ZboiZ Final Week 6 Plays (Guaranteed Winning Card)

JMUplayer · 10-07-09, 01:51 PM

Stronger than your 44% record so far?

sweetjones55 · 10-07-09, 02:00 PM

I am liking the Ole Miss play. The line opens at Ole Miss +5.5 and has only moved to +6 with a huge 83% of the public on Alabama. The line and lack of movement doesn't make sense to me with the way Alabama has been playing. Old case of somebody knows something and I am going with that somebody. McCluster is one of the best players in the nation IMO, he is so damn fast.

I am also liking the Navy play. Rice is 0-5 against the spread so far and is ranked 87th against the run even though they haven't really played any team that has a great running game like Navy. The line movement does worry me though as 71% of the public is on navy yet the line has dropped from Navy -13 to Navy -11.5, heavy RLM. I wouldn't put a big play on Navy with the line movement.

Washington State sucks. ASU opens at -17.5 and quickly goes to -21. That is huge line movement and need not be ignored. I'd just autofade WSU every week.

LSU is a SU and ATS loss this week minus anything, I tried my best to convince you otherwise on this one. GL to you this week.

ZBOIZ · 10-07-09, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by JMUplayer

Stronger than your 44% record so far?

two straight bad weeks and thats what I have a 44% yep

This is a marathon Mr. Dick in your booty so trust me it will get better!

JMUplayer · 10-07-09, 02:07 PM

The odds say even if you throw a dart at a piece of paper it should get at least a little better.
So in reality if it actually got any worse you should retire

ZBOIZ · 10-07-09, 02:10 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I am liking the Ole Miss play. The line opens at Ole Miss +5.5 and has only moved to +6 with a huge 83% of the public on Alabama. The line and lack of movement doesn't make sense to me with the way Alabama has been playing. Old case of somebody knows something and I am going with that somebody. McCluster is one of the best players in the nation IMO, he is so damn fast.

I am also liking the Navy play. Rice is 0-5 against the spread so far and is ranked 87th against the run even though they haven't really played any team that has a great running game like Navy. The line movement does worry me though as 71% of the public is on navy yet the line has dropped from Navy -13 to Navy -11.5, heavy RLM. I wouldn't put a big play on Navy with the line movement.

Washington State sucks. ASU opens at -17.5 and quickly goes to -21. That is huge line movement and need not be ignored. I'd just autofade WSU every week.

LSU is a SU and ATS loss this week minus anything, I tried my best to convince you otherwise on this one. GL to you this week.

LSU is a solid bet! Everyone who follows the SEC closely from Georgia to even South Carolina has told me LSU +9 is a gift. You guys are looking to deep into Florida. They are struggling and they are no were near the team they were hyped to be. Example of that is the Tennessee game. They were suppsoe to blow Tenny out but Meyer just dont have the firepower to do so. No Harvin and Murphy on that offense no more. They took 5 steps back as an offense when they left.

This will be a field goal game.

Also you have to factor the Chavis factor, he knows Florida inside and out, from playing them every year at Tennessee. This will be a defensive game with Florida defense and LSU defense dominating!

ZBOIZ · 10-07-09, 02:12 PM

Originally posted by JMUplayer

The odds say even if you throw a dart at a piece of paper it should get at least a little better.
So in reality if it actually got any worse you should retire

uh huh......yea........

bigcat1 · 10-07-09, 02:13 PM

thats harsh jmu,
zboiz best of luck you got more guts than i do, you are a true lsu fan, you playing some games i couldn't touch

ezekial 25:17

ZBOIZ · 10-07-09, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by bigcat1

thats harsh jmu,
zboiz best of luck you got more guts than i do, you are a true lsu fan, you playing some games i couldn't touch

ezekial 25:17

The guy likes dick in his booty! Thats why he's always flirting through my thread. But I ignore him as always!

wal66 · 10-07-09, 02:34 PM

Z.............I got hate in me bro...........I do wish you would add a 5th game though so I could atleast wish you a winning weekend and be sincere.

I do like Navy this weekend. To be honest about the Florida/LSU game, while I am on Florida and they are a rare 2 unit play for me this game could easily be much closer than myself and many are giving credit for. It's cliche but as we know all too well anything can happen in these big inner conference match-ups.

ZBOIZ · 10-07-09, 02:46 PM

wal66 Ole Miss and Bama is one of those interconference games were it will be a line of scrimmage game. I want to see Bama O line against Ole Miss great D line! That will be a great game. I will be watching it from my boy RV Saturday!!

