USC Trojans next test at Ohio State

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  • Chance Harper
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-20-07
    • 788

    #1
    USC Trojans next test at Ohio State
    USC Trojans next test at Ohio State

    It's just Week 2 of the college football season and yet there will be a bowl game atmosphere in Columbus this Saturday night when Ohio State hosts Southern Cal. The Buckeyes might have been caught looking ahead to this one after squeaking past Navy last week while the Trojans ran a vanilla offense in an easy 56-3 rout of San Jose St. This Saturday's forecast calls for rain at Ohio Stadium along with a USC victory.


    The crickets were chirping at Ohio Stadium on Saturday after Navy Midshipmen QB Ricky Dobbs ran 24 yards straight up the gut of the OSU defense and into the house, making the score Ohio State 29, Navy 27 with under three minutes to play. But linebacker Brian Rolle returned the 2-point conversion attempt all the way to the other end of the field to make the final score 31-27. Navy still cashed in as a 22-point road dog.

    This is not how Ohio State wanted to warm up for one of the biggest games of the college football season. The USC Trojans invade Columbus on Saturday (8:00 p.m. Eastern, ESPN) in a rematch of last year’s epic 35-3 burial of the Buckeyes (+10.5) out on the Left Coast. The betting odds for Saturday’s matchup had USC as a 7-point road favorite as we went to press. Some books had USC -6.5, which is a very useful half-point for Trojan supporters on the magic number seven.

    There are a number of differences working in OSU’s favor this year. One is supposed to be the crowd at The ‘Shoe, which will be all over USC freshman QB Matt Barkley.

    “Their fans are loud and awesome,” Trojans coach Pete Carroll told the Los Angeles Times on Sunday. “If they get it going, it's really hard.” And yet Ohio State is 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games after squeezing past Navy.


    The second difference, and much easier to quantify, is Buckeyes QB Terrelle Pryor. He took over the starting job from Todd Boeckman after last year’s loss to USC, and the freshman nearly led the Buckeyes to a Fiesta Bowl victory over the mighty Texas Longhorns. Ohio State went 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS behind Pryor last year as he threw 12 TD passes (with just four interceptions) and rushed for another six majors.

    From a betting standpoint, Difference No. 3 cannot be overlooked: Justin Boren, the former Michigan Wolverines center/left guard. Boren (6-foot-3, 315 pounds) was an all-Big Ten honorable mention in his 2007 sophomore campaign before transferring to Columbus and sitting out last year. He was Ohio State’s top performing lineman against the Midshipmen, but Boren’s arrival has yet to pump sufficient life into an O-line that was one of the Buckeyes’ weaknesses in 2008.

    The smaller Navy linemen were mobile enough to create matchup problems in the trenches. What can Pryor cook up against the giant Trojans defense? He doesn’t have Beanie Wells to carry the ball this year – although Wells was injured and didn’t take the field against the Trojans last year, either. Pryor’s scrambling skills overcame that obstacle to some extent; he rushed for 40 yards on 11 carries, and connected on seven of his nine passes for 52 yards. But all that work generated zero points against USC.

    Much of the public focus will be on the other quarterback in this contest. Barkley looked a bit green at the start of his debut performance against the San Jose State Spartans, but he quickly found his feet behind the dominant Trojans offensive line and finished the day pick-free. USC (-33.5) blew by the Spartans 56-3 as Barkley completed 15 of 19 passes for 233 yards and a touchdown. Of course, that was in front of a friendly crowd of 85,000-plus fans at the Los Angeles Coliseum.

    The OSU defense should put up more of a fight at The ‘Shoe, but it may not be enough. Barkley played last week without top center Kristofer O’Dowd (dislocated kneecap), who practiced Monday and says he’ll be ready to go Saturday. And even with Rolle looking sharp versus Navy, the Buckeyes are thinner at linebacker this year following the departures of James Laurinaitis and Marcus Freeman to the NFL. Trojans RB Joe McKnight rushed for 105 yards (8.8 yards per carry) against the Buckeyes last year and didn’t even play the entire game. He should be the difference-maker again this year.
  • morri1962
    SBR Hustler
    • 08-21-09
    • 52

    #2
    Also check out how many times Ohio St beat a #5 or better team.HMMMMM

    GO USC- the points !!!!!!!!!
    Comment
    • bypp
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-05-08
      • 664

      #3
      nice write-up, thanks
      Comment
      • Richkas
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-03-08
        • 19396

        #4
        Originally posted by bypp
        nice write-up, thanks

        write-ups are overrated
        Comment
        • Fishhead
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 08-11-05
          • 40179

          #5
          Just found a TREMENDOUS LINE............USC -6 -108 at Heritage!

          Matchbook is at -6.5 -112/+6.5 +108


          Comment
          • El Degeneroso
            SBR Hustler
            • 12-22-08
            • 80

            #6
            USC in this game is one of the most glaring TAKE ME! picks I've seen in a long time. 9-0 SU and ATS against the Big 10 in their last 9 games. Ohio State struggling to defend the run in their first game (although it was against a quirky offense). USC with the best combination of offensive line and a stable of running backs that I've seen in the college game in quite a while. Not to mention Ohio State's continued inability to get a strong push from their O line.

            However, Ohio State has only lost by double digits at home twice under Jim Tressel (12, 11). Therefore predicting a blowout may be something of a stretch. But a 10-13 point loss is very foreseeable.
            Comment
            • Fishhead
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 08-11-05
              • 40179

              #7
              ;
              Originally posted by El Degeneroso
              USC in this game is one of the most glaring TAKE ME! picks I've seen in a long time. 9-0 SU and ATS against the Big 10 in their last 9 games. Ohio State struggling to defend the run in their first game (although it was against a quirky offense). USC with the best combination of offensive line and a stable of running backs that I've seen in the college game in quite a while. Not to mention Ohio State's continued inability to get a strong push from their O line.

              However, Ohio State has only lost by double digits at home twice under Jim Tressel (12, 11). Therefore predicting a blowout may be something of a stretch. But a 10-13 point loss is very foreseeable.
              If I were booking this game I would be at -7 -105 right now, like some shops are actually doing.

              I think USC goes to at LEAST -7 -120 in this game, and you will most certainly see a few -7.5's before kickoff. I think the vast majority of the general public has finally come to realize that taking OSU in these games at less than a touchdown(and PAT) is no value.

              If OHIO STATE does not lose this game by more than 7 points they will have done themselves and the Big Ten proud, as sad as that statement sounds, it's true.

              If the USC wins the game with the final score being something like 31-24.........I think most of the nation would be stunned that OSU actally hung with them..........that is how bad the image is right now for the Big Ten.

              The more I think about it, this game definetly goes to -7.5 at more than one or two shops.
              Comment
              • stats13
                SBR MVP
                • 06-29-09
                • 1687

                #8
                SC large, love it
                Comment
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