this weeks picks LINE-crush-ER

G's pks · 10-29-09, 10:46 PM

good luck this weekend and good idea posting useful links.

xyzky · 10-29-09, 10:53 PM

Good luck this weekend Line.

PeePee · 10-30-09, 12:08 AM

Thanks for sharing. GL on the plays. May play a few myself. First week riding your plays hope it's continue success...

joeygats · 10-30-09, 01:11 AM

plz let these be winners..im down 140 this week as of now.but i have faith in yous..lets cash these

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 02:27 AM

Originally posted by joeygats

plz let these be winners..im down 140 this week as of now.but i have faith in yous..lets cash these

hey man thanks for the points
I certainly do
But its not necessary
If you can ever remember this Try to stay off my weekday picks

They tend to be my picks and not the teams
My Dad called me today and told me that he just didnt like it
(V tech ) they both had the pride factor going into this game ,
both with a loss, (a bad loss at that
Never the less I liked it
but the team didnt
Jerry
Greg
Johnny (Big 10 Man ) you can go see one of his writeup if you would like
Jarod
shane (me )

I assure you have had a great year , week after week
I certainly put it on the line again
with a bunch of games
they all great value in play
the top 4 just have much more play on them

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 02:29 AM

forgot about don

Originally posted by LINE-crush-ER

hey man thanks for the points
I certainly do
But its not necessary
If you can ever remember this Try to stay off my weekday picks

They tend to be my picks and not the teams
My Dad called me today and told me that he just didnt like it
(V tech ) they both had the pride factor going into this game ,
both with a loss, (a bad loss at that
Never the less I liked it
but the team didnt
Jerry
Greg
Johnny (Big 10 Man ) you can go see one of his writeup if you would like
Jarod
shane (me )

DON oops forgot him

I assure you have had a great year , week after week
I certainly put it on the line again
with a bunch of games
they all great value in play
the top 4 just have much more play on them

DON also

joeygats · 10-30-09, 02:35 AM

yw and there well deserved.i been following guys on here for 4 years now and no1 comes close to yous.

Hotsauce_wally · 10-30-09, 03:19 AM

great picks this week, going to tail a few of them. BOL

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 03:23 AM

how do you play
straight up
or parlays
I might be able to help your play

I looked at the utepp game the under has some value

the airforce under has some value

if you can get the total arkansas score over it has lots of value

Uab total score under (28.5) thye havent scored that in 3 games together,,,has entirely amount of value I may play that also

colorado state total score under (20) is completely silly shouldnt be half that score

airforce for game Under (44.5)

thye have a new quarter back this week that passes so you never know but their defense is top 3 in the nation

the usc /oregon score total looks like a low total (over )

tulane total score is (3.5) that seems a little low i might hit that for some at 3 thats just one score

Lsu total score looks good and that being said maybe even the -36

minnesota score total 21/5 looks like the under would be a bet for me

g tech score total looks low (30) of course it might be raining there

auburn score total looks high (23)

If you get a chance look at these tell me which one you like and Ill ask johnny what he likes

I say
Lsu score total over( , colorado state score total under ,Uab total score under , arkansas total 48over ,Lscu score total 40.5
arkansas -36,
thats a 6 teamer
put 10 maybe 20 dollars on that maybe I can get u some money back they look real good
of course if you can get the tulane at total score at -3 add that to it
lsu if they cover then their totals should be in same thing with arkansas so basically
ah hell I forgot you cant bet like that anymore
That the reason i had an internet account and now I dont was just getiitng ready to tell you that if one covers the other does
so bacically a 2 teammer pays like a 4 teamer
guess we were just too smart for em back in the day
well you have seen the ones i like better than the others pick you out a couple and add em with some of the teams that you agree with that I posted
leave me a post and I ll look at it if you would like

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 03:25 AM

Joey that post was meant for you

Originally posted by joeygats

yw and there well deserved.i been following guys on here for 4 years now and no1 comes close to yous.

the betting tip sheet

a lot of nothing really but I knew you would look past that part

jmp · 10-30-09, 03:31 AM

Originally posted by LINE-crush-ER

Michigan State -3
Ole Miss -4
Georgia Tech
Air Force -5
Tennesee - 6
Penn State - 14
Indiania +18
Utepp -7
Purdue +7
Florida -14.5
oregon state -9
Arkansas -36

penn state , all i see are -17. what do you think. and when you say georgia tech, it is the spread (-11) right?

