I like to post my plays as early in the week as possible because this allows me not to be influenced by others. While it has worked in the past I will admit there have been times I learned something about a game that I had overlooked when doing my own research. Add in the potential for reverse line movement and it becomes pretty clear that early is not always better. So I am simply posting where my head is at right now on these games. Some will be dropped before becoming official and others may change do information that becomes clearer as the week progresses.
Western Michigan @ Indiana
I’ll admit right off the bat that last year I was on Western Michigan several times and generally for good reason and sometimes when you have had success with a particular team it can clog your vision but as of right now I’m liking Western Michigan to win this game. Western Michigan 27 Indiana 13
Stanford @ Wake Forest
I know all about West Coast teams traveling to the East Coast and playing a 12:00 game. I have even used this in the NFL plenty of times as atleast a portion of the capping. While I have never looked into this in college I can see where it would certainly have an effect as well. That said I think Stanford is the better team in this contest and can overcome the jet lag to win this game. Stanford 17 Wake Forest 10
Duke @ Army
It’s been since 1997 since these two teams have played. They are 1-1 SU and ATS with one another. I guess I am maybe being slightly skewed by the loss to Richmond at home this past weekend for Duke. While Army won’t beat Air Force or Navy they will beat Duke. Duke 20 Air Force 31
Pittsburgh @ Buffalo
I mentioned earlier about having success with a particular team and how that will tend to play a roll in future decisions about a game, well Buffalo is another of those teams. That said though I think there is real value with Buffalo. Turner Gill has something going there. He has them playing tough and aggressive. True sometimes maybe too aggressive but you have to admit you see the change he has made and it is all for the better. Pittsburgh has the potential to beat Buffalo into the turf but they won’t make them surrender. Pittsburgh 13 Buffalo 7
Troy @ Florida
I won’t have action on this game but I thought I would pass along an observation. While everyone knows Florida has a speed advantage on just about everyone in the country ( I said just about everyone ) they will have it in spades against Troy. Actually from a speed standpoint Charleston Southern matched up better with Florida than Troy will. Florida 56 Troy 10
Houston @ Oklahoma St
Prior to this game there was much talk about how Georgia would actually be better now that Stafford and Mereno were gone. The thinking behind this was that there was too much put into individual stats and not enough team unity. While that might be true, what was very clear this past Saturday is that this team has a lot of questions. Questions in the quarterbacking position as well as running back. Serious questions with that offensive line. There are even some questions about the defense. Oklahoma St was vastly better across the board. Oklahoma St has a very complete team on both sides of the ball and they have an offensive line that is right up there with the best in the Big 12. In fact Oklahoma St is right up there as one of the best in the Big 12 as well as the country. Oklahoma St 42 Houston 10
LA Tech @ Navy
The line kind of concerns me. I know some don’t believe in traps and so forth but I thought this game would open around 10. The 7 opening line just puzzles me. What doesn’t puzzle me is Navy’s ability to run that triple option. What impressed me with Navy though was the way they played defense. This bodes well for them this season. Navy 31 LA
Tech 17
BYU @ Tulane
I guess I’m a chump here because I like BYU to roll with ease. BYU 42 Tulane 13
South Carolina @ Georgia
Already went over what troubles Georgia has this season. South Carolina has it’s own problems. They have such potential on offense to put up some impressive totals but they just simply fail to do so. They do have one killer defense though and unless Georgia made some remarkable adjustments this week in practice the Gamecocks defense will be enough to win this game outright. This could be one of those games you just flip a coin though. South Carolina 13 Georgia 10
Mississippi St @ Auburn
I think this game could be a pretty entertaining one. I think public perception will be Auburn routes the Mississippi St Bulldogs. I think I like the 14 points. Auburn 20 Mississippi St 17
Ohio U @ North Texas
I had a hunch last weekend and I didn’t play it. Same hunch this week and this time I’m gonna give it a whirl. North Texas 27 Ohio 24
Western Michigan @ Indiana
I’ll admit right off the bat that last year I was on Western Michigan several times and generally for good reason and sometimes when you have had success with a particular team it can clog your vision but as of right now I’m liking Western Michigan to win this game. Western Michigan 27 Indiana 13
Stanford @ Wake Forest
I know all about West Coast teams traveling to the East Coast and playing a 12:00 game. I have even used this in the NFL plenty of times as atleast a portion of the capping. While I have never looked into this in college I can see where it would certainly have an effect as well. That said I think Stanford is the better team in this contest and can overcome the jet lag to win this game. Stanford 17 Wake Forest 10
Duke @ Army
It’s been since 1997 since these two teams have played. They are 1-1 SU and ATS with one another. I guess I am maybe being slightly skewed by the loss to Richmond at home this past weekend for Duke. While Army won’t beat Air Force or Navy they will beat Duke. Duke 20 Air Force 31
Pittsburgh @ Buffalo
I mentioned earlier about having success with a particular team and how that will tend to play a roll in future decisions about a game, well Buffalo is another of those teams. That said though I think there is real value with Buffalo. Turner Gill has something going there. He has them playing tough and aggressive. True sometimes maybe too aggressive but you have to admit you see the change he has made and it is all for the better. Pittsburgh has the potential to beat Buffalo into the turf but they won’t make them surrender. Pittsburgh 13 Buffalo 7
Troy @ Florida
I won’t have action on this game but I thought I would pass along an observation. While everyone knows Florida has a speed advantage on just about everyone in the country ( I said just about everyone ) they will have it in spades against Troy. Actually from a speed standpoint Charleston Southern matched up better with Florida than Troy will. Florida 56 Troy 10
Houston @ Oklahoma St
Prior to this game there was much talk about how Georgia would actually be better now that Stafford and Mereno were gone. The thinking behind this was that there was too much put into individual stats and not enough team unity. While that might be true, what was very clear this past Saturday is that this team has a lot of questions. Questions in the quarterbacking position as well as running back. Serious questions with that offensive line. There are even some questions about the defense. Oklahoma St was vastly better across the board. Oklahoma St has a very complete team on both sides of the ball and they have an offensive line that is right up there with the best in the Big 12. In fact Oklahoma St is right up there as one of the best in the Big 12 as well as the country. Oklahoma St 42 Houston 10
LA Tech @ Navy
The line kind of concerns me. I know some don’t believe in traps and so forth but I thought this game would open around 10. The 7 opening line just puzzles me. What doesn’t puzzle me is Navy’s ability to run that triple option. What impressed me with Navy though was the way they played defense. This bodes well for them this season. Navy 31 LA
Tech 17
BYU @ Tulane
I guess I’m a chump here because I like BYU to roll with ease. BYU 42 Tulane 13
South Carolina @ Georgia
Already went over what troubles Georgia has this season. South Carolina has it’s own problems. They have such potential on offense to put up some impressive totals but they just simply fail to do so. They do have one killer defense though and unless Georgia made some remarkable adjustments this week in practice the Gamecocks defense will be enough to win this game outright. This could be one of those games you just flip a coin though. South Carolina 13 Georgia 10
Mississippi St @ Auburn
I think this game could be a pretty entertaining one. I think public perception will be Auburn routes the Mississippi St Bulldogs. I think I like the 14 points. Auburn 20 Mississippi St 17
Ohio U @ North Texas
I had a hunch last weekend and I didn’t play it. Same hunch this week and this time I’m gonna give it a whirl. North Texas 27 Ohio 24
