? Come on man...use some common sense.

                            Anyway, remember Dr. Bob is a businessman. In the end, his job is to secure clients and generate revenue for his business. When his clients agree to purchase his picks they engage in a lawful contract with him such that he provides a service for them and he does so honestly and to the best of his abilities. Failure for him to carry out the proper terms and services of the contract would violate that contract. Not only would it be highly immoral/unethical for him to work for others in an effort to manipuate the lines but it would be illegal. Such a finding would not only give his clients the right to terminate their contract with him but it could also be the basis for a class action lawsuit against him to retrieve monetary damages. In effect, it would ruin his business entirely. Sure it is possible....but if such things ever became public it would literally ruin a carrer.

                            Finally, there is a logical statisitical explanation to all this in terms of the variance of a sampling distribution or even regression to the mean. Nobody can continue to hit 60%+ like he was last year in essentially a 50/50 endeavor like picking against the spread and it was only a matter of time before he "regressed back to the mean." However, the long term mean for him is higher than most people so I expect him to bounce back since he has an documented expected value of 57%.

                            Dr. Bob is just a businessman....that's all he is just like every other tout.
                            I basically agree with you and think the whole fading his own picks thing is extremely unlikely, but....

                            Part of me wants to believe that he's releasing a set of fake picks to the public, then either A) telling his subscription guys to wait for the line to move and bet the other side or B) releasing another set of picks to them. And at the end of the season or sometime later it will come out that this was the method and his success was off the charts good this year.

                            Any subscribers here? Confirm/Deny?
                            Comment
                            • onlooker
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-10-05
                              • 36572

                              #15
                              I hope he hits tonight, as I am on New Mexico as well. He has to win a few I guess, let this be one of them.
                              Comment
                              • imgv94
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-16-05
                                • 17192

                                #16
                                Originally posted by pokernut9999
                                maybe you should try it on your NFL picks then. LOL

                                Wow what an asshole..

                                Anyway, I recently started the feces throwing this week so we'll see how it goes.

                                Eat a fat dick by the way pokernut.
                                Comment
                                • pokernut9999
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-25-07
                                  • 12757

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by imgv94
                                  Wow what an asshole..

                                  Anyway, I recently started the feces throwing this week so we'll see how it goes.

                                  Eat a fat dick by the way pokernut.
                                  Comment
                                  • pavyracer
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-12-07
                                    • 82839

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by imgv94
                                    Rotation #135 Kansas (-2 1/2) 3-Stars at -3 or less, 2-Stars at -3 1/2 or -4.
                                    Rotation #110 Wisconsin (-7 1/2) 3-Stars at -9 or less, 2-Stars at -9 1/2 or -10 points.
                                    Rotation #194 Hawaii (-27 1/2) 3-Stars at -28 or less, 2-Stars from -28 1/2 to -31 points.
                                    Rotation #102 Virginia Tech (-3) 2-Stars at -3 or less (-115 odds or better).
                                    Rotation #104 New Mexico (-6) 2-Stars at -6 or less. Strong Opinion at -6 1/2 or -7.
                                    Rotation #124 Auburn (-17) 2-Stars at -17 or less, Strong Opinion from -17 1/2 to -20 points.
                                    Rotation #168 Marshall (-8) 2-Stars at -10 or less, 3-Stars at -7 or less
                                    The New Mexico pick looks good now if you know what I mean

                                    Gongrats faders
                                    Comment
                                    • imgv94
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-16-05
                                      • 17192

                                      #19
                                      When I am out of the red in week 13 I'll be waiting for you poker.


                                      If this Dr.Bob situation tells us anything it tells us that no one is immune to losing.

                                      Well except pokernut. Other than him no one.
                                      Comment
                                      • Hemlock21
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-14-06
                                        • 315

                                        #20
                                        I wouldn't fade the Dr. anymore if I were you people. I guess you people didn't track his picks from last week. One bad pick out of the bunch. No way he is on the take either cause he damn near could have swept last weekend.
                                        Comment
                                        • imgv94
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-16-05
                                          • 17192

                                          #21
                                          I'm not fading him. Although I hate his picks this week,
                                          Comment
                                          • pokernut9999
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-25-07
                                            • 12757

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by imgv94
                                            When I am out of the red in week 13 I'll be waiting for you poker.


                                            If this Dr.Bob situation tells us anything it tells us that no one is immune to losing.

                                            Well except pokernut. Other than him no one.
                                            I just find it funny how people bash his picks when theirs are no better.


                                            He is ahead in the NFL but no one talks about those picks.
                                            Comment
                                            • austintx05
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-24-06
                                              • 3156

                                              #23
                                              Sincerely,

                                              I wonder why we all are so concerned with how Dr Bob is doing? Maybe if we focused all of that energy into our own games we could add an extra unit or 2 to our own bankroll.
                                              Comment
                                              • pokernut9999
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-25-07
                                                • 12757

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by austintx05
                                                Sincerely,

                                                I wonder why we all are so concerned with how Dr Bob is doing? Maybe if we focused all of that energy into our own games we could add an extra unit or 2 to our own bankroll.
                                                I agree 100%

                                                Comment
                                                • imgv94
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-16-05
                                                  • 17192

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pokernut9999
                                                  I just find it funny how people bash his picks when theirs are no better.


