System Picks/Scoring Point Differential - Week 12

Aunty808 · 11-12-25, 11:37 PM

Again, I feel that since the season is almost over, the good teams are rising to the top and the bad ones are just showing up with nothing to play for.
This week, I'll just list what the System spits out and what the play is, but from here on out, it's up to you to fade or follow.
============
I've been following Big 200 on the predictiontracker site. So far this season, their predictions are
S/U .719% - ATS 54%
Last week record
S/U 60% - ATS 54%

Since they got all 5 games played yesterday and today correct , I am going to include their prediction in the (xx) for the 4-0 group.
4-0 Teams - Fade the 4-0 team
These teams are the higher ranked teams in 4 catagories.
Troy at Old Dom-11...(-16)...................+0.60 OV52'
Minn at Oreg-25...(-26).......................+7.10 OV44
Wisc at Indy-29'...(-30)........................+3.31 OV44
SoCar at TAM-19...(-25).......................+3.45 OV48
KanSt-20...(-21') at Ok St.....................+2.22 OV52'
Okl at Ala-6...(-10).................................+0.4 0 OV46
NCST at MiaFla-14'...(-17)...................-0.99 UN55'
UCF at Tex Tech-23'...(-24')...............+1.97 OV48
Geo Tech-16'...(-21')...at BC................-0.72 UN 58'
MTST at W Kentucky-13'...(-18)........-1.96 UN 56
SJST-9...(-10) at Nev............................-2.72 UN52'
App St at J Madison-21...(-23).........-4.84 UN54
Fla Atl at Tulane-17'...(-19).................-6.43 UN63
NCar at W Forest-6...(-17)..................+2.87 OV38'
Utah-8'...(-9) at Baylor........................+0.10 OV60'
Purdue at Wash-16 ...(-22')................+0.51 OV53
Virg Tech at Fla St-14...(-15')..............+1.91 OV54'
Kenn St-3 ...(-8') at Jax St...................-1.63 UN54'
Wyo at Fresno-3'...(-6')........................+3.80 OV40

**Note Heads UP! Auto Fade!!
In my contest....
When a team has a 100% is usually loses. When it's a DOG, is usually loses.

Utah-8' at Baylor
Baylor has a 100% pick percentage. Auto FADE (Double Whammy!!)

Fla Atl at Tulane-17'
Tulane has a 100% pick percentage. Auto FADE

I'll keep checking and will update if the percentages change.

Aunty808 · 11-13-25, 12:08 AM

(NSP) Negative Scoring Point
*Last week I said to play the favorite, but looking over the numbers, I'm **tweaking it. See below.

**Two teams with a NSP, Play the team with the higher NSP (better defense), not the favorite.
Last week Alabama (-4.91) beat LSU (-1.71) Tex Tech (-2.82) beat BYU (--0.91) and Iowa (-4.31) lost S/u but won ATS vs Oregon (-3.16). All three games stayed well under the total.

Mich-11' at Northwestern.......+2.11 OV41
Michigan ranks 10th with a NSP of -3.16.
Northwestern ranks 19th with a NSP of -0.21.

Okl at Ala-6.......................+0.40 OV46
Alabama ranks 3rd with a NSP of -5.33
Oklahoma ranks 6th with a NSP of -5.16

Texas at Georgia-6...........+0.99 OV48'
Texas ranks 12th with a NSP of -2.78.
Georgia ranks 15th with a NSP of -2.09

Aunty808 · 11-13-25, 12:19 AM

Games with a Scoring Point Differential of more than 3 points.
W/L Record for last week was 9 wins and 15 losses.

Wisc/Indy-29'......................+3.31 OV44
SoCAr/TAM-19.....................+3.45 OV48
Oreg St-1'/Tulsa..................+3.18 OV48
Marsh-7'/Geo St ................+9.13 OV53'
Iowa/USC-6'........................+3.61 OV49'
Penn St-7/Mich St.............+7.76 OV50
Miss St/Mizzo-7..................+3.08 OV40

So Fla-10'/Navy...................-6.14 UN64'
App St/JMad-21.................-4.84 UN54
Tex St/So Miss-4'...............-3.16 UN65'
Memphis/ECar-2'..............-6.16 UN59
Fla Atl/Tulane-17'...............-6.43 UN63
CoCar/Geo So-2'...............-4.87 UN60'
Utah St/UNLV-6..................-5.37 UN71