ackem's 10 plays for week 7 (with writeups)

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  • ackem19
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-07-09
    • 669

    #1
    ackem's 10 plays for week 7 (with writeups)
    -iowa st -3
    the last couple of weeks this team has proved they can put up points and take care of the ball. they've put up just about 200 rushing yards against every opponent this year (including Kansas and Iowa, although they only put up 190 against Iowa). Iowa St. is returning home after an impressive showing at Kansas and i momentum is definitely in their favor.

    -ohio -10
    Miami(OH) is on the road again where they haven't been able to stop, anybody. they've been outscored 90-51 against opponents like Kent and Northwestern. Ohio has played bad opponents as well, but they've won and they've produced turnovers while taking care of the ball. i say turnovers make the biggest difference in this game. FYI Miami(OH) has the lowest ppg in the FBS averaging 10 ppg.

    -ohio st. -13.5
    purdue is just an awful team. 1-5 and they are only getting 13.5. that's a steal for OSU. OSU screwed me up last week (i like many, took wisconsin) and Purdue has screwed up me up all year. Purdue is facing their toughest opponent hands down. OSU has been great against the spread (5-1) and coming off of an impressive victory against a pretty good Wisconsin team, I see no reason to like Purdue in this game. Purdue can't stop the run (allowing 167 ypg) and can't take care of the ball (avg 2.4 tpg) and they are going against a OSU Defense that hasn't allowed more than 250 passing yards or more than 120 rushing yards, all season.

    -idaho -11
    idaho has been playing great this year especially ATS (they're 6-0). They are coming back home after a road victory. hawaii started this season off strong with their passing game but they're numbers have steadily declined probably due to injuries to 2 QB's while Idaho has been playing a strong all-around game getting it done on the ground as well as thru the air.

    -colorado st. +19.5
    you have to love the points here. TCU proved last week against air force that turnovers kill and when you're giving up 19.5 points, you can't afford to give the ball up. TCU has a good balanced attack and they will put up points, but csu has also been able to put up points against its opponents. i wouldn't take the ML on this haha, but the spread should do it. TCU hasn't done too well against the spread this year seeing as they are 2-2 and CSU is 4-1.

    -arizona -6.5
    so much of Stanford's offensive success depends on the success of its running game. they are 0-2 when rushing for less than 170 yards an AZ hasn't given up more than 135 rushing yards all season. Arizona has been strong thru the air and Stanford hasn't been able to stop the pass allowing 223 passing ypg.

    -arizona st. -3
    washington hasn't done well on the road which. They lost their two road games to Stanford and Notre Dame. ASU's defense has been really strong at home this year 70 rushing ypg and 128 passing ypg. Washington is allowing 262 passing ypg on the road and in order for ASU to get the win, they have to move the ball thru the air.

    -missouri +6.5
    no dez bryant or kendall hunter for OSU. Where is there offense going to come from? OSU gave up 300 passing yards at home against RICE. Mizzou and their spread offense is going to have a field day against this passing defense who is allowing 233 passing yards per game at home.

    -wake forest +6
    will all the underachieving going on at Clemson, i feel much more consistent Wake Forest. 1 week after Maryland upset Clemson, Wake put them in their place winning 42-32. one thing wake has been able to do this year is score points and if they can score enough points, the spread will take care of them.

    -iowa -1
    this line is a blessing. if Iowa can beat Penn St. on the road, i see no reason for them not to beat Wisconsin on the road. every week, Iowa proves they are the real deal. last week they barely got by a tough Michigan squad but Wisconsin showed everybody why records don't mean anything, after getting beat by 18 points @ Ohio St. Iowa's passing game has improved over the last two weeks, averaging 290 passing yards. Wisconsin meanwhile, has had trouble stopping the pass, giving up 396 yards against michigan st, and 289 passing yards against a run first Fresno St.
    Last edited by ackem19; 10-13-09, 02:53 AM. Reason: incorrect information
  • AdaBarber
    SBR MVP
    • 12-05-08
    • 4424

    #2
    Check my thread ackem19 (AdaBarbers Catch 'Em Early). I see we are on some of the same games. I like Wake, Ohio St., and Ohio! Great write ups.
    Comment
    • BayouBengal
      SBR Rookie
      • 10-12-09
      • 4

      #3
      New to forum, like your picks, but weather wont be a factor in Tulane/Houston game they play in the superdome this week.
      Comment
      • ackem19
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-07-09
        • 669

        #4
        excellent point. i totally forgot. that will change alot. if houston can throw, they will throw all over tulane's defense. that's enough to make me change my pick.
        Comment
        • HoulihansTX
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-12-09
          • 30566

          #5
          Take out Iowa St., Arizona, and Arizona St.