I wish you coming to Death Valley man!

GatorFan · 10-07-09, 03:14 PM

Zboiz, my advise for you....don't ever say Guaranteed Winning Card cuz there is no f*cking guarantee in gamble

ZBOIZ · 10-07-09, 03:21 PM

Originally posted by GatorFan

Zboiz, my advise for you....don't ever say Guaranteed Winning Card cuz there is no f*cking guarantee in gamble

Thats no advise for me bud! I know that there's no guaranteed winners it's a figure of speech for the strength I feel for my card!

wal66 · 10-07-09, 03:36 PM

Originally posted by wal66

Z.............I got hate in me bro...........I do wish you would add a 5th game though so I could atleast wish you a winning weekend and be sincere.

I do like Navy this weekend. To be honest about the Florida/LSU game, while I am on Florida and they are a rare 2 unit play for me this game could easily be much closer than myself and many are giving credit for. It's cliche but as we know all too well anything can happen in these big inner conference match-ups.

Should read "I have no hate in me" just so we're clear.

Ralphie1412 · 10-07-09, 03:56 PM

Agreed on ASU......good luck on your guaranteed winner mr gambler of the month

sweetjones55 · 10-07-09, 08:29 PM

I completely agree that defenses will dominate this game but UF's defense is much better than LSU and UF's offense is also better than LSU's. Brandon James, Jeffrey Demps, and Chris Rainey are going to make big plays for UF. All together in last years game the three running backs averaged 9 YPC against LSU. Brandon James also averaged about 26 yards per return in that game too. LSU isn't even in the top 40 in rushing defense and they have not seen a team with this caliber of running backs.

"Everyone who follows the SEC closely from Georgia to even South Carolina has told me LSU +9 is a gift."

Come on ZBOIZ, you and I both know fading the Gators is never a gift. They have covered what like 14 out of the last 16 games? The fact that "everyone" agrees on something always makes me think the other side is the right play. UF is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games, LSU is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games.

Ralphie1412 · 10-07-09, 08:31 PM

I love that people think LSU +9 is a gift, gets the spread down.

twentyonekid · 10-07-09, 08:46 PM

good luck zboiz,except on ole miss of course

ZBOIZ · 10-07-09, 08:58 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I completely agree that defenses will dominate this game but UF's defense is much better than LSU and UF's offense is also better than LSU's. Brandon James, Jeffrey Demps, and Chris Rainey are going to make big plays for UF. All together in last years game the three running backs averaged 9 YPC against LSU. Brandon James also averaged about 26 yards per return in that game too. LSU isn't even in the top 40 in rushing defense and they have not seen a team with this caliber of running backs.

"Everyone who follows the SEC closely from Georgia to even South Carolina has told me LSU +9 is a gift."

Come on ZBOIZ, you and I both know fading the Gators is never a gift. They have covered what like 14 out of the last 16 games? The fact that "everyone" agrees on something always makes me think the other side is the right play. UF is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games, LSU is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games.

Please man why is we bringing up last year.Of course it was easier to run the ball last year when you had wr's like Murphy and Harvin people had to respect. With those caliber players you have to spread the field and that opens the run game. Now you can load the box with 8 people like Tennessee did to contain Florida run. Trust me comparing last year Florida team and this year Florida team is like comparing apples and oranges.

LAST YEAR FLORIDA TEAM WAS VERY HARD TO DEFEND DUE TO THE EXPLOSIVE THREATS AT WR! IF YOU LOOK AT THE TENNESSEE GAME, TENNESSEE DEFENSIVE PLAN WAS TO LOAD THE BOX AND THEY STUFFED THAT READ OPTION BY FLORIDA. THE REASON TENNESSEE WAS ABLE TO LOAD THE BOX WAS BECAUSE FLORIDA DONT HAVE THE EXPLOSIVE RECIEVERS THEY HAD LAST YEAR WITH MURPHY AND HARVIN ON THE WINGS.

PLEASE LOOK AT THAT TAPE AND YOU WILL HAVE A DIFFERENT OPINION ON FLORIDA THIS YEAR

ZBOIZ · 10-07-09, 09:02 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I completely agree that defenses will dominate this game but UF's defense is much better than LSU and UF's offense is also better than LSU's. Brandon James, Jeffrey Demps, and Chris Rainey are going to make big plays for UF. All together in last years game the three running backs averaged 9 YPC against LSU. Brandon James also averaged about 26 yards per return in that game too. LSU isn't even in the top 40 in rushing defense and they have not seen a team with this caliber of running backs.

