I'm 2-0 with Air Force, but if the line hits 3 I'm going to ride SDSU. That's a damn good defense, and their running back is awesome. Bet down from 7, at 3 1/2 even right now. Sometimes going against the steam can make you money. These oddsmakers aren't stupid with their openers.
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You are 2-0? Where? Certainly not in here. If you do not post it in here, do not talk about winning, because you probably lost 10 other games that you will conveniently forget to mention. Your post makes no sense at all. You tell us how good a team San Diego State has, and then talk about going against the steam and how good the oddsmakers are with their opening lines. So which is it going to be? Who are you taking?Comment -
I like Air Force in this spot especially at home and I am a true believer in SDSU. I just think AF is a better team.Comment -
Ignore him. He's the self-appointed rules-maker here. You're not allowed to even mention any past success unless you have time-stamped photos of your betting tickets for him to approve of. Bunch of childish nonsense.Comment -
And on the game, I lean hard to SDSU too, and I'm glad it got bet down, early line movement doesn't sway me any. We don't have a great sample size for Air Force. They're a team that can stop another team's head of steam abruptly, no doubt, but I don't think this is the same Air force team we've seen before, I think they're a notch lower. SDSU is firing on all cylinders.
-3, -125 at 5dimes now. If it can get close to -110, I'm probably going small on it.Comment -
I hate to go against AF as I like both teams, I just like SDSU a bit better. BetOnline has it at -3 -115 now. Not sure if I should wait or not. It might get bought back. Almost feels like a trap though.Comment -
Tough game, but I have to lean SDSU here. The fact is that Air Force simply does not play well against SDSU (1-6 ATS in their last 7 games). Rocky Long has never lost a game to Troy Calhoun. This game and the home game against Boise State are the only two games that SDSU realistically can lose. Sure they can be upset, but so can any team. If they run the table, they go to the Fiesta Bowl as the Group of 5 rep to the New Years Bowl Games because USF plays a very weak schedule. SDSU has a long ways to go, but their HC has done a great job with the team, as 6 straight bowl games will attest to. I will pass on this game, but only because I think there are better wagers out there.Comment -
I hear what you're saying BigDaddy. I think I'll still take it, but maybe tread lightly. I might double down if it hits 2 1/2 (not likely).Comment