Big Money on Texas

**GiveMeaBJ** · 01-06-10, 11:37 PM

harlee, great thought process there. So if Nebraska can hold Texas to 12 points Alabam can hold them to 0.

**harlee71** · 01-06-10, 11:39 PM

Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ

harlee, great thought process there. So if Nebraska can hold Texas to 12 points Alabam can hold them to 0.

It was a response to Pavyracer's comment. That Texas could not out score bama.

**RockoSocko** · 01-06-10, 11:39 PM

yeh... stop shipley and kirkendoll and williams burn you... everybody is fast on this texas team... dj monroe might even take a few back all the way on punts or kickoffs....

**Dr.Gonzo** · 01-06-10, 11:41 PM

Originally posted by Frankie4fingers

OR

Tough Call...I gotta do some more research

Damn

I was on Texas but I think I have to switch sides after seeing this. That Bama girl is smoking.

**jayc88** · 01-06-10, 11:44 PM

Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ

They have no reason to lie to me. I don't think it is incredibly far fetched for someone to be hitting 65%. I am talking big pros in Vegas, not the guys who do this offshore and call themselves pros. Do your thing.

it doesnt matter how big of a pro you are
no one will hit 65 % + on nba, nfl spreads over hundreds of plays

**GiveMeaBJ** · 01-06-10, 11:46 PM

Originally posted by jayc88

it doesnt matter how big of a pro you are
no one will hit 65 % + on nba, nfl spreads over hundreds of plays

Why?

**Dr.Gonzo** · 01-06-10, 11:47 PM

Originally posted by jayc88

it doesnt matter how big of a pro you are
no one will hit 65 % + on nba, nfl spreads over hundreds of plays

100 plays is still low. Can be done easy. 1000 plays I agree with you.

**TheLock** · 01-06-10, 11:47 PM

Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ

Why?

You have a lot to learn. Listen to what he is telling you. No one hits 65% over the long term.

**jayc88** · 01-06-10, 11:47 PM

Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ

Why?

**LT Profits** · 01-06-10, 11:51 PM

Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ

The sharps aren't on Texas. You guys read into things too much and 90% of the time have no clue what a line move means.

Sharps are DEFINITELY on Texas. I totally disagree with them, but that is besides the point.

Reverse Line Moves (RLM) always point to sharp money. Fact that 67% are on Bama and yet line has dropped two points is all you need to know to figure out who sharps are on.

**pavyracer** · 01-06-10, 11:52 PM

LT are you a sharp or a square?

**LT Profits** · 01-06-10, 11:58 PM

I have never thought of myself as a sharp por se, but I always like being on the same side as they are. At the same time, it's not like I never play the square side if I have a strong enough opinion on them, and that is the case with Alabama here. And I do quite OK for myself, so I guess that makes me a hybrid.

**pavyracer** · 01-07-10, 12:00 AM

I'm neither sharp or square but I like to be on the winning side of the bet.

**rm18** · 01-07-10, 12:04 AM

texas and the under

**WhatAboutMeBitch** · 01-07-10, 12:04 AM

I like Texas

**flyingillini** · 01-07-10, 12:06 AM

I am not a huge bettor but tomorrow I have a large amount of money on Alabama.

**TheLock** · 01-07-10, 12:08 AM

Texas +4

**roflc0pter** · 01-07-10, 12:09 AM

The last couple national championships have been far from close with the exception of the USC-Texas game.

Therefore, if you like Texas I would ditch the points and go for the ML. Either Texas wins outright or they get blown out.

**Grux** · 01-07-10, 12:15 AM

I am torn...probally a small play on texas.

**Spyderfootball** · 01-07-10, 12:20 AM

The Line has been pushed down big time, but I see what everyone else saw that 66% of the public is on Alabama

**Spyderfootball** · 01-07-10, 12:25 AM

The only thing wrong with this logic is that it does not matter how many people are on a side it matters where the money is going. A $100 dollar bettor is not worth the same as a $10,000 bettor. That 66% means nothing.

