Guys, some of you know me and some do not. I have been posting on here since last season although I have my own forum and post most of my thoughts there. I don't know how often I will post my plays on here, but I am for the first week anyway. Pags 11 posts all his plays on this forum and I mostly post my plays on my forum, but we both enjoy sharing info and reading posts on several forums. I put up some thoughts on teams, conferences and "play-on" games on my Blog and you can read some good info on there. SBR even posted some of the write-ups on their home page during the Summer.
I will be adding more to this thread as the ensuing week goes along leading up to the first games. I have not secured all my bets yet and will not add the play until I have. Once I have all my plays and write-ups finalized, you will be able to locate them in this thread or you can see a more complete list in my Blog as I will post them there.
You are welcome to always agree, disagree, discuss or leave info on games in my thread. I want us all to win money this season.
Minnesota -6.5 for 5 UNITS -- I had to bet this now as it keeps getting worse and worse for Syracuse. I will write more on this play later, but the bottomline is that we know how bad they were last season and they have had 23 players, some of them starters, leave the program since the hiring of the new coach. Add another starter to the list today as their starting linebacker, Derek Hines, left the team. There is very little talent on this team and now there is very little depth. Minnesota may be a fade later, but they are bringing back 17 starters off a 7-6 team from last year and this should be an easy cover even if it is on the road.
Oregon +5.5 for 3 UNITS -- I'll get into some more specifics on this game later. I considered and already listed this game as good value bet on the ML, but I decided to play the points because 4 other handicappers I respect highly are all on Oregon in this spot -- GoSooners, Conan, UOweDucks and pags11. I see their reasoning and agree. You need to get on it, too. I'm sure GoSooners will be posting his reasons on this game soon, so check out his thread.
Colorado -9.5 (-130) FOR 3 UNITS -- Guys, I have been watching this game for about a month as I think Colorado will be improved this year and they finally have their linemen healthy. They still have not decided on a starting QB between Hawkins and Hansen, but whoever they go with will be experienced and decent. Both QBs have been taking equal snaps in practice. Coach Hawkins latest report was that he was pleased with the progress of the offense and defense and the coaching staff had decided on who the playmakers were going to be for their team, so they could start deciding on what schemes were going to work best.
There are three factors though that have me taking this play:
1.) Last year this game was played on a neutral field and Colorado was favored by -11. They ended up winning the game by 21 points and covering the line. This year, the game is being played at Boulder and Colorado is a better team while CSU is not quite as good as they were last season.
2.) Colorado will be a much improved running team this year with their stud RBs having a year's experience and the offensive line finally being healthy. That is bad for a CSU defense who allowed their opponents 5.3 ypc last season. With 3 new defensive linemen in the starting rotation for CSU and 2 new LBs, improvement does not look promising.
3.) An article today mentioned that CSU has not only NOT decided on a starting QB yet, but they actually called up one of their former QBs who had been playing WR to start working with the 1st and 2nd team offenses (See article posted in this thread on pg. 2, post #48). With less than two weeks left before their opening game, this looks like a desperate move on CSU's coaching staff.
This is shaping up to be a very good bet, guys, get on it!
UTEP -6.5 (-130) for 2 UNITS -- It was going to be a tough season for Buffalo anyway after losing their great QB from last year, Drew Willy. Their only other hope for offense was heavily placed on their RB, James Stark, who averaged close to 5 ypc last year and racked up 1,333 yards on the season. Today, it was reported that Starks is injured and will not be able to play this season. His college career is done. So is Buffalo's season pretty much having to break in a new QB, new RB and new offensive line all in the same season.
UTEP's offense is ahead of schedule according to latest reports and they are expected to be very good. The line jumped a whole point today on news of Stark's injury so I had to buy a point to keep this under a TD. UTEP's defense is a typical CUSA conference defense -- which means it is not special -- but I don't think Buffalo will be able to exploit it at all. This should cover easily!
I might add some money to this next week.
I will be adding more to this thread as the ensuing week goes along leading up to the first games. I have not secured all my bets yet and will not add the play until I have. Once I have all my plays and write-ups finalized, you will be able to locate them in this thread or you can see a more complete list in my Blog as I will post them there.
You are welcome to always agree, disagree, discuss or leave info on games in my thread. I want us all to win money this season.

Minnesota -6.5 for 5 UNITS -- I had to bet this now as it keeps getting worse and worse for Syracuse. I will write more on this play later, but the bottomline is that we know how bad they were last season and they have had 23 players, some of them starters, leave the program since the hiring of the new coach. Add another starter to the list today as their starting linebacker, Derek Hines, left the team. There is very little talent on this team and now there is very little depth. Minnesota may be a fade later, but they are bringing back 17 starters off a 7-6 team from last year and this should be an easy cover even if it is on the road.
Oregon +5.5 for 3 UNITS -- I'll get into some more specifics on this game later. I considered and already listed this game as good value bet on the ML, but I decided to play the points because 4 other handicappers I respect highly are all on Oregon in this spot -- GoSooners, Conan, UOweDucks and pags11. I see their reasoning and agree. You need to get on it, too. I'm sure GoSooners will be posting his reasons on this game soon, so check out his thread.
Colorado -9.5 (-130) FOR 3 UNITS -- Guys, I have been watching this game for about a month as I think Colorado will be improved this year and they finally have their linemen healthy. They still have not decided on a starting QB between Hawkins and Hansen, but whoever they go with will be experienced and decent. Both QBs have been taking equal snaps in practice. Coach Hawkins latest report was that he was pleased with the progress of the offense and defense and the coaching staff had decided on who the playmakers were going to be for their team, so they could start deciding on what schemes were going to work best.
There are three factors though that have me taking this play:
1.) Last year this game was played on a neutral field and Colorado was favored by -11. They ended up winning the game by 21 points and covering the line. This year, the game is being played at Boulder and Colorado is a better team while CSU is not quite as good as they were last season.
2.) Colorado will be a much improved running team this year with their stud RBs having a year's experience and the offensive line finally being healthy. That is bad for a CSU defense who allowed their opponents 5.3 ypc last season. With 3 new defensive linemen in the starting rotation for CSU and 2 new LBs, improvement does not look promising.
3.) An article today mentioned that CSU has not only NOT decided on a starting QB yet, but they actually called up one of their former QBs who had been playing WR to start working with the 1st and 2nd team offenses (See article posted in this thread on pg. 2, post #48). With less than two weeks left before their opening game, this looks like a desperate move on CSU's coaching staff.
This is shaping up to be a very good bet, guys, get on it!
UTEP -6.5 (-130) for 2 UNITS -- It was going to be a tough season for Buffalo anyway after losing their great QB from last year, Drew Willy. Their only other hope for offense was heavily placed on their RB, James Stark, who averaged close to 5 ypc last year and racked up 1,333 yards on the season. Today, it was reported that Starks is injured and will not be able to play this season. His college career is done. So is Buffalo's season pretty much having to break in a new QB, new RB and new offensive line all in the same season.
UTEP's offense is ahead of schedule according to latest reports and they are expected to be very good. The line jumped a whole point today on news of Stark's injury so I had to buy a point to keep this under a TD. UTEP's defense is a typical CUSA conference defense -- which means it is not special -- but I don't think Buffalo will be able to exploit it at all. This should cover easily!
I might add some money to this next week.