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 03:42 AM

Originally posted by jmp

penn state , all i see are -17. what do you think. and when you say georgia tech, it is the spread (-11) right?

Gerogia Tech Waiting on line to make a move one way or the other

could come back but not it seems its time to jump all over it -10
this is why I stay up late the points/lines go crazy at night

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 03:48 AM

Originally posted by LINE-crush-ER

Gerogia Tech Waiting on line to make a move one way or the other

could come back but not it seems its time to jump all over it -10
this is why I stay up late the points/lines go crazy at night

Penn state I had it 15 bought a full point
16 is as good as 14
though
such as 30-14
24-8 etc
I think I haver it raining there , North western a team that
gives up points early to a team that takes over the second half
looks like trouble to me
shouldnt make a difference

PLeas check out northwesterns allowed points first quarter
and second half totals allowed by penn state
its give me chills on that pick
It is a strong play withthe same value But it was not highlighted becaus I knew you guys coulnd get that game for -14

503 Service Temporarily Unavailable

http://olemiss.rivals.com/schedule.asp?Year=2009&Team=PENNST

just click the link the icon score link for the box totals going back 3 or so games for both teams

jmp · 10-30-09, 04:28 AM

Alright. my bookie has it at -17 so i will lay off.

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 01:45 PM

[COLOR=#000000! important]Purdue+8 (comes in also ) added FRIDAY as top 5[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000! important]Michigan State -3
Ole Miss -4
Georgia Tech
Air Force -5
Tennesee - 6
Penn State - 14
Indiania +18
Utepp -7
Purdue +7
Florida -14.5
oregon state -9
Arkansas -36
Time to put up or shut up
Here are our games for the weekend
having the above highlighted in bold as our strongest plays I recommend trying those
a few links have inury updates and also weather conditions
very excited about the weekend coming
really bummed about the Vtech pick
BOL this weekend
as always hope your winners are our winners
http://www.collegeinjuryreport.com/i...eport.php?vw=A

http://www.weather.com/outlook/event...rom=sportsopt3

http://www.weather.com/outlook/event...otball-weather[/COLOR]

joeygats · 10-30-09, 01:46 PM

[QUOTE=LINE-crush-ER;2470910]how do you play
straight up
or parlays
I might be able to help your play

I looked at the utepp game the under has some value

the airforce under has some value

if you can get the total arkansas score over it has lots of value

Uab total score under (28.5) thye havent scored that in 3 games together,,,has entirely amount of value I may play that also

colorado state total score under (20) is completely silly shouldnt be half that score

airforce for game Under (44.5)

thye have a new quarter back this week that passes so you never know but their defense is top 3 in the nation

the usc /oregon score total looks like a low total (over )

tulane total score is (3.5) that seems a little low i might hit that for some at 3 thats just one score

Lsu total score looks good and that being said maybe even the -36

[B]minnesota score total 21/5 hey thaks for the points back but i have no use for them lol.i play straight bets and parlays.i never hit a parlay ever tho.i dont think my booky takes team total bets, only spreads for the game.

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 01:47 PM

See why I never try to worry with editing My posts

Purdue Is on out top 5
Penn state if you cna get it down to the line

is also in our best bets plays

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 01:49 PM

b]minnesota score total 21/5 hey thaks for the points back but i have no use for them lol.i play straight bets and parlays.i never hit a parlay ever tho.i dont think my booky takes team total bets, only spreads for the game.[/quote]

Yeah thats all on the internet

Its smarter not to have an internet acccount

Tend to want to bet too early

Waiting until friday or so is much better
other than the airforce game hope u got that one early on as I posted it tuesday or wednesday

Best of luck this weekend

joeygats · 10-30-09, 01:51 PM

wat 2 team parlay should i do? then ill straight bet the rest.

