Early Game Looks. Penn State at Alabama.

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  • BigdaddyQH
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-13-09
    • 19530

    #1
    Early Game Looks. Penn State at Alabama.
    Another great game scheduled for 9/11 in Tuscaloosa. Two perinneal powerhouses in their respective conferencs get together for the first of a home and home series. Penn State returns 7 players to the offense, but is in search of a QB. There are four candidates, but JoePa is in no hurry picking a starter. They will need to find two new Tackles. WR Chaz Powell may be flipped to the defensive side of the ball. The Lions only return 5 starters on that side, and must replace all 3 LB's and both CB's. It will be critical for Penn State to get excellent defensive line play.

    Alabama returns 8 starters on an offense that was potent in spring drills, according to HC Nick Saban. All the skill position players return, including QB McElroy and what most consider to be the best RB tandem in the NCAA. Where 'Bama is going to have major difficulties is on defense, where only one starter returns. The secondary takes a major hit, losing their nickel backs along with their starters. The front 3 also must be replaced, as well as LB's McClain, who left early, and Fanney. This defense is going to gie up points early, and is very suspect in the passing game.

    From a wagering standpoint, we have a team that is the returning National Champions, favored to repeat, playing at home against a team that is in a major rebuilding year. This really sounds easy, right? Maybe. Penn State rarely plays a non-con game away from home, ala Florida and Michigan. Last year their toughest non-con opponent was Temple. The Lions are rarely dogs, having been favored in every regular season game in the past 3 seasons except one, a loss to Ohio State. The only other time they were a dog resulted in a loss to USC in the Rose Bowl. Penn State did not cover either game. Alabama is used to having decent competition in their first two games of the season, having opened with Clemson and Virginia Tech in the past two seasons, both at neutral sites. Obviously Alabama will be the favorites here, but if the line does not get too far out of hand, 'Bama may be the play.
    Last edited by BigdaddyQH; 04-12-10, 04:39 PM.
  • Jrod124
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-31-09
    • 5622

    #2
    Love Bama and the Under here. Thanks for these writeups too btw. I am really enjoying reading them
    Comment
    • Lion4Life
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-30-10
      • 797

      #3
      Powell has been moved to the secondary.

      Right now Kevin Newsome is the front runner for the starting QB job but has struggled in the scrimmages so far, his legs are his best asset. #2 qb is sophomore walk on Matt McGloin. That leaves incoming freshmen Paul Jones and Robert Bolden, Jones enrolled early and Bolden will most likely red shirt barring injuries.
      Comment
      • BigdaddyQH
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-13-09
        • 19530

        #4
        So with Powell being moved to the secondary, I have to assume that JoePa and company are going to keep the ball on the ground a lot more this year than they did last year. Would that be an accurate statement?
        Comment
        • Chi_archie
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-22-08
          • 63167

          #5
          Penn State is gonna get whupped
          Comment
          • BigdaddyQH
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-13-09
            • 19530

            #6
            That is why they play the games.
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            • Brock Landers
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 06-30-08
              • 45359

              #7
              September is a LONG time away
              Comment
              • babyanni
                SBR MVP
                • 09-23-09
                • 1780

                #8
                Bama
                Comment
                • Boscoe
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-08-10
                  • 2811

                  #9
                  It'll be hard not take Bama at -7 or less.
                  Comment
                  • Powderguy
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-18-09
                    • 6939

                    #10
                    Bama is gonna roll Penn State, and I am a Penn St fan growing up in central PA. It'll be nice if State can score 10 points.
                    Comment
                    • Kustac
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-15-09
                      • 550

                      #11
                      BigD where are you thinking on the line when you say "too far out of hand"?
                      Comment
                      • Lion4Life
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 03-30-10
                        • 797

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                        So with Powell being moved to the secondary, I have to assume that JoePa and company are going to keep the ball on the ground a lot more this year than they did last year. Would that be an accurate statement?
                        Absolutely, running game will be the focus this year and should be the strong point. Losing Chaz to the secondary isn't a big loss, he had some nice plays last year, good speed but not very elusive, but he had games were he completely disappeared. He started out on D so moving him back will open a spot for one of the younger WR's like Brown or Drake to step up and fill that third spot.