                                                  He is ahead in the NFL but no one talks about those picks.
                                                  What a hypocrite. I'm ahead in College and you sure didn't mention that.

                                                  What an ass.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pokernut9999
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-25-07
                                                    • 12757

                                                    #26
                                                    combine the 2 and you are a loser I bet.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • zootiehead
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-09-06
                                                      • 1715

                                                      #27
                                                      Looks like he's going 0-2 right off the bat lol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • imgv94
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-16-05
                                                        • 17192

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by pokernut9999
                                                        combine the 2 and you are a loser I bet.
                                                        Technically I'm down 5.32 in the NFL and ahead up almost 12 in College.

                                                        You are just a douche. And a f\*g.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • onlooker
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-10-05
                                                          • 36572

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by zootiehead
                                                          Looks like he's going 0-2 right off the bat lol
                                                          He still has a shot at 1-1 for tonight. I really want him to go 1-1 too.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pokernut9999
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-25-07
                                                            • 12757

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by imgv94
                                                            Technically I'm down 5.32 in the NFL and ahead up almost 12 in College.

                                                            You are just a douche. And a f\*g.

                                                            looks like your buddy BatemanPatrick is rubbing off on you.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • stump
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-14-05
                                                              • 1715

                                                              #31
                                                              I feel sorry for all the guys who jumped on his bandwagor, because since the middle of last year on he is minus $$$$
                                                              Comment
                                                              • onlooker
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 08-10-05
                                                                • 36572

                                                                #32
                                                                I really hope he takes a serious dive, because I get tired of the line movements on Thursday evening. If its going to hurt my lines or not. Because I don't like to bet before then.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pavyracer
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                                  • 82839

                                                                  #33
                                                                  You don't need to fade all his picks to be a winner. I just make sure that on the games I like he is on the opposite site. Thank you slob.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mxc
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 09-14-07
                                                                    • 9

                                                                    #34
                                                                    His NCAA picks Weren't any good last week, lost his biggest play.

                                                                    L -Rotation #358 Ohio State (-17 1/2) 4-Stars at -18 or less,
                                                                    3-Stars from -18 1/2 to -20, 2- Stars at -20 1/2 or -21.
                                                                    W - Rotation #335 Memphis (+2) 3-Stars at pick or underdog,
                                                                    2-Stars from -1 to -2 1/2 points.
                                                                    L Rotation #388 Illinois (+2 1/2) 3-Stars at +1 or more, 2-Stars
                                                                    at pick or -1.
                                                                    W Rotation #370 Fresno State (-12 1/2) 2-Stars at -14 or less,
                                                                    3-Stars at -11 or less.
                                                                    W- Rotation #398 Troy (-19 1/2) 2-Stars at -21 or less.


                                                                    So was 3 - 2, losing a 4* and 3 * -7.7* +7* = -.7
                                                                    so was still -.7 units

                                                                    Plus look at the opinions

                                                                    Strong Opinion
                                                                    INDIANA 24 Penn St. (-7.5) 26 W
                                                                    SOUTH CAROLINA (-13.5) 32 Vanderbilt 13 L
                                                                    Strong Opinion at -14 points 2-Star Best Bet at -11 or less.
                                                                    Buffalo 27 SYRACUSE (-3.5) 26 L
                                                                    EAST CAROLINA (-5.0) 32 No Carolina St. 21 L
                                                                    COLORADO 30 Kansas (-4.0) 29 L
                                                                    Kansas St. 34 OKLAHOMA ST. (-3.0) 32 W
                                                                    ARIZONA (-11.5) 38 Stanford 20 L

                                                                    So overall 3-2 on star selections 2 - 5 on opinions, 5 - 7 total
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jon13009
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-22-07
                                                                      • 1258

                                                                      #35
                                                                      No stance on slob, but is this his NCAA record for this week?

                                                                      NCAA Week 9: (6-5) 55%

                                                                      3-0 - 3* plays
                                                                      1-3 – 2* plays
                                                                      2-2 – Strong Opinions

                                                                      Rotation #135 Kansas (-2 1/2) 3-Stars at -3 or less, 2-Stars at -3 1/2 or -4. W
                                                                      Rotation #110 Wisconsin (-7 1/2) 3-Stars at -9 or less, 2-Stars at -9 1/2 or -10 points. W
                                                                      Rotation #194 Hawaii (-27 1/2) 3-Stars at -28 or less, 2-Stars from -28 1/2 to -31 points. W.

                                                                      Rotation #124 Auburn (-17) 2-Stars at -17 or less, Strong Opinion from -17 1/2 to -20 points. L
                                                                      Rotation #168 Marshall (-8) 2-Stars at -10 or less, 3-Stars at -7 or less. W
                                                                      Rotation #102 Virginia Tech (-3) 2-Stars at -3 or less (-115 odds or better). - L
                                                                      Rotation #104 New Mexico (-6) 2-Stars at -6 or less. Strong Opinion at -6 1/2 or –7 -L.

                                                                      Strong Opinions on
                                                                      Fresno State +3 or more (2-Stars at +4) – L
                                                                      Pittsburgh +10 or more - W
                                                                      Kentucky at -14 or less - L
                                                                      UL Monroe at +6 or more (2-Stars at +7). W
                                                                      Comment
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