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 02:48 PM

Joey
Do you have access to those parlay sheets in your town

You know the little sheets with all the teams on em and you have to bet 3 or more teeams
and if it pushes /ties u lose and to add you have to pay for em up front

those I know Everyone that gambles seriouls y ehh I dont mess with those

Lert me tell you something If you can refrain from betting until friday those sheets have mad a pretty good little bonus for me

When I couldn t hit crap I hit those

The lin freezes on monday ,
not to mention wewather , injuries
now over under arent on the college
but If you can get access to em
they have lots of value this weekend

for instance the parlay sheet had tenn/alabama last week (21) instead of 15

air force this week is frozen at 3
well if I could get 3 this weekend I wouldnt bet but one game
Best two teams let me see my notes iLL give you my best and johnnys best

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 02:49 PM

BIG10MAN notes (johnny)

\

[COLOR=#000000! important]Line Crusher Team

Well I have reviewed the games I posted and have run a couple of my game time simulations on them. It is a method that I have worked on for a long time, but it seems to work pretty well. I will review my games again later this week. I just wanted to post my notes. I am dropping a couple just because I am not really sure what will happen. I drop my 1 and 2 star picks for sure.

Note: not all games have additional notes. But scores are posted for all.

I rate my picks by *, the more the better.

This week 9 Review of Initial picks and thoughts:

Big 10

Indiana +17: Iowa has just come off of a big game, a close game. The loss of their work horse running back, look for them to really work the run game. QB play is good for Iowa too. However, Indiana has a lot of players that are out for injury, but are Prob. However, Indiana will try to play spoiler and work the clock. Iowa will win, but not by -17. The only team Iowa put more the -17 up on was Iowa St. Watch the line on this one. Good chance of change.
Reviewed: My pick still stands after my review of these teams. They have comparable offenses but Iowa has the edge on defense. I know that is a big surprise, but just restating the obvious. When I ran my 1st and 2nd game simulation, I could not believe that I came up with the same scores twice. I used different variables and still came up with the same score. I normally take the score that is closest to the spread in my simulations. I will run a 3rd later this week.
Pick: Indiana +17 *
Score: Iowa 30, Indiana 14
Total: 44

Purdue +6.5: Purdue is a great team, they have the potential to win this game out-right. Wisconsin is coming off a bye week that was much needed from the big games with Ohio St. and Iowa. Which they lost. However, Wisconsin is not in the hole like Purdue. Purdue needs to win 3 out of the next 4, at Wisconsin, at Michigan, Michigan State, and at Indiana, to go to a bowl. They have the team to do it too. I think Purdue will hand Wisconsin their third start loss, but if not they will cover this spread.
Reviewed: My pick still stands after my review of these teams. Wisconsin’s defense will have a hard time slowing down Purdue’s offensive attack. And with Clay possibly out, Wisconsin will not be able to hold onto the ball for long periods of time. I ran my 1st and 2nd game simulation, and one had Purdue winning and the other had Wisconsin. However, Wisconsin didn’t cover the -6.5.
Pick: Purdue +6.5 ***
Score: Wisconsin 31, Purdue 28
Total: 59

Michigan State -3.5: MSU is coming off a close loss and no doubt they are still wondering how they heck Iowa screwed up their story book night. However, they will show how good they are this week. Minnesota is down a great wide receiver, but I believe that he wouldn't make a difference anyway. If Cousins plays for MSU, easy pick. If not, MSU is still a good bet.
Reviewed: My pick still stands after my review of these teams. MSU is hands down a better team. Minnesota without Decker is like Florida without Pierce. I ran my 1st and 2nd game simulation, and both of them had MSU covering the spread. Again, I picked the simulation closest to the real spread.
Pick: Michigan State -3.5 *****
Score: Michigan State 26, Minnesota 14
Total: 40

Penn State -14: Penn State is just that good. Their defense is one of the best and their offense can put up the yards. Northwestern just barely beat Indiana last week.
Reviewed: My pick still stands after my review of these teams. I ran my 1st and 2nd game simulation, and both of them had Penn State covering the spread.
Pick: Penn State -14.5 *****
Score: Penn State 34, Northwestern 10
Total: 44

