Non-Existant Morrison System

chilidog · 10-26-09, 09:32 AM

Originally posted by palmer2712

Correcto mundo brother. B bets are racking it up in College. Though Rice and Hawaii are B bets next week and those teams are looking like a one legged hooker off the vegas strip. I hope we can get about a +45 next Sat on those jack asses.

Yah I agree. I'm not looking forward to the Rice and Hawaii games, but I'm still going to track them. Hopefully the spread is nice on them. I cant find any lines on Hawaii yet. As soon as the lines come out, I'll edit the post.

schaeon · 10-26-09, 11:54 AM

Hawaii Qb situation is very much up in the air for this next game.

harry · 10-27-09, 02:19 AM

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chilidog · 10-27-09, 05:38 AM

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harry · 10-27-09, 08:29 AM

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chilidog · 10-27-09, 09:06 AM

Originally posted by harry

I understand the system

What i don't understand is why there are more teams on vegas insider than covers.com

Thats what i want to know... what are the extra teams on vegas insider

*shrug*

willpies · 10-27-09, 09:21 AM

So what is the win-loss of it so far?

russwlms · 10-27-09, 09:29 AM

Originally posted by palmer2712

Correcto mundo brother. B bets are racking it up in College. Though Rice and Hawaii are B bets next week and those teams are looking like a one legged hooker off the vegas strip. I hope we can get about a +45 next Sat on those jack asses.

rice is a bet???????????

h00dini · 10-27-09, 10:40 AM

your the boss!

h00dini · 10-27-09, 10:41 AM

yes rice is a bet,. they gotta bye this weekend. there next game is on nov 7. B bet

chilidog · 10-27-09, 12:49 PM

Originally posted by willpies

So what is the win-loss of it so far?

I've already covered this info in the thread ... Read

chilidog · 10-27-09, 12:50 PM

Originally posted by russwlms

rice is a bet???????????

Yes, on 11/7, against Southern Baptist. It's a B bet.

russwlms · 10-28-09, 07:27 AM

thanks for all your hard work on this Chili!

teecee · 10-29-09, 09:55 AM

Thanks for the work. Much appreciated.

jim rhodes · 10-29-09, 10:21 AM

Can you please just tell me who to play this weekend 10/31 or if thurs. night starts any system plays?
Thanks....

mdemps9190 · 10-29-09, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by jim rhodes

Can you please just tell me who to play this weekend 10/31 or if thurs. night starts any system plays?
Thanks....

Just look at the first page

Perfect Haze · 10-29-09, 04:02 PM

I have a question Chilidog..

Why streak L3 ?? why not L4 or 5?

can you please explain me that..

What's the best system to play OVER/UNDER ??

chilidog · 10-29-09, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by Perfect Haze

I have a question Chilidog..

Why streak L3 ?? why not L4 or 5?

can you please explain me that..

What's the best system to play OVER/UNDER ??

Well, the minimum to look for is L3. Anything over that is obviously a team I would look into as well.

I don't know of a system yet for Over/Under. I was thinking of backtesting a few ideas that I've had when I get some extra time. Work has been hectic the past week.

chilidog · 10-31-09, 09:40 AM

Okay, here's today's updates; I've just now placed my bets:

10/31 - NCAAF - North Carolina St @ Florida State +10 - A
10/31 - NCAAF - Auburn @ Mississippi +5 - A
10/31 - NCAAF - UCLA @ Oregon State +9.5 - B
10/31 - NCAAF - Missouri @ Colorado ML - A
10/31 - NCAAF - Hawaii @ Nevada +28 - B
10/31 - NCAAF - Tulane @ LSU +36 - A
10/31 - NCAAF - Western Kentucky @ North Texas +13.5 - A

Good luck to you guys. Let's have another good weekend!

HoulihansTX · 10-31-09, 09:42 AM

Wow whoever plays those is going to get buried, and that hole will be deep. Hawaii??? Auburn??? Western Kentucky???? Buried like no other.

chilidog · 10-31-09, 10:31 AM

Thanks for the input. The system is 13-0 so far.

russwlms · 10-31-09, 03:48 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Wow whoever plays those is going to get buried, and that hole will be deep. Hawaii??? Auburn??? Western Kentucky???? Buried like no other.

we will stick to our system u stick to yours!

chilidog · 10-31-09, 10:25 PM

Well, looks like we did pretty good, too. 2 of the A bets lost, so they'll go on to B bets, but we took the rest of the games, including hawaii and auburn

We now have 18 series wins, and 0 losses. I'll update tomorrow with the next bets to play.

palmer2712 · 11-01-09, 12:51 AM

Good job Chilidog. I played them all. I had W. Kentucky as a win. WTF happened to them in the 4th. Tulane got smoked. You think being across the streets rivals, that they could at least cover 35 freakin points.

