USF vs. Cincy ???

jagmaster · 10-14-09, 11:55 PM

NoT ALOT of reasons I can write out for you to change your mind, but I have seen both teams play this year and I said weeks ago cincy will go undefeated this year so I am sticking to that. Cincy is a much better team than fld st which is the only team south fld has beat all year at home, I know cincy has not beaten any powerhouses but did go to oregon st and won wich is much harder place to play than some weakass south fld. Go with the best QB . Pike is money

27-17 cincy

ackem19 · 10-15-09, 12:00 AM

i like USF as home underdogs on a thursday night game vs. a top 10 team. but i can't lie, i will not be betting on this one. nothing really jumps out at me about this game so i'm just going to wait till saturday. BOL.

jagmaster · 10-15-09, 12:03 AM

Wait one sec I'm seeing over 80% on cincy yet line has moved from cincy -3 to 1.5 and a weeknight home dog. I might have to force myself to s fld.

now I'm frightened. I was loving cincy all week.

stocker08 · 10-15-09, 12:04 AM

Time to recoupe for losses. I like cincy.

but i liked boise too.....

stats13 · 10-15-09, 12:09 AM

I got on USF early at +3.5 for a half unit, now I'm taking Cincy -2.5 for 1 unit. Lets go 3 point victory for Cincy.

GatorFan · 10-15-09, 12:14 AM

It will rain at Tampa at game time. when it rains, I must go with the under 49. I think the line will go down 47 at game time.

stocker08 · 10-15-09, 12:18 AM

I got cincy -2.5 and under 48.5 in a parlay. I am pissed after tonights game. This is revenge.

Oh, and I brought some advice. Im unlucky as hell. Take it as you will.

ackem19 · 10-15-09, 12:19 AM

last year, an unranked Cincinnati was the home dog looking to upset the ranked USF on a thursday night and they did just that, walking out with a win. this year, USF is the home dog looking to upset a high-ER ranked Cincinnati team.

Cincinnati-South Florida: Thursday Night Losses Keep Coming for Ranked Teams

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/75876-cincinnati-south-florida-thursday-night-losses-keep-coming-for-ranked-teams

Thursday night in college football has been an absolute slaughterhouse for ranked teams. On six different occurrences a ranked team has fallen to an unranked opponent on Thursday night this season...

GatorFan · 10-15-09, 12:21 AM

Man, the rain f*ck up the favor twice in the row already ( Ark St. and Boise St ). I like cincy but something just pulls me back. Just playing under only

stats13 · 10-15-09, 12:24 AM

I got usf +3.5 early for .5 to win .45 because i just felt like the hook on the field goal was too much.

now its -2.5 and I have trouble picking my own ass lately, so I took cincy at that number 1.1 to win 1.

I'll just be glad with a little bit of cash no matter what happens in this game. hope cincy gets the miracle 3 point win.

topcat · 10-15-09, 12:26 AM

I LOVE SOUTH FLORIDA.ive got sf at +3'.the only thing that scares me is the fact that the bearcat qb is having a heisman kinda year.sf must,and i repeat must put preasure on him.

Ace_of_Spades · 10-15-09, 12:27 AM

I got USF +3.5 and put alitle on the ML. Won't be many points in it and its a 50/50 game in my opinion.

Intuitive_Edge · 10-15-09, 12:43 AM

rain again ? Seems like the trend this week

RayzHELL · 10-15-09, 07:28 AM

Parlay Bet
Description
Oct 15 07:45 PM EST - Football NCAA - 105 Cincinnati Bearcats -2½ [buying ½ points] -135 for Game
Oct 15 07:45 PM EST - Football NCAA - 106 Cincinnati Bearcats / South Florida Bulls Under 52 [buying 3½ points] -180 for Game
Oct 17 12:00 PM EST - Football NCAA - 113 Ohio State Buckeyes -9½ [buying 5½ points] -255 for Game
3 Team Parlay
Bet Slip Total Risk Win
$325.00 USD $906.51 USD

BigdaddyQH · 10-15-09, 07:50 AM

Getting to the game itself, I see that you guys have dreamed up just about every reason to back your picks, including false stats, incorrect stats, and who knows what else. This game features Cincinnati, who has owned their opponent, South Florida, in there past 5 meetings (5-0 ATS). South Florida has two wins against FCS teams, and has not played a team over .500 yet. South Florida traditionally goes in the tank at this time of the year. Kelly is 10-1-1 in this situation. What is there not to like about Cincy?

