The #2 ranked Hurricanes take on the 4-1 Cardinals Friday night at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN. SBR's Matt Jacob shares his best player prop bets for Louisville vs Miami:
Carson Beck Under 251.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM)
"Carson Beck has had a terrific first season in Miami, throwing for 1,213 yards in just five games. However, his high-water marks versus FBS competition came against Notre Dame (205 yards), Florida State (241) and South Florida (340). Among 136 FBS schools, Florida State ranks 63rd against the pass; South Florida is 125th; and Notre Dame is 106th.
Louisville? It yields the eighth-fewest air yards per contest (150.4). The top two passers against the Cardinals so far in 2025: Pitt’s Eli Holstein (228 yards) and Virginia’s Chandler Morris (149 yards). Holstein averaged 278.3 passing yards in three games versus FBS opponents prior to facing Louisville. Morris averaged 282.5 against four previous FBS foes."
Mark Fletcher Jr. Over 68.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
"Louisville hasn’t done a terrible job defending the run (111.6 yards per game), but the front seven has leaked at times. The Cardinals gave up 83 yards to James Madison QB Mathew Sluka, 79 yards to Bowling Green’s Lucian Anderson III and 68 yards to Virginia’s J’Mari Taylor.
Granted, 75 of Anderson’s yards came on a busted-play touchdown. But Miami’s Mark Fletcher Jr. is no joke — and Louisville knows it: Fletcher rumbled for 73 and 126 yards against the Cardinals in 2024 and 2023, respectively. He also comes into this game hungry, having been held to a season-low 40 yards against Florida State after racking 86-plus yards in each of the three previous contests."
Chris Bell to score anytime TD (+170 via BetMGM)
"How productive has Chris Bell been for Louisville? The senior has a team-high 35 receptions; he has nearly twice as many receiving yards (502) as any teammate; and he’s hauled in half of the Cardinals’ eight touchdown passes.
Three of Bell’s four scores came in the last two games. He had one TD (among 10 receptions) in a 34-27 upset of Pitt and scored twice (among 12 receptions) in a 30-27 overtime loss to Virginia two weeks ago. Bell won’t have it easy against an above-average Miami secondary that has yielded just five aerial TDs in five games. But if Louisville finds the end zone Friday night, Bell is the most likely candidate to score."
Carson Beck Under 251.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM)
"Carson Beck has had a terrific first season in Miami, throwing for 1,213 yards in just five games. However, his high-water marks versus FBS competition came against Notre Dame (205 yards), Florida State (241) and South Florida (340). Among 136 FBS schools, Florida State ranks 63rd against the pass; South Florida is 125th; and Notre Dame is 106th.
Louisville? It yields the eighth-fewest air yards per contest (150.4). The top two passers against the Cardinals so far in 2025: Pitt’s Eli Holstein (228 yards) and Virginia’s Chandler Morris (149 yards). Holstein averaged 278.3 passing yards in three games versus FBS opponents prior to facing Louisville. Morris averaged 282.5 against four previous FBS foes."
Mark Fletcher Jr. Over 68.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
"Louisville hasn’t done a terrible job defending the run (111.6 yards per game), but the front seven has leaked at times. The Cardinals gave up 83 yards to James Madison QB Mathew Sluka, 79 yards to Bowling Green’s Lucian Anderson III and 68 yards to Virginia’s J’Mari Taylor.
Granted, 75 of Anderson’s yards came on a busted-play touchdown. But Miami’s Mark Fletcher Jr. is no joke — and Louisville knows it: Fletcher rumbled for 73 and 126 yards against the Cardinals in 2024 and 2023, respectively. He also comes into this game hungry, having been held to a season-low 40 yards against Florida State after racking 86-plus yards in each of the three previous contests."
Chris Bell to score anytime TD (+170 via BetMGM)
"How productive has Chris Bell been for Louisville? The senior has a team-high 35 receptions; he has nearly twice as many receiving yards (502) as any teammate; and he’s hauled in half of the Cardinals’ eight touchdown passes.
Three of Bell’s four scores came in the last two games. He had one TD (among 10 receptions) in a 34-27 upset of Pitt and scored twice (among 12 receptions) in a 30-27 overtime loss to Virginia two weeks ago. Bell won’t have it easy against an above-average Miami secondary that has yielded just five aerial TDs in five games. But if Louisville finds the end zone Friday night, Bell is the most likely candidate to score."