Ulver's Week 4 Plays

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  • Ulver86
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-15-09
    • 579

    #1
    Ulver's Week 4 Plays
    Last week 3-2 (reference http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...k-3-plays.html)


    Ole Miss -3

    Thursday Night Special here. For whatever reason, no one's buying into Ole Miss as a good team. Well, I have. They arguably have the best QB in the league in Jevan Snead and a very underrated coach in Nutt. The Rebels have something to prove here.

    Ohio +21.5

    Tennessee played well against Florida, but let's not get ahead of ourselves. It's obvious after the past 2 weeks that the Vols have little trust in their signal caller. I see this as a fairly low scoring affair, and no reason this line should be as high as it is. Not to mention an obvious let down game after all of the hype around the Florida game. Oh hey, and Ohio has more wins than Tennessee... Take the points.

    Fresno St. +16.5

    I will wait on this line because I see it getting to 17, but that's my personal opinion on how I think the bets will come in. In any case, I would play this all the way down to 14 because while Cincinnati is the better team, Fresno St has been competitive in all of their games and has a very nice run game.

    Kentucky +850 (money line)

    Too many red flags here not to give this a shot. Even without the red flags, I think that too many people are just punching Florida in for a perfect season. You can take +22 on the spread if you like, but I really like the possibility of an upset here, especially given the odds. Florida players apparently have "flu-like symptoms" and people don't see how good an offense Kentucky has which could match Florida punch for punch. Also, why is Urban Meyer still talking about Tennessee? Shouldn't his focus be on the next game? Again, more red flags. Bottom line is Kentucky has better than a 1 and 8 chance of winning this game at HOME. Will it happen? Probably not, this is a small play here.

    Virginia Tech +2.5

    It ain't easy to go into Blacksburg and win. While everyone is caught up in the return of the "U" - I'm more caught up in how Va Tech didn't allow a single TD in their previous game against a very formidable opponent in another team I think is on the return - the Nebraska Cornhuskers. I should note I will wait on this line and for the gambling public to place all of their money on Miami. This game has tons of red flags guys. Don't bet the house on Miami. There's a reason Vegas keeps building casinos (well, maybe not with the recession and such). Make the smart play and take the points at home on what should be a fairly close matchup.
  • aeshred
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-16-09
    • 239

    #2
    Uh No no no, dont take ohio, they got beat by North Texas, Tennessee will destroy them w/ ease!!

    GL
    Comment
    • aeshred
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-16-09
      • 239

      #3
      Correction meant to say almost got beat by UNT... still thats a dangerous one, TU could cover the spread in 1 Quarter if they show up

      This is exactly like the (OU and Tulsa) game it all comes down to talent and recruits!! I won a bundle on that game and knew I was going to!!

      Tennessee Top HS recruits (top 100) = 25 players
      Ohio "" "" = 0 players

      Phil Steele Preview

      Reconsider....
      Comment
      • Joe_Shabadoo
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-17-09
        • 607

        #4
        I'm going on a tangent here, but do you take your screename from the band, Ulver?
        Comment
        • Ulver86
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-15-09
          • 579

          #5
          @ aeshred

          North Texas is a program on the rise (relatively speaking, remember, they used to be the worst team in the NCAA's , they are getting considerably better), coached by former HS all star coach at SouthLake Carrol who took the team to several state championships

          TU won't be motivated this week because their big game was last week, not to mention that they are a defense first team, which doesn't bode well in covering a 21 pt spread.

          @ joe

          yes, it is - and the wolves gather
          Comment
          • aeshred
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-16-09
            • 239

            #6
            I live in fort worth, a half hr from southlake brother, I know who Todd Dodge is. I also know its gonna take a few more seasons for them (UNT) to get it together, with that said Dodge is overrated, SL will always have top dollar and top talent. Did I mention he starts his own son at QB. Oh NO!! A 5'11 in 180 LB QB!! Watchout!! Dodge has much to learn before he turnsaround UNT.

            You could very well win, but I see it as a trap just like vegas setting the OU and Tulsa line to 13.

            What was the Final score in that one?? Ah yes, 38 to 0.

            GL
            Comment
            • WhatAboutMeBitch
              SBR MVP
              • 01-02-09
              • 1294

              #7
              I'm on the fence with ohio state. thanks for the write ups
              Comment
              • Go42
                SBR Rookie
                • 09-22-09
                • 3

                #8
                UT just lost their senior LG. This will cause a starting OT to move outside and a Frosh to play OT. They also lost there leading WR Hancock. But UTs strength (rushing) is OUs weakness. Hardesty should have a good day on the ground. I am also not sure they will score on UT. OU runs a dual QB system and just lost one of them. I think I will take the under which should be ~45.
                Comment
                • ramones951
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-23-08
                  • 2356

                  #9
                  I can see where you're coming from with the Kentucky game (kind of), but I really think just betting on the spread would be the smarter play, or at least adding it in.
                  Comment
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