Ace_of_Spades · 10-15-09, 07:54 AM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

Getting to the game itself, I see that you guys have dreamed up just about every reason to back your picks, including false stats, incorrect stats, and who knows what else. This game features Cincinnati, who has owned their opponent, South Florida, in there past 5 meetings (5-0 ATS). South Florida has two wins against FCS teams, and has not played a team over .500 yet. South Florida traditionally goes in the tank at this time of the year. Kelly is 10-1-1 in this situation. What is there not to like about Cincy?

Stats don't predict winners

teaserpleaser · 10-15-09, 07:56 AM

usf backers remember the kicking issues been watching delbert alvarado choke on fgs for a couple of years now hes 1 or 4 this year .... the other kicker 2 of 5 both under 50% fg made

just a little heads up. I hate betting against mobile QBs but can't bet agains Pike guy is big time, Brian kelly with an off week to prepare he'll have something ready for mr daniels. Going to be alot of pressure on on Daniels to make plays i dont think USF is going to have a good day running the ball vs that Bearcat front. Jacob Ramsey 7.7 yards a carry Isiah pead 5.8 yards a carry this tells you the o-line is getting it done up front ... people the team that can run that ball and that looks to be Cincy is the team that wins more than not. remember USF beat one legit team and florida st is far from being the old florida st that is all... not impressed with having the top d vs. wofford, western kentucky, charleston southern, and syracuse. Im impressed with a 10 point win at osu though a tough place to get out with a W. already locked in on Cincy ML Cincy 31 south florida 20... By the way Coach levitz or how ever you spell it is terrible at making in game adjustments i found this out that year when they were #2 in the country terrible.

MSUSpartan32 · 10-15-09, 08:23 AM

Likely play a 7 point teaser for one unit. Cincy +5 and under 62.5 points.

KingCrimson21 · 10-15-09, 08:27 AM

Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades

Stats don't predict winners

Holy shit. I did not know that. Wonder what all those words and numbers most of us look at prior to making our plays are called? If a person does not look at stats prior to making their picks, what is it we are looking at?

stats13 · 10-15-09, 08:49 AM

I predict ****ing winners, bitches.

Dbldown11 · 10-15-09, 08:52 AM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

Getting to the game itself, I see that you guys have dreamed up just about every reason to back your picks, including false stats, incorrect stats, and who knows what else. This game features Cincinnati, who has owned their opponent, South Florida, in there past 5 meetings (5-0 ATS). South Florida has two wins against FCS teams, and has not played a team over .500 yet. South Florida traditionally goes in the tank at this time of the year. Kelly is 10-1-1 in this situation. What is there not to like about Cincy?

talk about useless stats. What else can you drum up from past years teams? This is this year my friend. Kelly is 10-1-1 in this situation? What situation is that exactly? Playing an undefeated conference foe on the road in a nationally televised weeknight game? I HIGHLY DOUBT THAT. Talk about false stats. Plus they've owned S. Florida (5-0) ATS in the past 5 meetings? You realize the spread is something Vegas sets right? And past Spreads covered in past years mean nothing in regards to this game. S. Florida has 2 wins over FCS teams? What's your point? Theyve only played two and both those wins were on the road. One of them to a ranked (at the time) Florida St. team. AND you didnt mention that Cincy themselves only have 2 wins against FCS teams my friend. Rutgers and Oregon St.

S. Florida hasnt played a team over .500? Big deal Cincy beat Rutgers who is only over .500 cause theyve played Howard, Fl. International, Maryland, and Texas Southern, Rutgers is terrible (as you'll see tomorrow night). They won at Oregon St.....a mediocre team at best. They beat Fresno St. at home....probably their best win, but they arent better than S. Florida. AND they scored less points on Miami Ohio than any team besides Kent St. and Northwestern. AND gave up more points to Miami Ohio than any team besides Kent St. and Western Michigan.

Cincinnatti is HIGHLY overrated at #8 in the nation and will lose this one on the road tonight

mmike032 · 10-15-09, 08:53 AM

more I look into the game and line movement the more I like South Fla in this one.
Tha Bulls ML for me looks like the pick

Wilforth · 10-15-09, 08:56 AM

Must this game be betted on? Passing is the best solution to these fishy weekday games.

porterkid69 · 10-15-09, 09:00 AM

Having Joe Tresey as def. coordinator of the bulls, the same postion he held under Brian Kelly the last two years, might give the bulls the edge they need.