Next week I have, Rice, W. Kent, and Tulane on the B bet. Chili will update the A's as he always does with perfection. Peace all

ElCapitan · 11-01-09, 01:01 AM

I think the problem with this system in college football is that there is no parity unlike pro sports - REALLY good teams play REALLY bad teams all the time (why you never see a spread like -36 in pro football). I'm interested to see how this turns out, however. Perhaps you can create and market the first "Chilidog system"! Good luck to you!

chilidog · 11-01-09, 06:37 AM

Originally posted by palmer2712

Good job Chilidog. I played them all. I had W. Kentucky as a win. WTF happened to them in the 4th. Tulane got smoked. You think being across the streets rivals, that they could at least cover 35 freakin points.

Next week I have, Rice, W. Kent, and Tulane on the B bet. Chili will update the A's as he always does with perfection. Peace all

Yah I know. I was confident that W. Kentucky was going to win. And being from Louisiana, I'm rather pleased at LSU's performance, even though we were betting against them. You would think that Tulane could have gotten just 1 touchdown, then we would've won. But oh well, we'll pick it up on the B. Give me a little bit, and I'll update with next week's plays.

I've also been working on an over/under 'system' that I'm going to track for a little bit before I post it. It went 60% wins on the A bet yesterday, so I want to track a few more weeks before I make a new thread about it.

chilidog · 11-01-09, 06:51 AM

Alright, here we go. Slow week for the A bets - just 2 of them:

11/7 - NCAAF - Rice @ Southern Methodist - B
11/7 - NCAAF - Tulane @ Texas-El Paso - B
11/7 - NCAAF - Kansas @ Kansas State - A
11/7 - NCAAF - Colorado State @ UNLV - A
11/7 - NCAAF - Western Kentucky @ Troy State - B

chilidog · 11-01-09, 08:06 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Wow whoever plays those is going to get buried, and that hole will be deep. Hawaii??? Auburn??? Western Kentucky???? Buried like no other.

Can I borrow a shovel? I'll give it back when I'm done.

BigDaddyG · 11-01-09, 09:37 AM

Great work Chili
For those who might have noticed New Mexico State has lost the last 3 both SU and ATS and they qualify but their next game is not until 11/14 against Hawaii.
My question is what if Hawaii would have lost and we would have two plays on both sides of the same game, what would we do then and should we be looking ahead before we make these plays?
I am looking forward to the discussion not someone to point out Hawaii has a game next week and if they would have lost 6 in a row prior to them playing NMS so they would not have been a play - no smart asses please.
I too have been playing this system with a little different money management for B and C plays. I play 2.5 units with the A play, 3.5 units on the B play and 7.5 units on the C play. I do sacrafice some units but I still have made a nice profit this season and I don't have trouble making the C play if necessary.
You have made it easy for me and others with your research. Thank you!

chilidog · 11-01-09, 10:10 AM

That's a good point, and one that I haven't thought of yet. I think that if one team is not distinctly better than the other, I just wouldn't play that game at all. In this case, if Hawaii had lost 6 games in a row, both SU/ATS, I would probably play New Mexico State.

BigDaddyG · 11-01-09, 12:53 PM

We also have to be aware of the posibility of there not being enough games to play the system through the C wager.
If Michigan loses at home to Purdue next week they will qualify for the system but only have two games left to play.
Hmm??

chilidog · 11-01-09, 05:43 PM

If that's the case, I wouldn't play Michigan. I'd want a team to have at least 3 games to carry the A, B, and C bets if necessary.

polson22 · 11-01-09, 10:44 PM

Originally posted by chilidog

I've also been working on an over/under 'system' that I'm going to track for a little bit before I post it. It went 60% wins on the A bet yesterday, so I want to track a few more weeks before I make a new thread about it.

some massive O/U reversals this last weekend. mostly to the OVER side... i've done well on the UNDER this year, but i wondered if i was pushing my luck this last weekend (thought that before the weekend)............ vandy had an amazingly high total for habitually UNDER team.

HoulihansTX · 11-01-09, 10:46 PM

congrats yall I way wrong. I will be looking into this system for the rest of the season.

Coverthisjam · 11-02-09, 11:00 AM

hey all,

this is a great thread and very interesting system. i've been using the football version this season to good results, and it makes sense that this could also work for college. the logic behind this system is essentially what i would call "The Efficient Spread Hypothesis". has anyone looked into this for other sports with spreads, like nba basketball? it would seem to me that the same logic, perhaps with a slightly altered set of rules, could be applied there as well. basically its all about regression to the mean. If you believe vegas sets (for the most part) efficient spreads and adjusts the spread each week based on how teams have done the previous weeks, so after 3 losses straight up and ATS, the lines start getting inflated to where the teams are 'due' to cover. also, i believe the competitive nature of athletes and psychology of sports says that a team that has been consistenly getting crushed will have some pride and want to step up their play, at least enough to cover the inflating spreads.