Friday night CFB action features a Big 10 clash between the Scarlet Knights and Huskies at 9:00 PM ET on FS1. SBR's Brendan Schaefer shares his bets in his Rutgers vs Washington prediction.
Game pick: Washington -10.5 (-105 via FanDuel)
"I see Washington winning by enough at home to cover the spread against Rutgers. The metrics view the Scarlet Knights as one of the least efficient defenses in the country. Rutgers’ struggles against mediocre offenses to this point suggest that it will have a hard time slowing down the balanced and potent Washington attack."
Over/Under pick: Over 60 (-110 via Caesars)
"Washington ranks 11th in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency per ESPN’s FPI. Rutgers ranks 128th in adjusted defensive efficiency and has given up outlier scoring performances to mediocre offenses like Iowa and Ohio. Washington averages 31.8 PPG and should find little resistance against Rutgers’ 90th-ranked scoring defense (29.8 PPG).
On the other side, Rutgers (24th in AdjO) should move the ball and contribute to this total against a Washington defense that ranks 80th in AdjD. Only one game involving Rutgers this year has failed to hit Over 60 total points."
Player prop bet: Jonah Coleman Over 101.5 rushing yards (-115 via Caesars)
"We’re honing in on a Rutgers run defense that has allowed 4.8 YPC on the year (101st in FBS). Washington RB Jonah Coleman hasn’t hit a triple-digit rushing line over his past few games, but this is a matchup that could suit him.
Coleman is averaging 5.8 YPC and 16.4 rushing attempts per game. The inefficiency of Rutgers’ run defense and the consistency of his efficiency and volume on the ground should vault Coleman beyond this lofty rushing total in a projected positive game script (Washington -10.5)."
Game pick: Washington -10.5 (-105 via FanDuel)
"I see Washington winning by enough at home to cover the spread against Rutgers. The metrics view the Scarlet Knights as one of the least efficient defenses in the country. Rutgers’ struggles against mediocre offenses to this point suggest that it will have a hard time slowing down the balanced and potent Washington attack."
Over/Under pick: Over 60 (-110 via Caesars)
"Washington ranks 11th in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency per ESPN’s FPI. Rutgers ranks 128th in adjusted defensive efficiency and has given up outlier scoring performances to mediocre offenses like Iowa and Ohio. Washington averages 31.8 PPG and should find little resistance against Rutgers’ 90th-ranked scoring defense (29.8 PPG).
On the other side, Rutgers (24th in AdjO) should move the ball and contribute to this total against a Washington defense that ranks 80th in AdjD. Only one game involving Rutgers this year has failed to hit Over 60 total points."
Player prop bet: Jonah Coleman Over 101.5 rushing yards (-115 via Caesars)
"We’re honing in on a Rutgers run defense that has allowed 4.8 YPC on the year (101st in FBS). Washington RB Jonah Coleman hasn’t hit a triple-digit rushing line over his past few games, but this is a matchup that could suit him.
Coleman is averaging 5.8 YPC and 16.4 rushing attempts per game. The inefficiency of Rutgers’ run defense and the consistency of his efficiency and volume on the ground should vault Coleman beyond this lofty rushing total in a projected positive game script (Washington -10.5)."