**Bondite** · 01-07-10, 12:25 AM

First of all this is a great game for college football. Two powerhouse programs in the National championship at the Rose Bowl. Texas is in the exact same position they were against USC and no one gave them a chance. PEOPLE SAY VINCE YOUNG VINCE YOUNG but vince young wasnt vince young until that game. Colt will show up HUGE and texas wins going away. ALL over the over too. TEXAS WITH THE POINTS FOR EVERYTHING I GOT. Before the Conference championship games the experts lined up bama vs texas and had TEXAS as the favorites. BAMA beats the hell out of florida and they are on top of the world, Texas struggles and knows who lucky they are to be in this game. Mcelroy had a huge game against florida after "managing" the offense at best all year long. Not only does Texas cover but they win, no way the horns will let this oppurtunity slip and bama has been partying hard in LA because everyone in the country has them to win. HOOKEM and GL to all

**nj1035** · 01-07-10, 12:28 AM

Bama does not match up well with Texas. Yes, they have a great defense but it's geared towards stopping the run. They will not get the pass rush with JUST the down lineman like Nebraska and OU did. The strength of those defensive lines was the pass rush. They could drop 7 and that gave Colt trouble when they could still get pressure on him.

Alabama is going to have to blitz LB's to get pressure and this will open up the middle of the field for McCoy. He is deadly in the short passing game and that is going to hurt Alabama.

Also, Texas has the #1 rushing defense in the country and Alabama is a running team. Texas will sell out to force McElroy to beat them and I'm not sure that kid is ready for this kind of spotlight yet. We'll see...Texas has a great secondary so there will be some interesting one on one matchups here.

I think Alabama is a great great team but I don't think they matchup well here. Texas wins by 10.

**Ralphie1412** · 01-07-10, 12:31 AM

texas by ten?!?!?? jesus.....Ill take bama +7 for 50 points nj1035

**nj1035** · 01-07-10, 12:32 AM

Ralphie I'll bet you 50 points straight up on the game....no points either way.

**Ralphie1412** · 01-07-10, 12:40 AM

done

**Snowball** · 01-07-10, 12:52 AM

tide roll.

**Snowball** · 01-07-10, 12:56 AM

McCoy will be spending a lot of time on his ass.

**LT Profits** · 01-07-10, 12:57 AM

Originally posted by Spyderfootball

The only thing wrong with this logic is that it does not matter how many people are on a side it matters where the money is going. A $100 dollar bettor is not worth the same as a $10,000 bettor. That 66% means nothing.

That's exactly how you know that sharps are on Texas here. The money bet by 33% of the bettors (sharps) far outweighs the money bet by 67% of the bettors (squares).

Therefore, I would not say that the "66% means nothing", as I think knowing that percentage makes it easy to figure out where the smart money is.

Despite all of this, my stupid money is with the squares.

**waco66** · 01-07-10, 12:59 AM

bookmaker.com was the only place where it opened at -3.5..which i got it at. then jumped to -5

everywhere else it opened at -5

now its pretty much stuck at -4

**Lost Angel** · 01-07-10, 12:59 AM

Originally posted by Ralphie1412

texas by ten?!?!?? jesus.....Ill take bama +7 for 50 points nj1035

**Seattle Slew** · 01-07-10, 01:06 AM

I think Bama is the better team, but Texas' defense is solid and they have plenty of big-game experience. Plus, if Bama can almost lose to Tennessee and Auburn, who both suck, they can easily lose this game.

Originally posted by harlee71

If Tennessee can hold Alabama to 12 pts at home, Texas CAN out score Alabama.

**TT77** · 01-07-10, 01:06 AM

tex huge!

**ResortDog** · 01-07-10, 01:16 AM

The reason I am picking Texas: the heisman trophy winner's team has not won a national title but once in recent history

**GiveMeaBJ** · 01-07-10, 01:32 AM

Are you really picking Texas because a Heisman winner hasn't won the National Title.