Dbldown11 · 10-15-09, 09:02 AM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Must this game be betted on? Passing is the best solution to these fishy weekday games.

Last night was fishy and didnt need to be bet on (so I didnt). This night has A LOT of value in taking a team that has performed as well as their opponent this year, only they are at home and an underdog

stats13 · 10-15-09, 09:08 AM

[ ] unbaised opinions in this thread
[x] toss up game

Ace_of_Spades · 10-15-09, 09:16 AM

Originally posted by KingCrimson21

Holy shit. I did not know that. Wonder what all those words and numbers most of us look at prior to making our plays are called? If a person does not look at stats prior to making their picks, what is it we are looking at?

Heads or tails

Ace_of_Spades · 10-15-09, 09:16 AM

50/50 match, S. Florida the better price.

awhitejackson · 10-15-09, 09:34 AM

The South Florida team that has been legit the last 3 years has been legit due to QB Matt Groethe for the most part as well as the solid leadership of head coach Leavitt...Take one man out of the equation and you are missing a huge part of this teams offensive unit... Groethe is out for season and the inevitable drop off in offensive prodution begins tonight in a big way... Everybody is looking over the fact that S. Fla. lost a future NFL QB with a solid track record against top notch top 25 teams (5-0) and has had to replace him with an unproven Freshman (and yes beating Florida State and Syrause still leaves you in the unproven category this year).... I can't believe nobody else is focusing on this point!!! This is like John Lennon without Paul ** still trying to make this Beatles thing work.....It aint gonna happen... At least not this year....5-0 is bs when you play these types of teams early... There are many 3-2 teams in the nation who are much more solid this year and a #20 ranking is so far undeserved...

cincy is the real deal this year (until WVU beats them)... They didn't beat a shitty Rutgers team, they absolutely DEMOLISHED a Rutgers team that will very likely end up 7-4 or 8-3 this year... They solidly beat an Oregon St team that has had one of the most impressive home reords in the P10 the last 3-4 years, and tonite they roll on SFla...

cincy by 10+

mcbaseball10 · 10-15-09, 10:16 AM

Originally posted by jagmaster

Wait one sec I'm seeing over 80% on cincy yet line has moved from cincy -3 to 1.5 and a weeknight home dog. I might have to force myself to s fld.

now I'm frightened. I was loving cincy all week.

Normal line movement-Game opened at -1.5 and is now at -2.5 (-3 at Bodog) with 62% on Cincy,

coolbreeze02 · 10-15-09, 11:26 AM

i teased it with cincy +4.5 and under 56

saltwatercowboy · 10-15-09, 11:34 AM

Cincy has played really well in all 5 of their games so far. Tony Pike has been playing as well as any QB in the country and the job that Kelly has done replacing over 90% of his defense has been extraordinary. When Grothe went down for South Florida, I think people jump to the conclusion that they were done. However, Daniels has shown in his 2 starts that he is capable of handling the workload. Although the Florida State win doesn't look as good as it did at the time, it still is a big step for that program. Their defense is the real deal only giving up around 9 points a game. While there schedule hasn't been brutal, that's still pretty impressive. Cincy will give them there biggest test by far though tomorrow night. Their offense is capable of hanging big numbers. If history is any indication, the home team usually wins these Big East midweek matchups. With that said, I'm leaning to South Florida +3. I think the crowd will be a big factor in the game and the kids will feed off of it. Pike and Gilyard will connect for a big play or two but I think South Florida's defense plays tough and the Bulls come up with the outright win. Good Luck with your play.

Rixsaw · 10-15-09, 11:38 AM

Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades

Stats don't predict winners

No it does not. The crystal ball does.

SmackdownV · 10-15-09, 11:43 AM

Got BURNED on Bosie last night.

I LOVE Cincy...............but then again......South Florida has some MASSIVE FAST BROTHERS running around on the field.

Don't get me wrong.........but I think I will play South Florida due to those really quick big GIGANTIC BROTHERS running all over the place.

It's like BYU playing Florida State......................(We see what happened there)

Slow white guys vs. Fast Brothers.............

Gotta go with the Fast Brothers.