                        I don't have high expectations for the Bama game. Big game on the road and a green QB means Joe goes into his shell. Ultra conservative, cut the playbook in half with the new QB, back to the three yards and a cloud of dust.
                        Comment
                        • Powderguy
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-18-09
                          • 6939

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Lion4Life
                          Absolutely, running game will be the focus this year and should be the strong point. Losing Chaz to the secondary isn't a big loss, he had some nice plays last year, good speed but not very elusive, but he had games were he completely disappeared. He started out on D so moving him back will open a spot for one of the younger WR's like Brown or Drake to step up and fill that third spot. I don't have high expectations for the Bama game. Big game on the road and a green QB means Joe goes into his shell. Ultra conservative, cut the playbook in half with the new QB, back to the three yards and a cloud of dust.
                          Exactly, I don't expect much of any challenge from Penn St, no experience at the QB spot. And Bama will key on the run game, they may lose something like 23-3, 17-3. Gonna be very ugly for the Lions.
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                          • GiveMeaBJ
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-08-09
                            • 8449

                            #14
                            They can't make this line high enough. Bama wins 34-10.
                            Comment
                            • BigdaddyQH
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-13-09
                              • 19530

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Kustac
                              BigD where are you thinking on the line when you say "too far out of hand"?
                              I was thinking along the lines of 'Bama opening up at -6.5. If they open up at less than 7, they may be a good play. But if they open up at -10 or so, that is too far out of hand. I also caution players to remember last year's opener between 'Bama and Va. Tech. Everyone know that both teams had very good defenses. No one was sure if McElory could run the 'Bama offense or if Taylor could run the Va.Tech offense. This was a sure low scoring game. The final score was 35-24. 59 points in a game that was suppose to be a defensive struggle. This year,'Bama replaces basically their entire defense. That is not easy to do. Just ask last year's USC team. While Penn State is your basic Big 10 grind it out type of team, do not be shocked if JoePa rolls the dice more than once in this game. He has nothing to lose.
                              Comment
                              • babyanni
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-23-09
                                • 1780

                                #16
                                bama defense will be outstanding again they just reload check last 3 years recruiting classes
                                Comment
                                • dollarbill
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-22-09
                                  • 1285

                                  #17
                                  Looks 2B how it'll be

                                  Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
                                  They can't make this line high enough. Bama wins 34-10.

                                  Joe says Lions ‘not very good’


                                  Sports Reporter


                                  Penn State’s holes headed into the 2010 season are obvious. And Joe Paterno isn’t about to sugarcoat them.

                                  “We are not a very good football team right now. We are just not very good,” the Penn State coach said Tuesday on the Big Ten coaches spring teleconference. “The quarterbacks are very average. But they’re young. Hopefully, over a period of time, they’ll get better.
                                  “We are just very average right now. We are not tough. We are just not doing some things very well right now.”
                                  The Nittany Lions are halfway through spring practice, which culminates April 24 with the annual Blue-White Game at Beaver Stadium, and there are still plenty of issues to work out.
                                  Front and center is finding a replacement for record-setting quarterback Daryll Clark. In a scrimmage on Saturday, Kevin Newsome – perhaps the favorite for the job – was 3-for-9 passing for roughly 40 yards in three drives.
                                  His main competition, former walk-on Matt McGloin, was 8-for-17 for roughly 120 yards in three drives of his own, though he went against mostly second-string defenders.
                                  “We’re very young in key spots,” Paterno said. “We don’t have a quarterback who has played more than 20 plays. You stick them in the huddle and you give them some things you want to do.”
                                  Paterno and his staff have done some tinkering on the offensive line this month, shuffling players around and trying different combinations. The 83-year-old coach called the O-line “very average” on Tuesday.
                                  The Lions must also find a new starting punter, prompting Paterno to call his kicking game “terrible.”
                                  “We have a lot of work ahead of us,” Paterno said. “That doesn’t mean we can’t get it done, but I think we have to be realistic and stop dreaming that all of a sudden the good Lord is gonna come down and bless us. We’ve gotta go to work.”
                                  Comment
                                  • The Seer
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-29-07
                                    • 10641