"Everyone who follows the SEC closely from Georgia to even South Carolina has told me LSU +9 is a gift."

Come on ZBOIZ, you and I both know fading the Gators is never a gift. They have covered what like 14 out of the last 16 games? The fact that "everyone" agrees on something always makes me think the other side is the right play. UF is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games, LSU is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games.

Also like I have stated many of times if Florida offense was so explosive like you think why could'nt they put atleast 35 on Tennessee ? YOU KNOW IF URBAN MEYER COULD HAVE DONE IT HE WOULD HAVE DONE IT! BUT I KNEW WHAT PEOPLE LIKE YOU REFUSE TO GRASP AND THATS FLORIDA OFFENSE HAS TAKEN 5 STEPS BACK BY LOSING OVER 1000 YRDS OF RECIEVING WITH HARVIN AND MURPHY GOING TO THE PRO'S! ALL THEY REALLY HAVE IS TEBOW AND THOSE BACKS. FLORIDA HAVE TO RELY HEAVY ON THERE RUN GAME AND TEBOW TO SELL THE RUN GAME WITH THE READ OPTION. THE READ OPTION IS THERE BREAD AND BUTTER. THE READ OPTION OPENS THERE RUN GAME! WITHOUT TEBOW NO TEAM IN THE SEC WILL RESPECT IT BECAUSE THEY KNOW BRANTLEY WILL NOT BE A RUNNING THREAT. ALSO WITH TEBOW HURT DO YOU HONESTLY THINK THEY WILL RUN HIM THE SAME ? HELL NO! PEOPLE GET REAL!! THIS FLORIDA TEAM IS NOT BLOWING NO UPPER SEC TEAM OUT!

PEOPLE WANT TO BET FLORIDA BECAUSE THERE FLORIDA! HOW STUPID IS THAT!

I HAD FUN BETTING TENNESSEE +30!! FLORIDA STRUGGLED TO SCORE 23! AT HOME!

AND I HOPE THE NUMBER IS ABOVE 17 WHEN THEY PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA BECAUSE THEY WILL NOT SCORE OVER 25 ON THEM!!

THIS WILL BE A DEFENSIVE GAME!!

coachr1 · 10-07-09, 09:22 PM

Z i like the Mississippi and LSU picks. I think LSU has a good chance of winning this game.

ZBOIZ · 10-07-09, 09:33 PM

Originally posted by coachr1

Z i like the Mississippi and LSU picks. I think LSU has a good chance of winning this game.

Exactly coach. The Mississippi pick is another one that can be a upset this weekend.

sweetjones55 · 10-07-09, 10:17 PM

You still ignore the fact that LSU is ranked 41st in the nation against the run and hasn't had to play a team with the quality of running backs of UF

sweetjones55 · 10-07-09, 10:32 PM

Also, go to a look at that box score in the Tenn-UF game. The 3 RB's averaged 8PYC against that Tenn stacked front. LSU can stack the box all they want, these running backs from UF are special and will still make big plays.

ZBOIZ · 10-07-09, 10:43 PM

Jones at the end of the day Florida only scored 23 points. Thats all that matter. Now what I can tell you is LSU defense is going through a lot of changes. They have all new coaches on defense and they have a whole new scheme to adjust to. If you look at game to game LSU defense is improving. They held a good Georgia offense to no touchdowns the whole 1st half. If Florida defense had all new coaches they to would have set backs. It's the nature of the game. LSU
has the Bears old Dline coach, they have Ron Cooper secondary coach from South Carolina, and a whole new D cordinator in Chavis from Tennessee.

TheSkeptic · 10-07-09, 11:13 PM

Ill back you up again ZBOIZ...9 points is too many to give to a team playing a night game in Death Valley. I don't care if they're Florida! Did anyone think 72.5 was the right line against Charleston Southern or 32 against Tennessee? Florida covered spreads when they were undervalued last year (they started last year ranked 6, right??). This year they're wayyyy overvalued on a weekly basis. People think Tebow can turn water into wine and I think the fact he's injured and the team has had to prep for 2 different offensive game plans neutralizes Meyer's advantage in having 2 weeks to prepare. As ive said in other threads, I think its a field goal game with UF eaking out the win. We shall see though!

Mac4Lyfe · 10-08-09, 01:05 AM

Originally posted by ZBOIZ

I did some extensive work on these plays and I made sure these plays were sufficient and adequate. I'm playing all these plays 2 units! My strongest card of the year!

