That is why I was asking. I did not see that post. He worded his posts rather strangely. No biggie. I apologize if I was mistaken.
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Quant, who do you like today?Comment -
Okay boys, back at it.
I hope you all had a great holiday!
10-4, +13.4 units.
Three games today. And I like them all, why not, right?
First game up---
First Responder Bowl. Boise State (-2.5) v. Boston College.
A few bettors I know are all-in on Boston College-- and my numbers just don't see it that way.
I love Boise State. Rypien has had a hellofa' yeah for Boise--- 3700 yards, 30 TDs, 7 picks--
Boise is averaging almost 460 yards per/game, and BC's is giving up almost 400 per. All the FEI's point Boise's way--- and BC is on a 3-game slide, although they were banged up at the end of the year. BC will be able to run it some, but I don't think they can stop Boise with any consistency.
I am betting Boise, and laying the 2.5
3.3/3Comment -
Quick Lane Bowl: Georgia Tech (-6) v. Minnesota
This game puzzles me. My numbers have it Tech by 9. But my eye/brain are reluctant to pull this trigger. The line movement agrees with my numbers....Tech opened at -4 and this morning they were -6.
Obviously this game comes down to how well Tech runs it. If they run it well, control the clock and manage the game--- they are really tough to defend and beat.
Minnesota is straight up schizophrenic. In a span of a month, they lost to Illinois by 24, and beat Wisconsin by 22.
WTF? Right?
There really isn't any point to breaking down the FEI's because Minnesota is an outlier.
So for the first time, this one comes down to eye-test betting--- and I do think Minnesota will struggle to defend Tech.
Tech is my side here, (-6), laying a small number 2.2/2Comment -
Cheez-It Bowl: Cal (-1) v. TCU.
Finally a dog barks--- woof woof.
TCU is my side on the ML (+104).
TCU has been its own worst enemy-- they have been undone by turnovers all year long. They did close with wins over Baylor and Okie State to become bowl eligible, and I think you'll get a great effort out of them tonight.
Cal has had some nice wins--- Washington and USC, but they also lost to UCLA by 30.
TCU has the better offense, and defensively-- they are about equal.
I'll take the better offensive team tonight---
TCU is my selection, taking the + on the ML.
3 to win 3.12Comment -
Well done so far this bowl season Quant! I was leaning same way on all 3 games but a bit gun shy. You really think all three favorites pull it out today huh?Comment -
GL quantComment -
GL brother. One big thing to factor in with GT is that this is Paul Johnson's last game. I expect GT to be flying around a little more then Minn. I'm on Boise fairly small today. I'm a little afraid of the fact that they've run up numbers on weaker competition then who BC has faced, but Boise is always prepared for bowl games and should be ready to roll today!Comment -
Look for some low scoring games today. TCU-Cal Total is around 38. I think Georgia Tech -6 wins for retiring HC Paul Johnson. Nothing really to get excited about today. No wagers so far.Comment -
to me, all 3 games are fairly obvious (don't get me wrong, i could go 0-3 ATS)
boise-BC... i think boise is so much better. goes against my theory of better run (O/D differential) and/or more run-oriented being the pick. i just think boise is on another level than BC. i haven't checked power ratings. might not show that.
GT-Minn = heavily run-oriented teams are gold in bowl games.. both teams are a bit meh overall, but GT has the unique and heavy run-orientation.
Cal-TCU - again, TCU is on a different level than Cal... i'm a pac 12 fan but it's pretty mediocre these days.Comment -
Minnesota is the 3rd straight Dog to cover. I should have been paying attention. Cal and TCU keeps fluctuating. Sometimes, the best wager is no wager, as I demonstrated today. A lot of people lost on Ga. Tech today.Comment -
I lost on GT as well. Never seen Mn playing well on defense.Comment -
Moving on to today's games, the weather in New York City is partially cloudy with a high around 40 at game time. Not exactly the weather that Miami is used to, but just another winter day for Wisconsin. Another "Disappointment" Bowl game. The Over in the Duke-Temple game may be worth a look. Duke has given up 129 points in their last 3 games. Temple has scored 143 points in their last 3 games. It appears that both Temple RB Armstead and QB Russo are good to go. Vandy is what amounts to an away favorite against Baylor, in a game being played in nearby Houston TX. There has not been a lot of action on this game in Vegas. Two 6-6 teams. Right now I am looking at Duke-Temple Over 54 1/2 and Miami-Wisconsin Under 44 1/2 both at the Venetian in Las Vegas. Tomorrow's games look a lot more promising.Last edited by BigdaddyQH; 12-27-18, 08:35 PM.Comment -
11-1 now gents. These games are so easy that many people are looking for things that simply are not there. So far, the "KISS" method is working wonders. Keep It Simple Stupid. It is funny how you can work your tail off throughout the entire season to go 57% and then, when you are just screwing around, you catch fire. Tomorrow I am going to give a serious look at Purdue +3 1/2. I will be talking to some of my wife's relatives now who live and breathe Auburn Football in about an hour to find out of the team really want to play for Malzahn, who is really in trouble there.Comment -
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Wrong on all three counts fool. I guarantee this. I could kick your worthless arse in abut 30 seconds. I could render you harmless in 10 seconds. I have taken many arseholes like yourself out. I was trained to do it. 175 posts in 7 years. Get your worthless arse out of here. You are just another wimp who is afraid of the world and has to shoot his mouth off on the internet. Another macho wimp.Comment -
A couple of things for today's games. The Big 10 is 2-0, easily defeating two ACC teams. The Doggies are on a 6-0 run. All of that suggests that Purdue is the play against Auburn. Auburn players have been effectively muzzled, as their coaches have. Malzahn is not liked by the Alum. He also is one the way out, one way or another. He is going to try and prove a point today, which means he will act even crazier on the sidelines than he normally does. When Auburn wins, the games go under the total. Purdue is about as even as it gets with 6 Over and 6 Under. Not only that, they have alternated throughout the entire season. It is time for the overs now. A very tough call, so I will pass. Way too many intangibles here.
I do like Syracuse over West Virginia. I think Dino Babers is a much better HC than Dana Horgorsen is. West Virginia has abandoned any type of defense and with Grier deciding to take the cowards way out of the game, West Virginia will not be able to keep up with 'Cuse on the scoreboard. The line has been climbing ever since Grier announced that he would not play in the game, and is up to 'Cuse -3 now. I took them as a pk. The total is also something to look at, sitting at 67 now. The game will have to go Over for West Virginia to have any chance at a win. 'Cuse and the Over in this one.
I have no play on the Alamo Bowl. The truth of the matter is that I have better things to do at night than to watch worthless College Football games. The only thing I will say is that Wazzu's crazy HC Mike Leach is 1-3 S/U and ATS in bowl games, while Iowa State's Matt Campbell is 1-0.Comment -
Down to 12-2 as both Syracuse and West Virginia took a nap offensively. Today, the one game I like has already started, so no play.Comment -
Whose thread is this?Comment -
Quaint,
You done for the season?Comment -
Quaint was doing very well. If he decided to take his winnings and move on, he is smarter than most of you guys, who must wager on every single game in the board.
Weather is going to play a large part in today's games. A lot of money is coming down against Pac 10 teams Stanford (-3 1/2 from -6 1/2 opener) and Oregon (+1 to -1 from a -2 1/2 point opener). I am going with Northwestern-Utah Under 44 1/2 at the Wynn. It is wet in San Diego now.Comment
