#5 Ole Miss vs #9 Georgia Picks

SBR Andy · 10-14-25, 02:43 PM

SBR's Mike Spector breaks down the action in his early Ole Miss vs Georgia prediction:

Ole Miss +6.5 (-105 FanDuel)

"This is a common matchup. It's a team that went through the motions in beating an inferior opponent last week, facing a team off an impressive road win in which it covered the spread. In these situations, I typically prefer to take advantage of what an overreaction from the oddsmakers is and back the least impressive team from the week prior.

I'm not faulting Ole Miss for sleepwalking through its win over Washington State, an unfamiliar opponent it faced for the first time in school history. After all, the Rebels still faced a Cougars team coached by Jimmy Rogers, who entered the non-conference matchup with a .857 career winning percentage from his time at South Dakota State.

Georgia did what it was supposed to do in beating Auburn on the road. Its ninth straight win over its rival is now tied for the longest winning streak by either team in the series' history. But the Bulldogs were also fortunate to force a goal-line turnover that changed the game. Georgia did not pull away for a dominating victory despite shutting out Auburn and holding the Tigers to 40 yards of offense in the second half."

SBR Andy · 10-16-25, 11:59 AM

Mike Spector also predicts points to be scored early in this game with a 1st half total as one of his best bets for Week 8:

1st Half Over 26.5 (-115)

"Georgia should also do its part in scoring early, as the Ole Miss defense ranks in the bottom 20 of all FBS teams in Stuff Rate and Line Yards. The Bulldogs outscored Auburn 20-0 and outgained the Tigers 276-39 after a critical Jackson Arnold fumble last week, and I expect them to build off that momentum over the first 30 minutes this week."

SBR Andy · 10-17-25, 10:50 AM

SBR's Matt Jacob has found value in the TD scorer market for Ole Miss vs Georgia, posted on the NCAAF Free Picks page:

Josh McCray Score a Touchdown (+320 BetMGM)

"Georgia running back Josh McCray only has 27 carries this season, which ranks fourth on the team. But three of those have ended with McCray in the end zone — all from 1 yard out.

Translation: The Bulldogs tend to turn to McCray when the going gets tough near the goal line. So I'm wagering that a goal-line opportunity will present itself Saturday and that McCray (11 total TDs at Illinois last year) will deliver against an Ole Miss defense that has yielded eight rushing scores."

SBR Andy · 10-17-25, 01:23 PM

SBR's Phil Wood is also on the Rebels in his Ole Miss vs Georgia prediction:

Ole Miss +7 (-105 BetMGM)

"Georgia’s defense is only allowing 19.0 points and 307.2 yards per game this season. However, Ole Miss has one of the most balanced offensive attacks in the nation, averaging 311.0 passing yards and 204.3 rushing yards per contest.

Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Chambliss has thrown for at least 250 yards in four consecutive games, and he’s rushed for at least 62 yards in three of his last four. Additionally, running back Kewan Lacy has rushed for at least 87 yards in four of six games.

Georgia’s offensive struggles allow Ole Miss to hang around
Georgia is averaging 32.3 points per game. However, the Bulldogs have scored 21 or fewer in two of their last three, and they only managed 28 against Austin Peay earlier this year.

Georgia’s rushing attack, which is averaging 185.5 yards per game, will run all over an Ole Miss run defense that allows 157.7 rushing yards per contest. However, Georgia won’t be able to pull away, as the passing attack struggles against a defense allowing just 180.0 air yards per game."

stevenash · 10-17-25, 02:31 PM

Miss is trending up, Georgia is having a down year (by Georgia's standards)
Miss +7 please.