          Tulane plays in a Dome, so Weather will not be a factor. Plus Tulane is a garbage team, and has gotten it handed to them by Houston for the past 5 years.
          Comment
          • BayouBengal
            SBR Rookie
            • 10-12-09
            • 4

            #6
            Yeah I was thinking the same. Makes a huge DIFFERENCE!!!
            Comment
            • HoulihansTX
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-12-09
              • 30566

              #7
              Originally posted by BayouBengal
              Yeah I was thinking the same. Makes a huge DIFFERENCE!!!
              Thinking what???
              Comment
              • ackem19
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-07-09
                • 669

                #8
                HoulihansTX,

                what don't you like about the ISU, Arizona, and ASU picks?
                Comment
                • HoulihansTX
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-12-09
                  • 30566

                  #9
                  Truthfully I don't want to get into to them all that much, but Arizona St. couldn't cover the spread against Washington St.

                  Arizona defense is not the same against teams with similar talent.

                  Iowa St. got alot of peoples hopes up with their play against Kansas. But Kansas' defense is a hologram. Iowa St. played them tuff last year also.

                  These are just my thought process, and in no way do I think it trumps others. It's just the way I would play.

                  GL to all
                  Comment
                  • BayouBengal
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 10-12-09
                    • 4

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ackem19
                    excellent point. i totally forgot. that will change alot. if houston can throw, they will throw all over tulane's defense. that's enough to make me change my pick.
                    Thats what I was refering to.
                    Comment
                    • ackem19
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-07-09
                      • 669

                      #11
                      thank you, sir. i appreciate your input.
                      Comment
                      • HoulihansTX
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-12-09
                        • 30566

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BayouBengal
                        Thats what I was refering to.
                        Cool. Man I didn't even notice your post earlier about them playing in a dome. I wouldn't felt obligated to tell them that weather is irrelevant.
                        Comment
                        • BayouBengal
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 10-12-09
                          • 4

                          #13
                          Its all good man. No biggey!!
                          Comment
                          • bypp
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-05-08
                            • 664

                            #14
                            I actually really like the ASU play. Their defense is superior to Washington, and I really think that will show. I also think that playing at home will be a huge factor for ASU. Washington is a pretty terrible team on the road, and ASU is typically a pretty good team at home. Good luck with your plays, I like most of them.
                            Comment
                            • pags11
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-18-05
                              • 12264

                              #15
                              ackem,

                              good stuff here, you can tell you have put your time in and have a lot of good energy...my advice would be to lean a little less to the favorite side in future weeks, especially during conference play...ASU, Wake and Missouri seemed to be your strongest plays IMO...GL
                              Comment
                              • ackem19
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-07-09
                                • 669

                                #16
                                thanks guys, i really appreciate you taking the time to check out my picks and thanks for the input.
                                Comment
                                • vinwon8
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 06-18-09
                                  • 28

                                  #17
                                  hey ackem fyi in the arizona st. game u state that ASU has got to win by passing, Well their QB has a passing rating of 106.29 which so happens to be good for 103rd in the nation the word out is that frosh QB Brock Osweiler may get a shot!!! In their last game they were lucky to win. Their last home game they lost by 5 and were -5 on the line , and by the way it was the first time they lost to this team at home since the 1940's. Thread water son, and pay attention to Pag's as far as favorite's being played!! GL in Whatever you decide!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • ackem19
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-07-09
                                    • 669

                                    #18
                                    thank you, sir, i appreciate the input and that will help me make a different pick. i'm thinking Ball St against Bowling Green. Home underdog, inner conference game.
                                    Comment
                                    • ackem19
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-07-09
                                      • 669

                                      #19
                                      I am going to remove Iowa St. and Arizona St and replace them with:
                                      houston -20
                                      Tulane has no answer for this Houston passing offense. Tulane has lost at home by more than 20 to Tulsa and Marshall. personally, i feel that Houston is better than both of those teams. Tulane has also yet to prove that they can take care of the ball; something they will need to be able to do if they plan on hanging with Houston's high scoring offense.

                                      colorado +9.5
                                      at home, getting points, and they are playing against a Kansas team who has pretty much proved, "we score, and you can too!"
                                      Comment
                                      • ackem19
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-07-09
                                        • 669

                                        #20
                                        just put in my bet and my official ticket reads:

                                        ohio st -14
                                        iowa +2
                                        wake forest +7
                                        iowa st -2 (i saw the pick again and just felt more comfortable with it this time)
                                        houston -17
                                        missouri +7
                                        colorado st +22
                                        idaho -9
                                        arizona -5
                                        colorado +9

                                        $5 to win $2995
                                        Comment
                                        • Cougar Bait
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-04-07
                                          • 18282

                                          #21
                                          Hey ackem,

                                          Nicely done. I thought about Ohio State but when the line went to 14 I dropped it. Missouri and Wake Forest look good. I am on Idaho with you. GL this week.
                                          Comment
                                          • ackem19
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-07-09
                                            • 669

                                            #22
                                            ohio st -14...Loss
                                            iowa +2
                                            wake forest +7...Loss
                                            iowa st -2
                                            houston -17

                                            missouri +7...Loss
                                            colorado st +22...Loss

                                            idaho -9
                                            arizona -5
                                            colorado +9


                                            6-4 this week. had some good wins and disappointing losses (wake forest and ohio st....)
                                            Comment
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