Michigan -7: Michigan needs this win to go to a bowl. Next on their schedule is Purdue, at Wisconsin, and Ohio State. Illinois is just not the team it was last year. They have yet to show up to a Big 10 game. They points they allow in a game compared to the points that they field is greater them 7. Also, they have yet to lose a game by a margin of 7 or less. The trend will continue.
Reviewed: My pick still stands after my review of these teams. I ran my 1st and 2nd game simulation, and both of them had Michigan covering the spread.
Pick: Michigan -7 ***
Score: Michigan 28, Illinois 14
Total: 42

New Mexico State +44: I am a big OSU fan and I never play my pick for this game. It ruins the game for me. However, New Mexico State is coming off another loss and has marked this game on the schedule. They will come out playing hard. OSU has to use this game a as a practice. They need to get their offense in line before next week’s Penn State game and then the Iowa game the week after. With Herron and Saine banged up look for Pryor to practice his pocket passing and their young backs to get some experience. OSU doesn't want to have anyone else hurt with another BIG 10 title hanging in sight. Look for play to last about 2 to 2.5 quarters and then simple and clock eating plays to be run.
Reviewed: My pick still stands after my review of these teams. I ran my 1st and 2nd game simulation, Ohio State covered in one simulation and New Mexico State covered the next. I picked the closest to the spread.
Pick: New Mexico State +44*
Score: Ohio State 45, New Mexico State 3
Total: 48

Outside the Big 10

UTEP -7: UAB has a quarterback and... That’s about it. UAB has been on the road for the last two weeks and then to travel to west Texas; this team is tired. UAB's big win against Southern Miss is long in the past. UTEP is not much better, but the edge will have to go to UTEP. UTEP is more rounded, UAB is a QB.
Reviewed: My pick still stands after my review of these teams. Talk about two bad teams. UTEP still has the edge on offense and with UAB beat up from being on the road, I still see UTEP covering. I ran my 1st and 2nd game simulation, UTEP covered both times.
Pick: UTEP -7***
Score: UTEP 32, UAB 14
Total: 46

Mississippi -3.5: Auburn is on the down spin. It needs to get its offense back on track. However, Mississippi is back in the position where they are comfortable. They are not in the hunt for the SEC crown and all they have to do is play ball. They will against Auburn and Snead will have a great game too. With Todd playing for Auburn, I think they will struggle. This will not be a blowout game, but look for Mississippi to cover.
Reviewed: My pick still stands after my review of these teams. Mississippi is on the rise and Auburn is falling into the mode of “we can’t lose again.” With Mississippi putting up numbers like they did last week, Auburn better come ready to play a lot of defense. I ran my 1st and 2nd game simulation, Mississippi covered both times.
Pick: Mississippi -3.5 *****
Score: Mississippi 28, Auburn 17
Total: 45

Florida -14.5: Florida is good, but as we saw last week, when they don't have their head in the game they can be beat. Florida will open things back up against Georgia. They have had them in their minds for two weeks. Georgia is just not Georgia this year. They are not well rounded and they need to be have a chance against be Florida. Florida’s Defense is going to have a field day. Look for Tebow to saw that he is still one of the greats and Florida will not come away from this cocktail party without a hangover.
Reviewed: My pick still stands after my review of these teams, even with a move in the line to -15. Florida is ready for this game. Tebow needs one more rushing touchdown to break Hershel Walker’s record. I spoke with a friend from Athens and this is about the only news that is firing up Georgia fans. God knows it’s not the team. However, Georgia has a young team and they will try and keep this game close, but with a rookie quarterback facing a defense like Florida’s, lights out. I ran my 1st and 2nd game simulation, Florida covered both times.
Pick: Florida -15****
Score: Florida 37, Georgia 17
Total: 54
[/COLOR]

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 02:55 PM

Joey do you have a face book account

it might be easier , have you wnet through my notes

I also have a do not write in thread also it has some notes also

I havent been keeping the notes as usual as I have went to a tape recorder

Also would be interested in having a little help

Nothing like work
or anything

bigcat1 · 10-30-09, 03:10 PM

Good job this week,:d

joeygats · 10-30-09, 03:11 PM

no i dont.but i would do anything to help.just let me know what you need.

