Early Week 2 Picks

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  • StatsAnalytics
    SBR High Roller
    • 06-25-18
    • 182

    #1
    Early Week 2 Picks
    Week 2 Picks

    9/7
    1* TCU vs SMU ~ OVER 58.5 (-110)

    9/8
    1* Georgia Tech -3.5 (-110) vs South Florida

    1* New Mexico vs Wisconsin ~ UNDER 60.5 (-110)

    1* Duke vs Northwestern ~ OVER 49 (-110)

    1* Arizona U +4.5 (-110) vs Houston U

    1* Vanderbilt -9 (-110) vs Nevada

    1* Nevada vs Vanderbilt ~ OVER 62.5 (-110)

    1* UCLA vs Oklahoma ~ OVER 64.5 (-110)

    1* Ohio State -35.5 (-110) vs Rutgers

    1* Buffalo U +4.5 (-110) vs Temple

    1* Georgia -10 (-110) vs South Carolina

    1* Arkansas State vs Alabama ~ OVER 65.5 (-110)

    1* Colorado +5 (-110) vs Nebraska

    1* Iowa State +3.5 (-110) vs Iowa

    1* Appalachian State -14 (-110) vs Charlotte

    1* Massachusetts +2.5 (+100) vs Georgia Southern

    1* Clemson -12.5 (-110) vs Texas A&M

    1* Florida International vs Old Dominion ~ UNDER 54.5 (-110)

    1* Virginia +6.5 (-110) vs Indiana

    1* Fresno State +2.5 (-110) vs Minnesota U

    1* Arkansas vs Colorado State ~ UNDER 69.5 (-110)

    1* Florida -14 (-110) vs Kentucky

    1* Utah vs Northern Illinois ~ OVER 47.5 (-110)

    1* Tulsa vs Texas ~ UNDER 61 (-110)

    1* Oklahoma State -32 (-110) vs South Alabama

    1* Penn State -9 (-110) vs Pittsburgh U

    1* Penn State vs Pittsburgh U ~ OVER 57 (-110)

    1* Stanford -4.5 (-110) vs USC

    1* California +3 (+105) vs BYU

    1* California vs BYU ~ UNDER 46.5 (-110)

    1* Connecticut vs Boise State ~ UNDER 64 (-110)

    1* Michigan State -6.5 (-110) vs Arizona State



    College Football 2018-19 Record: 8-3-1 (73%) +5.7
  • veriableodds
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-22-17
    • 5093

    #2
    looks like a lot of volume like it GL
    Comment
    • agendaman
      SBR MVP
      • 12-01-11
      • 3729

      #3
      i love calif. to beat BYU ml also
      Comment
      • A Quant
        SBR MVP
        • 05-14-18
        • 1357

        #4
        31 plays? Yeah, man, good luck with that.

        I'll ask this question-- for the 1000th time, and I had a link about it right here...

        Why bet Massachusetts at +2.5, and Fresno +2.5?

        You can get both teams on the ML anywhere between +115 and +120 at most shops.

        The odds that the final score will have either Massachusetts or Fresno losing by 1, or 2 is less than 1%. You could get real value taking both on the ML, and anyone playing 31 games-- would want as much value as possible.

        No offense meant by this, but I would think anyone with the name "StatsAnalytics" would have analyzed enough college football data to realize that you always, and I mean, ALWAYS take the ML when you're getting less than a FG ATS.
        Comment
        • tmgissy
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-13-10
          • 505

          #5
          Like your Florida pick but I am not sold on them yet and it was a miracle we won last year. KY may cover.



          Edit* GL though, I like a lot of your sides. This week has a lot more action!
          Comment
          • StatsAnalytics
            SBR High Roller
            • 06-25-18
            • 182

            #6
            Thanks everyone!

            Solid 17-14-1 (55%) +2.85

            Get My NFL Week 1 Picks Here
            Comment
            • A Quant
              SBR MVP
              • 05-14-18
              • 1357

              #7
              Originally posted by StatsAnalytics
              Thanks everyone!

              Solid 17-14-1 (55%) +2.85

              Get My NFL Week 1 Picks Here
              You sure about that math?

              16 (1 *) winners (@-110) = +16.0 units
              1 (1* winner) (@+105) = +1.05

              Total winners= 17.05

              13 Losses (@-110) = 14.3
              1 Loss (@+100) = 1.00

              Total losses = 15.3

              17.05-15.3 = +1.75 (not +2.85).

              If you're really betting these games, all you would have to do is look at your book balance to see how much you won or lost.
              Comment
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