Tuesday MACtion Picks & Predictions

SBR Andy · 2025-11-18T14:46:22+00:00

SBR's Phil Wood shares his best Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois player prop bets:

Telly Johnson Jr. Under 41.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)

"Telly Johnson Jr. leads Northern Illinois with 634 yards, but he has 35 fewer carries than Chavon Wright. Johnson has rushed 10 or fewer times in back-to-back games, failing to top 33 yards in either of those contests.

While Johnson has rushed for fewer than 41.5 yards just three times this season, he’s about to face the second-best rush defense in the MAC. Western Michigan is allowing just 120.8 rushing yards per game and 3.6 yards per carry. Johnson has averaged less than 3.5 yards per carry four times this season. Splitting time with Wright, he won’t get enough touches to hit this Over."

Jalen Macon Under 114.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel)

"Macon made his first start of the season last week, and he threw just four passes against the second-worst pass defense in the MAC. While he completed three of those attempts for 73 yards, 67 of those yards came on one pass.

Northern Illinois is averaging just 108.1 passing yards per game, and with Macon under center, it doesn’t look like they have any additional desire to throw. They’ve attempted just 219 passes, seventh-fewest in the country, and now have to face a defense that is allowing just 170.6 passing yards per game. That’s second-best in the MAC."

Jalen Buckley To score a touchdown (+111 via Caesars)

"Quarterback Broc Lowry leads Western Michigan with nine rushing touchdowns this season. However, his price to score is at least -170, while Buckley is being undervalued in a good matchup.

Buckey has just four touchdowns this season, but he has scored in three of his last four games. On Tuesday, he faces a defense that has allowed 160.8 rush yards per game, which ranks ninth in the MAC, so expect plenty of opportunities for him. With both of these teams averaging fewer than 22 points per game, you have to take a player with odds greater than +100 for this prop. Based on his recent performances, Buckley is the most likely to score who fits that criteria."

Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinois anytime touchdown scorer odds

SBR Andy · 2025-11-18T14:49:35+00:00

SBR's Mike Spector has his UMass vs Ohio best bets and TD picks ready to go:

Parker Navarro Over 202.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel)

"Ohio quarterback Parker Navarro was limited to a season-low 70 passing yards during last week’s loss to Western Michigan. But the Broncos' defense was a brutal matchup for the Bobcats in hindsight, as they entered ranked in the top 15 among FBS teams in EPA per pass allowed, and 12th nationally in third- and fourth-down defense.

UMass is a sieve defensively, with its lack of secondary depth a significant reason the Minutemen entered last week’s loss to Northern Illinois ranked 136th in net yards per play.

I expect the Bobcats' coaching staff will let Navarro air it out early and often to get his confidence back after last week’s poor showing.

Navarro has thrown for 201-plus yards in five of the last seven games."

Sieh Bangura Under 92.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)

"Sieh Bangura was one of the only bright spots offensively for Ohio in the loss to Western Michigan. He ran for 97 yards and a touchdown while averaging 6.1 yards per carry, and is a major reason the Bobcats average almost as many rushing yards per game (202.7) as passing yards (207.6).

My main motivation for this three-star play is not expecting much volume for Bangura, especially in the second half if Ohio races out to a big lead as expected. Ohio was the first MAC team to become bowl eligible this season, and the coaching staff knows more important games are ahead. They won't want to get their star running back hurt in a blowout."

Chase Hendricks to score 2+ touchdowns (+350 via FanDuel) 

"Ohio’s Chase Hendricks has recorded six 100-plus yard games this year, two of which were against Power Four competition. His 858 receiving yards lead the MAC.

Hendricks’ six receiving touchdowns are triple the next closest teammate’s two scores, and he's already logged a two-touchdown game this year. While his -160 anytime touchdown odds at a 61.54% implied probability are too steep to back, I'm taking a flier on him scoring twice against a UMass defense that entered last week ranked 129th in points per drive allowed."

UMass vs. Ohio anytime touchdown scorer odds

stevenash · 2025-11-18T14:55:49+00:00

Wicked low game total (38.5)
WMU 23 No. Ill 16 implied score.

The Johnson under prop looks good, No. Ill. is a bad team.

SBR Andy · 2025-11-18T16:42:59+00:00

SBR's Phil Wood highlights some Akron vs Bowling Green player prop bets:

Austyn Dendy Over 80.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)

"Dendy has only played in three games this season. Despite Bowling Green losing each of those games, Dendy has rushed for at least 62 yards in each contest. He’s topped 90 yards twice, and he ran for 113 on 21 carries against Eastern Michigan.

While the two teams Dendy rushed for at least 90 against rank in the bottom three in rush defense in the MAC, the 62-yard performance against Buffalo’s fourth-ranked MAC rush defense is what catches my eye. Bowling Green lost that game by 25, yet Dendy still carried the ball 18 times and averaged 3.4 yards per carry. Akron is allowing 4.4 yards per carry and 20.7 more rushing yards per game than Buffalo."

Jordan Gant Over 83.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)

"Gant has topped 90 rushing yards in four consecutive games. He’s struggled against the two best MAC rush defenses that he’s faced, Toledo and Miami (OH), but Bowling Green is allowing 60 more rushing yards per game than Toledo and 21.7 more yards than Miami (OH).

The main reason to like Gant tonight is that he is averaging 5.0 yards per carry. He’s topped 4.0 yards per carry in six games this season, but even when he only averaged 3.7 against Buffalo, he still managed 92 yards. With Bowling Green allowing 4.3 yards per carry, I expect Gant will have no trouble hitting this Over as long as he records at least 19 carries, which he’s done in four consecutive games."

Israel Polk Anytime touchdown scorer (+140 via FanDuel) 

"Polk has yet to catch more than five passes in a game this season, yet he leads Akron with seven receiving touchdowns. He’s caught at least one in four of his last five games, totaling five scores during that stretch.

Bowling Green has a decent pass defense, allowing 202.1 passing yards per game, but the Falcons are also allowing 25.8 points per contest. They’ve allowed at least one touchdown pass in five of their six MAC games, and Polk is the leading touchdown scorer for the third-ranked passing attack in the conference."

Akron vs. Bowling Green best odds