Wal's College Football Week #5

[wal66]

I don’t consider this a smart decision on my part but I have to try something. Generally I take my computer spreadsheet plays and with my own opinion decide my plays. Last year this worked fine, for whatever reason I had a good feel for what was going on and this system worked. It’s not working so far this season. I think I’m not being objective enough or being a little too awed by what I have seen.

This week I’m taking myself out of the equation. I am going with the program selections only. I’m not sure how this will work because I still think some of the rankings and ratings that go into the program are still skewed by certain wins and losses of a couple teams. It can’t do much worse than I have done for the past 4 weeks.

Plays:

Hawaii +3.5* (Program has them as a 7 point favorite.)
West Virginia -17* (Program has them as a 21 point favorite.)
Pittsburgh -6.5* (Program has them as an 11 point favorite.)
Tulane +6.5* (Program has them as a 1 point favorite.)
South Florida -7* (Program has them as a 17 point favorite.)
Wisconsin +3* (Program has them as a 5 point favorite.)
Michigan pk* (Program has them as a 6 point favorite.)
Washington +13.5* (Program has them at only a 4 point dog.)
Central Michigan -8.5* (Program has them as a 14 point favorite.)
Auburn +1.5* (Program has them as a 4 point favorite.)


I do have my concerns about a couple of the games being heavy public favorites as the week progresses. Namely West Virginia. South Florida, Michigan, Central Michigan and Auburn. We’ll see how it goes.

Always like to hear others opinions.

[Cougar Bait]

I will be taking a serious look at Pittsburgh this week (even though they burned me last week) and Washington. GL this week Wal...WVU seems like too many points but I haven't done great on Weeknight games this year so who knows.

[wal66]

Coug, I took it on the chin last week with Pitt as well. Like I said last week I never have any luck on wither side of Pitt games. I would have stayed clear of them this week but as I said I am going strickly on the program this week.

The program didn't have a good week last week either by the way as it was 6-9.

My own personal opinion I like Central Michigan and West Virginia the most of all the plays, so that should tell ya that those two games are the weakest. LOL.

[Cougar Bait]

What are you doing, going with the George Costanza theory?

[wal66]

0-2, off to am impressive start. Never even close on Hawaii and brutal game all around with West Virginia.

[Cougar Bait]

Well I played one and not the other so only 1-0 this week on the night games instead of the 2-0 had I played my hunch (too many points for WVU)...anyway I hope Pitt hits for us tonight. Long way to go and I think that Washington game is a winner...GL the rest of the week wal

[wal66]

Hawaii +3.5* (Program has them as a 7 point favorite.) LOSER
West Virginia -17* (Program has them as a 21 point favorite.) LOSER
Pittsburgh -6.5* (Program has them as an 11 point favorite.) WINNER
Tulane +6.5* (Program has them as a 1 point favorite.) WINNER and very happily an outright winner.
South Florida -7* (Program has them as a 17 point favorite.) WINNER
Wisconsin +3* (Program has them as a 5 point favorite.) WINNER and again an outrighter
Michigan pk* (Program has them as a 6 point favorite.) LOSER
Washington +13.5* (Program has them at only a 4 point dog.)
Central Michigan -8.5* (Program has them as a 14 point favorite.)
Auburn +1.5* (Program has them as a 4 point favorite.)

need these last games to come through and make this a good day.

[wal66]

gonna end up 6-4 for the week. central michigan not covering was the only one that really bugged me. better than 1-3 like last week though.