Wal's Thursday Kickoff

[wal66]

College Football Week #1


Last year I combined several different things in order to make my selections each week. For the first time ever I had a winning season to the tune of 65%. I am gonna be using the same criteria this year to determine if it’s legit or if last season was nothing more than pure luck.

The first part of the season I won’t be able to use all the factors that go into capping the games like last year because a portion at least is based on strength of opponents and common opponents.

Also write-ups will not become a large part of the post until more information is available.

Thursday September 3 2009
9:00 PM
Utah St @ Utah -20.5

Everyone knows what Utah was able to accomplish last season. They were the BSC buster and capped off an amazing season with a trouncing of Alabama in the Sugar Bowl.

The Ute’s of this season tough are missing two key components of last year’s team. Gone is quarterback Bran Johnson and gone too is defensive coordinator Gary Anderson. Anderson is gone but not far away as he is now new head coach for Utah State. So he will have a better than most understanding of how to defend the Ute’s attack. Knowing how and having the players to do it though might still be a wee bit down the road. The Aggie’s are returning 10 starters on defense and that does bode well for them.

Utah has won 14 straight over Utah State and last year won 58-10. While this years game may not reach that type of separation what numbers I have been able to come up with do suggest a 28 to 30 point advantage for Utah.

Play:
Utah -20.5

Leans: (not official )
South Carolina +4 ( outright win )
Troy -6.5
Oregon +5 ( outright win )
Tulsa -14.5

[first48]

Good luck.....i like all your picks..much success this year...

[wal66]

Much appreciated and success to you as well First48

[wal66]

College Football September 5-7, 2009

These plays are solely based on the limited criteria available to e at this time as well and the computer predictor I created and some loosely based hunches. I am playing them and posting as a matter of record but I don’t now nor will I ever encourage anyone to follow.
As the season progresses and we get into conference play I expect the available t better.

Saturday 9-5-09

Play:
Rice +5.5
UConn -3.5

Leans:
Alabama -6.5
Buffalo +8.5

Monday 9-7-09

Play:
Cincinnati +6

[wal66]

Should have included this game already but simply forgot.

ADDING:

TROY -6.5

[bypp]

I agree with your Utah play. They were looking very good as last season came to an end. Best of luck wal.

[Cougar Bait]

GL this week Wal, glad to have you back for another year. I must say I'm not fond of that UConn play. I had to go the other way there. There's a lot of reasons not to like UConn in this spot.

Hope you cash 'em tonight...

[wal66]

GL this week Wal, glad to have you back for another year. I must say I'm not fond of that UConn play. I had to go the other way there. There's a lot of reasons not to like UConn in this spot.

Hope you cash 'em tonight...

This early in the season there are plenty of reasons to play either side of a particular game. one thing you'll never hear me say is that I know more than everyone else. UConn in this game most certainly has plenty of unanswered questions. Idid what I could do with what I had.

Either outcome one thing is for sure, we'll have plenty more oppertunities to be right and wrong.

Goodluck with your plays and your season.

[wal66]

Opening night could have been worse, worse that is only had I played more games and lost them as well.

0-2 to kick off my 2009 campain.

Like Tulsa tonight but as of yet no action on the game.

[cakasmaloy]

Your still feelin Buffalo even with RB out for season? I jumped on Buffalo too early and thought i was screwed after the news... can you give some reasoning for this pick to make me feel a little more confident?

[wal66]

Buffalo was just a lean not a selection. The running back being out was something I missed when I originally posted. With that said though I like the overall team chemistry that the coach has with this team. Even with a couple key departures and injuries I just like the way this team is tough and aggressive on both sides of the ball. naturally that was last years team but I feel it is instilled in the coach to create that atmosphere regardless of seasons.

[cakasmaloy]

hope ur right... ill never throw down 2 weeks prior to kickoff again!

[wal66]

1-3 on posted plays with Cincinnati left to play. Did end up playing Tulsa and Buffalo but not posted so they obviously don't count.

[wal66]

Ok games still got time left but Cincy has this game covered. Finnish the opening week 2-3. Could have been worse but feel it will certainly get better.