Okay goodies are out here for the taking and I have a few plays for the 1st week in mind now that I have had time to look at lne movement. I have made a few changes from the original leans as the lines have made some things abundantly clear.
Friday 9/4/09
Oregon+5.5 I already made this play based upon the fact that Oregon is a BCS team and Boise State is NOT. The Broncos can move the ball against anybody for sure, but Oregon has great overall team speed and lots of unknowns who can run like the dickens.
Saturday 9/5/09
Toledo+11 The steam on this game is hard to ignore as the consensus shows that bettors are all over the Boilers despite their horrid defensive numbers. Toledo is no better, and this onje looks like a shootout waiting to happen.
Georgia+5.5 I jumped ship on Okie State on this game after I looked into their defensive numbers. Georgia plays real defense in a really tough conference. The Big12 always has problems with SEC teams and Georgia is a good one that is well coached. They lost quite a bit on the ofensive side of the ball with Stafford and Moreno gone out of the fold, but Richt never leaves the cupboards empty. Despite what looks like a shootout on paper, I think that this will be a tough grind it out type of game. If Zach Robinson has time to throw, the Cowboys win by a field goal and give me the cover. If e doesn't have time to throw, the Dogs will win outright.
Connecticut/Ohio under 46.5 This game was assigned too high of a total to begin with and now the linemaker is trying to shorten the opportunity for cash. No such luck. CK spotted it and is on it. The Huskies run the ball and stop the run too. I don't think that Ohio will score more than 10 points in this game. Because of their style, the Huskies will score 31 and the 41 combined points will get me under the total.
Army+5 Now I now that this play looks crazy. But I actually believe that the Cadets will be able to run the ball on Eastern Michigan and actually come out with the outright win. The Service Academy teams are some of my favorite teams to wager with because they don't participate in some of the vices that players from other well known schools do, such as drinking excessively, dating hella hoes, etc. I rock with these teams all of the time in the correct situations!
Mizzou+7 Illinois may take this team lightly becuase of the losses of Coffey, Maybin, and Chase Daniel, but that would be a mistake as the cupboard isn't empty. The Tigers are well coached and have stockpiled talent just for the time when all of those stars would depart. The Illini have underacheived for the most part during the Ron Zook era. Gimmie them points and the bad perception by the public!
Navy+22.5 Terrel Pryor is one of my favorite players in college football due to this consistent effort against USC in a game that they had no chance in last year. He put forth an extremely good performance despite his team being overwhelmed. Now if he can do that against USC he can do it agianst anybody. The problem here is that he s not a prototypical drop back passer, the kind which would hurt the Navy footbaqll team. He is for the most part a screen pass thrower and intermediate route thrower. He is not gonna gun it for 20 yards every pass play. So since he will eat up clock with his style of play that falls right into the wheel house of the Midshipmen who are clock eaters themselves if nothing else. The dynamic option attack is hard to stop if a team doesn't face it with regularity (ask the folks in ACC country about the GT Yellowjackets). When given more than 8 points, the Middies are 14-6 ats. Make em a dog of more than 20 and they are 5-1 ats. Gimmie them points
Nevada+14.5 Why Notre Dame is favored by this much over a superior team is basically from hype and not reality.Nevada's ofensive line is rated in the top quarter to go along with their defensive line. They had more rushing yards than Navy for crying out loud! An A grade rushing attack versus a C grade rushing defense (Notre Dame) then more than that, the Pack have a B rated rushing defense facing a D grade rushing offense. Weis will be in more turmoil after this game, and it's not even his fault. The Pack are just a better team right now
Friday 9/4/09
Oregon+5.5 I already made this play based upon the fact that Oregon is a BCS team and Boise State is NOT. The Broncos can move the ball against anybody for sure, but Oregon has great overall team speed and lots of unknowns who can run like the dickens.
Saturday 9/5/09
Toledo+11 The steam on this game is hard to ignore as the consensus shows that bettors are all over the Boilers despite their horrid defensive numbers. Toledo is no better, and this onje looks like a shootout waiting to happen.
Georgia+5.5 I jumped ship on Okie State on this game after I looked into their defensive numbers. Georgia plays real defense in a really tough conference. The Big12 always has problems with SEC teams and Georgia is a good one that is well coached. They lost quite a bit on the ofensive side of the ball with Stafford and Moreno gone out of the fold, but Richt never leaves the cupboards empty. Despite what looks like a shootout on paper, I think that this will be a tough grind it out type of game. If Zach Robinson has time to throw, the Cowboys win by a field goal and give me the cover. If e doesn't have time to throw, the Dogs will win outright.
Connecticut/Ohio under 46.5 This game was assigned too high of a total to begin with and now the linemaker is trying to shorten the opportunity for cash. No such luck. CK spotted it and is on it. The Huskies run the ball and stop the run too. I don't think that Ohio will score more than 10 points in this game. Because of their style, the Huskies will score 31 and the 41 combined points will get me under the total.
Army+5 Now I now that this play looks crazy. But I actually believe that the Cadets will be able to run the ball on Eastern Michigan and actually come out with the outright win. The Service Academy teams are some of my favorite teams to wager with because they don't participate in some of the vices that players from other well known schools do, such as drinking excessively, dating hella hoes, etc. I rock with these teams all of the time in the correct situations!
Mizzou+7 Illinois may take this team lightly becuase of the losses of Coffey, Maybin, and Chase Daniel, but that would be a mistake as the cupboard isn't empty. The Tigers are well coached and have stockpiled talent just for the time when all of those stars would depart. The Illini have underacheived for the most part during the Ron Zook era. Gimmie them points and the bad perception by the public!
Navy+22.5 Terrel Pryor is one of my favorite players in college football due to this consistent effort against USC in a game that they had no chance in last year. He put forth an extremely good performance despite his team being overwhelmed. Now if he can do that against USC he can do it agianst anybody. The problem here is that he s not a prototypical drop back passer, the kind which would hurt the Navy footbaqll team. He is for the most part a screen pass thrower and intermediate route thrower. He is not gonna gun it for 20 yards every pass play. So since he will eat up clock with his style of play that falls right into the wheel house of the Midshipmen who are clock eaters themselves if nothing else. The dynamic option attack is hard to stop if a team doesn't face it with regularity (ask the folks in ACC country about the GT Yellowjackets). When given more than 8 points, the Middies are 14-6 ats. Make em a dog of more than 20 and they are 5-1 ats. Gimmie them points
Nevada+14.5 Why Notre Dame is favored by this much over a superior team is basically from hype and not reality.Nevada's ofensive line is rated in the top quarter to go along with their defensive line. They had more rushing yards than Navy for crying out loud! An A grade rushing attack versus a C grade rushing defense (Notre Dame) then more than that, the Pack have a B rated rushing defense facing a D grade rushing offense. Weis will be in more turmoil after this game, and it's not even his fault. The Pack are just a better team right now
on saturday