VicVega91 · 10-30-09, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by LINE-crush-ER

Joey do you have a face book account

it might be easier , have you wnet through my notes

I also have a do not write in thread also it has some notes also

I havent been keeping the notes as usual as I have went to a tape recorder

Also would be interested in having a little help

Nothing like work
or anything

What is the handle you use on facebook line crusher?

311 · 10-30-09, 04:04 PM

note to line crusher- never lay 2+td on thursday night.

311 · 10-30-09, 04:06 PM

how can you cap a game 45-3 and then take the plus 44. shoulnt there be some poits to work with?

joeygats · 10-30-09, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by 311

note to line crusher- never lay 2+td on thursday night.

seriously get a life. they are 2-1 so far and for weekday games thats pretty dam good. eagles win, ecu win, vt loss. there gonna kill this weekend!

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 04:52 PM

BIg 10
sorry those wer notes for
Joey
As he knows they are JOhnny notes not mine
BIG10MAN

He knows his crap
yet they arent the teams they were just notes
all combined
as you can clearly something like that took time
Time isnt something I have
worrying with posts

as far as thethursday night game
Week after week
I jump into a game
East Carolina was theonly game I have ever spent so much time with
that game went back wards 6 differnt times '
when that happens a team is involved
VTEch
My pick
and I mad a same ole shane mistake
I went looing for things that I wanted rather that to discredit that selection
'I mad e a play on that wednesday
My dad went on and on dont bet him anything on that game
in fact he said back bet it for him and cover the sugar or keep take it over as mine
I handle my dads bets but not the others
I did in fact back bet the +17 still losinga little but the previously amount

when posting you have to stick to your guns
yet
In fact My pride isnt so that I cant take back a bet

two differnt things
as this happened the same way
with Tulsa /Utepp
as My dad said he wouldnt never bet against Mike Price on a Televsion Game
they infact Beat Houston where they should not had

I did not post that pick
in fact I really need to quit Posting Picks Until friday
or not at all
But I actually played a bet on tulsa and went the complete opposite way as the line went up and Made out good

Indeed I am only one and at best i am 60%
but as a team when done correclty We continue to hit our best 5
I have them posted
But Joey will certainly getthe plays that we actually make
I hope you understand
that no one feels worse about that pick last night where i didnt lose much if anything but sugar
I take pride in making a pick and when it doesnt come in I feel as I was cheated somehow
but That game just wasnt evalutated with the time it deserved to make it a strong pick for myself
I Apologize and It want happen again
I will put much more effort in a posted selected team '
Air Force Is a huge play at -3 but its at 6 even -6.5
that changes things
thank you
I need you to keep me straigt as I am fueled to be correct
Really only reason why i am on board
Johnny couldnt understand why I like the Drama now he understands
that you put just a little more into it if you have someone else knowing what you lost
as noted
Everyone after looking at the games

On first day
Utepp
Olemiss
Tenn
GTech
Michigan State
these 5 were all games that everyone of us liked
the games that went that way last week that we all had
TCU
GTech
Penn State
Oreon

Those games were in by half time

adding teams
Syracuse
Texas
Kentucky

the above also posted as stongest plays
with a one other that had you played the strongest teams
you in fact would of had a great day

and so on going back 3 or so weeks
when I actually posted some picks as we dont do this until week 3
we are a great team but by myself
I am barely mediocre but vital
I will do better
I will repost pick in a bit
I do not see a change but
Lacked effort after losing last night

LINE-crush-ER · 10-30-09, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by 311

how can you cap a game 45-3 and then take the plus 44. shoulnt there be some poits to work with?

Great question those notes for me from BIG 10MAN
he also has a post for his week 9 posts
they are nt in our picks
however
he stated earlier in his post big10man look itup
why he liked it
then gave me the score ultimately
I asked him wil the score 10 or more , he said no
Value wasnt there to make this as a pick
as I dont see any evidence of mivhigan winning by more than 8
and illinois losing by 8
its not a pick one way or the other because Michigan has
the bowl facto andclearly hte better team
that game has less value than the others
where as
Johnny may have played that game
by himself
But will drop it as a whole