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
                                    They can't make this line high enough. Bama wins 34-10.
                                    won't ever happen..... Bama has always played to the level of competition. They rarely have blowouts. They'll get a lead and run the ball.
                                    Comment
                                    • pat venditto
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 05-07-07
                                      • 14347

                                      #19
                                      Penn state all in.
                                      Comment
                                      • Kustac
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-15-09
                                        • 550

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                        I was thinking along the lines of 'Bama opening up at -6.5. If they open up at less than 7, they may be a good play. But if they open up at -10 or so, that is too far out of hand. I also caution players to remember last year's opener between 'Bama and Va. Tech. Everyone know that both teams had very good defenses. No one was sure if McElory could run the 'Bama offense or if Taylor could run the Va.Tech offense. This was a sure low scoring game. The final score was 35-24. 59 points in a game that was suppose to be a defensive struggle. This year,'Bama replaces basically their entire defense. That is not easy to do. Just ask last year's USC team. While Penn State is your basic Big 10 grind it out type of team, do not be shocked if JoePa rolls the dice more than once in this game. He has nothing to lose.
                                        I'm expecting your answer to this would be NO, but do you see any value in the moneyline at Alab -7 or even 7 1/2 (I don't think we'll see 6 1/2 probably not even 7)? This is one of those games where it seems tempting but probably not smart.
                                        Comment
                                        • Lion4Life
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 03-30-10
                                          • 797

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by dollarbill
                                          Joe says Lions ‘not very good’


                                          Sports Reporter


                                          Penn State’s holes headed into the 2010 season are obvious. And Joe Paterno isn’t about to sugarcoat them.

                                          “We are not a very good football team right now. We are just not very good,”
                                          Even though we have some holes to fill, Joe says that just about every year. We could be coming off a NC year and bring everybody back and he'd say the same thing.
                                          Comment
                                          • BigdaddyQH
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-13-09
                                            • 19530

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Kustac
                                            I'm expecting your answer to this would be NO, but do you see any value in the moneyline at Alab -7 or even 7 1/2 (I don't think we'll see 6 1/2 probably not even 7)? This is one of those games where it seems tempting but probably not smart.
                                            Not at -7.5. -7 is a bit iffy. A lot is going to depend on what happenes between now and game time. You know how these college kids are. They are certainly capapble of doing something stupid and getting themselves injured or arrested. Look at what happened to 'Bama's starting FS Robby Green. He is still on the team. He practices with the team. He is still on scholarship. He CAN NOT play in a game this season. That sounds a lot like Jeremiah Masoli up at Oregon. Did the kid get arrested and Saban is just being tight lipped about it? I would love to know the circumstances behind that move.
                                            Comment
                                            • Kustac
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-15-09
                                              • 550

                                              #23
                                              I hear you BigD
                                              Comment
                                              • pat venditto
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-07-07
                                                • 14347

                                                #24
                                                I don't understand this thread.
                                                Comment
                                                • BigdaddyQH
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-13-09
                                                  • 19530

                                                  #25
                                                  What is there not to understand? It is just a thread about an upcoming college football game.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Boscoe
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-08-10
                                                    • 2811

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                                    Not at -7.5. -7 is a bit iffy. A lot is going to depend on what happenes between now and game time. You know how these college kids are. They are certainly capapble of doing something stupid and getting themselves injured or arrested. Look at what happened to 'Bama's starting FS Robby Green. He is still on the team. He practices with the team. He is still on scholarship. He CAN NOT play in a game this season. That sounds a lot like Jeremiah Masoli up at Oregon. Did the kid get arrested and Saban is just being tight lipped about it? I would love to know the circumstances behind that move.
                                                    I've heard he failed a drug test. No idea if that's true or not.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigdaddyQH
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-13-09
                                                      • 19530

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Boscoe
                                                      I've heard he failed a drug test. No idea if that's true or not.
                                                      That sounds as good as anything else I have heard. It makes sense.
                                                      Comment
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