LSU +9.....................Loser
Ole Miss +6.5............Loser
Arizona St. -19.5
Navy -11.5

write ups to come later!

2 sure losers...

pags11 · 10-08-09, 02:22 AM

GL zboiz...

Cougar Bait · 10-08-09, 06:35 AM

GL with your plays Z

sweetjones55 · 10-08-09, 09:46 AM

Nice arguing with you, let's see what happens. I am on you with that Ole Miss play, might even hit up the ML. GL

Ralphie1412 · 10-08-09, 10:00 AM

if this bama line keeps dropping I might take them.

ZBOIZ · 10-08-09, 12:36 PM

LSU +9 over Florida

Saturday Night will be by far the most anticipated game of the week. LSU and Florida by far the most dominate programs this decade will be squaring off again. But in this game I love my Tigers. People may say I love them because I'm a homer but I have to beg the differ on this case. 9 is simply to much points for a Florida team to be laying in this spot. Florida to me has the 2nd best defense in the SEC and they are a physical bunch of guys. They play fast and they have great athletes to compete in the SEC! But Saturday night you can throw the records out the window simply because emotions will be carrying both sides. This is a huge game for these kids and they will bring it on every play. LSU on the offensive side of the ball this year has been struggling. No one knows why, it's just like your missing a piece to the puzzle. Well Saturday in the 1st half the offense played well but could'nt punch it in the endzone. They drove to the redzone 3 times but could'nt score. If they would have scored everytime in the redzone it would have been 21-0 at the half! But I do think this offense will get it together. Now LSU on the defensive side of the ball has bad stats and national rankings but if you dont look at LSU from game to game than those stats can be misleading. The reason LSU defense is getting better from game to game is because they have a whole new defensive staff of coaches. They have a whole new scheme to learn that is totally different from what they were playing last year and the years past. But when you look at Florida offense they to has not looked great this year, they have struugled a great deal at the WR position and Meyer needs that position to open his zone read pachage with the QB! Thats why Tennessee was able to stop Florida because they loaded the box due to the lack of respect to Florida WR! If Brantley starts who I think will start LAWD HELP THE KID! His first start in Tiger stadium is not the perfect place to start a game. How will Brantley respond to 97,000 plus in his ears ? How will he be able to call his audibles? How will he be able to handle the silent count ? Because he wont be able to hear himself Saturday night. I like LSU chances Saturday night BIG time. I do believe they will pull off this upset. Guys I'm going with LSU +9!

ZBOIZ · 10-08-09, 12:45 PM

Ole Miss +6.5 over Bama

This is a BIG TIME SEC West matchup! Ole Miss and Bama who is two teams that matches up well will be going at it. This will be the best defense Bama played since they played V.TECH, but the difference is Bama will be on the road. Both teams is very physical up front. What you will see Saturday from a Ole Miss defense is a lot of blitzes and a physical front four. Ole Miss likes to send a lot of middle blitzes and force the QB to throw quick passes with linebakers directly in his face. I think Mccelroy will have to make plays with his feet and the kid is not that type of QB. Thats what people have to look at. Now Ole Miss on the offensive side of the ball will also have to play a nice game because Bama defense themselves will be sending a lot of blitzes. But I like Ole Miss offense in the blitzing situation better. One reason is because they have a beast of a screen option and thats Dexter McCluster. Bama will have to watch there blitz schemes because I believe Ole Miss will try to neutralize Mccluster in space while Bama is sending the blitz. Also Julio Jones is struggling this year with only 9 catches. Will he get a lot of catches Saturday? Thats a good questuon because Bama will need him to win this game. I like Ole Miss +6.5 and I would'nt be suprise if they also pull the upset!

ZBOIZ · 10-08-09, 12:49 PM

Arizona St -19 over Washington St

Plain and simple Washington St. is terrible. They will be going up against a tough defense Saturday in Arizona St. The question will be will Arizona St. team get up for this game? I think they do simply because they know these are the type of games they have to win because the PAC 10 road for them is not easy. Every matchup on the football field favors Arizona St., and I just think this line is a touchdown off.

ZBOIZ · 10-08-09, 12:55 PM

Navy -11.5 over Rice

Will Rice defense be discipline enough to stop the option attack ? Rice has a undiscipline defense and this isn't the offense you need to go up against if your not solid with your assignments. I like Navy in this game with Rice 80th+ rank rush defense. Also I think Rice offense will not be as productive in this game to keep up. I can see Navy putting up 35+ points, wearing Rice defense down at the end! Navy -11.5 is my play gentleman!